SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The RGEM is way faster and somewhat flatter at 48. I still think the Euro idea is more correct, 6 hours or so faster than the NAM and weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 3:17 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM is way faster and somewhat flatter at 48. I still think the Euro idea is more correct, 6 hours or so faster than the NAM and weaker Euro was really flat for the area, just warm. It went well south of 12z yesterday. I hope we get some snow because midweek storm doesnt look good as of right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 3:17 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM is way faster and somewhat flatter at 48. I still think the Euro idea is more correct, 6 hours or so faster than the NAM and weaker The 12z Rgem? Today's run? Disagree. The 12z Rgem is very similar to the 12z NAM. Rgem is perhaps 1-2 hours faster. Strength is similar as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Gfs is still non event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:06 PM, Zelocita Weather said: GGEM Is that a question or was there supposed to be a"Though" after that? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 So why is GFS missing it totally so close to the event? Yes that has happened b4 but what is it missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:10 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Is that a question or was there supposed to be a"Though" after that? LOL Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GGEM is north of the GFS but warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:21 PM, Snow88 said: GGEM is north of the GFS but warm. warm how far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:21 PM, Snow88 said: GGEM is north of the GFS but warm. The Euro probably has the right idea, more north of the GFS but less amped than the NAM which will mean the boundary layer probably will be tough to overcome due to lighter precip rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:25 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro probably has the right idea, more north of the GFS but less amped than the NAM which will mean the boundary layer probably will be tough to overcome due to lighter precip rates Maybe 1-3" in parts of NNJ is your guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:27 PM, Zelocita Weather said: Maybe 1-3" in parts of NNJ is your guess? It's possible but this could be one of those elevation helps you type of deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Ggem says cool rain showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 4:33 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ggem says cool rain showersBring March flowers??? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Srefs agree with nam for Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Nam snow amounts shifted south on recent run. Better amounts over long island again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Gefs now shows the Monday low,compared to pay 2-3 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:07 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euros mostly a non event Sorry but you're wrong. The Euro has a stripe of 0.25-0.50" from Rt 78 to Rt 84. Temps aloft are plenty cold enough for snow for all areas. The BL is marginally warm which is likely wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:10 PM, IsentropicLift said: Sorry but you're wrong. The Euro has a stripe of 0.25-0.50" from Rt 78 to Rt 84. Temps aloft are plenty cold enough for snow for all areas. The BL is marginally warm which is likely wrong. "Mostly"..... 2-4" strip swath.. Is "mostly" a non event, especially in comparison to 4-6+ 100 mile swath the nam showsEdit: euro is barely 2"... Com'on 850s are cold but temps are in mid 40s when precip arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:07 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euros mostly a non event KNYC Hour 66 850 - 2 925 0 BL 34/35 DP 33 Meh there , but N of 80 looks ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Euro is similiar to the Nam but not there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:18 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: .25 with temps in the 40s and 850s at -2.... Ok your right Where are you getting surface temps in the 40's? The tarmac at JFK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:19 PM, PB GFI said: KNYC Hour 66 850 - 2 925 0 BL 34/35 DP 33 Meh there , but N of 80 looks ok It's good for areas N&W again if enough lift reaches those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 6:31 PM, IsentropicLift said: Where are you getting surface temps in the 40's? The tarmac at JFK? Where are you getting this as an event? Nothing I see shows more than 2".... You think your getting even 10:1 ratios out of -2 850s and even 32F which is generous? This is a dusting to an inch per the euro.. Exactly as I said.. Non event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I'm pumped, the HV is the jackpot zone in NYC Metro area on the above Euro. Inch by inch anythings a cinch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 On 2/19/2016 at 7:57 PM, Zelocita Weather said: SREFS Similar to nam, very north, looks to wanna redeveloped off the coast.. Too far out tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Nams a bit north and faster this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Nam looks warmer this run, don't jump down my throat if I'm wrong I'm on my phone, but not much accumulation in terms of snowfall on the nam now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Nam was much slower, colder, and had a more expansive precip shield last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 If it is colder central jersey, NYC, ELI see .5 LE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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