CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 I want to say I remember my dad saying it was a big storm in central ct but I cannot remember with certainty but sounds region wide...probably redeveloper miller b type thanks for responding It sounds like two events from what I see. Probably one low with a follow up larger one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 It would be nice to get a good snowy December one of these seasons. For one it's nice for the holiday feel between Turkey and Christmas...but also gives that feeling of potential for the rest of the winter. It's one thing to bank on second half snow but sometimes nice to get snow early and hope for a huge season. December 1970 was awesome. I can only imagine up your way. If we can get a weak Nina, it's certainly not out of the question next December is a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 Mid latitudes are really on the slope of seasonal recovery ...just about the steepest part of that curve as we pass now through equinox. The sun's ability to normalize llv gradients, unilaterally, increases by day, to the point where it gets really hard to establish any meaningful horizontal baroclinicity. This serves as a detriment to deeper storm development for a myriad of physical reasons... It's why often enough at this time of year, you'll see a tasty looking mid-level pattern evolution that would make a January drool, but scratch ur head as to why the surface evolution only shows a paltry low up underneath. You need the "sharp" gradients and attending frontal tapestries, which is hard to do when the sun is zapping the air mass everywhere. That said, timing is everything... A "fresh" sort of cold insert into an availing cyclogenesis taking place fast, in a timely fashion can and sometimes does evolve a storm life-cycle that outpaces any normalization. Most of the big latter March and April storms of lore featured that "air" of quickness, where cold doesn't have a chance to moderate and so forth. The pattern around the equinox is a good candidate for at least setting that sort of table. One thing about modeling ... let us not forget that the GGEM and Euro have a west/deep bias in the extended (by a little, but enough to notice), whereas contrasting it can be argued the GFS is slightly progressive. Whether all that results in another cutter or something more akin to what folks want (which is boggles my mind why ANYone would want snow now...), remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2016 Author Share Posted March 12, 2016 We also had a hell of a snowpack before Christmas too. Snowiest December ever near my locale with over 31" that month. Nina FTW. Nina/-QBO couplet is a good start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 Mid latitudes are really on the slope of seasonal recovery ...just about the steepest part of that curve as we pass now through equinox. The sun's ability to normalize llv gradients, unilaterally, increases by day, to the point where it gets really hard to establish any meaningful horizontal baroclinicity. This serves as a detriment to deeper storm development for a myriad of physical reasons... It's why often enough at this time of year, you'll see a tasty looking mid-level pattern evolution that would make a January drool, but scratch ur head as to why the surface evolution only shows a paltry low up underneath. You need the "sharp" gradients and attending frontal tapestries, which is hard to do when the sun is zapping the air mass everywhere. That said, timing is everything... A "fresh" sort of cold insert into an availing cyclogenesis taking place fast, in a timely fashion can and sometimes does evolve a storm life-cycle that outpaces any normalization. Most of the big latter March and April storms of lore featured that "air" of quickness, where cold doesn't have a chance to moderate and so forth. The pattern around the equinox is a good candidate for at least setting that sort of table. One thing about modeling ... let us not forget that the GGEM and Euro have a west/deep bias in the extended (by a little, but enough to notice), whereas contrasting it can be argued the GFS is slightly progressive. Whether all that results in another cutter or something more akin to what folks want (which is boggles my mind why ANYone would want snow now...), remains to be seen. Winter has been sending us this memo for weeks now..and finally the letter arrived in the mail today for most folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 Banter, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 Somewhere in the GL to OV to northern MA and NE will get an Equinox snowstorm. Its been showing up pretty well on guidance. I'm rooting for an eduggs special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2016 Author Share Posted March 12, 2016 Somewhere in the GL to OV to northern MA and NE will get an Equinox snowstorm. Its been showing up pretty well on guidance. I'm rooting for an eduggs special. If its a large event, great....but if its like 7", and 3" on paved surfaces....yea, he can have it.....better yet, the south coast and cape can have it. The weather would be nicer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 If its a large event, great....but if its like 7", and 3" on paved surfaces....yea, he can have it.....better yet, the south coast and cape can have it. The weather would be nicer. see I am not the only one who pokes fun at those kind of events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2016 Author Share Posted March 12, 2016 see I am not the only one who pokes fun at those kind of events Honestly, if it isn't going to be worth it, I'd simply rather not suffer through the myriad of inconveniences that go along with the event and disrupt life. I have too much going on right now to have to worry about clearing my driveway of a few inches of forgettability, and wiping the windshield clear of a wet coating of mediocrity. Keep the bullet in the chamber of the pedestrian pistol.... I'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 12, 2016 Author Share Posted March 12, 2016 Even for outlook purposes....no one, including me, cares if I miss by 30", as opposed to 35"....only a blockbuster changes a damn thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 It'll be nice to see temps come down again soon with snow chances. Even highs in 40s with clouds and drizzle on Monday will be nice. Seasons back to behaving as they should. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 It'll be nice to see temps come down again soon with snow chances. Even highs in 40s with clouds and drizzle on Monday will be nice. Seasons back to behaving as they should. Awesome.I'm all set with 40s and drizzle. It's nice for a few days in October or November in anticipation of the winter season and the holidays, but I'm all set with it by mid March - as if my preference has any effect on the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 I'm all set with 40s and drizzle. It's nice for a few days in October or November in anticipation of the winter season and the holidays, but I'm all set with it by mid March - as if my preference has any effect on the weather. potentially 36 (or so...) straight hours of that, en route, Monday thru early Wednesday... Then, we get pointlessly cold (meaning, too cold to be spring, but not doing any winter storm entertainment any good) .. possibly for 10 straight days. Advice? find another hobby ...until further notice. The next 2 weeks may as well be a prison term in ennui and misery - I still plan to be wealthy enough one day to just abandon this god-forsaken area of the world from mid March until May 1st every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 Gefs members look alright for sne northward after next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 I know right? NYC 31.6" GYX 39.6" 40% below normal on seasonal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 40% below normal on seasonal? Season to date, yes. If we're talking full season, it's going to be closer to 55% below normal if it doesn't snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 Season to date, yes. If we're talking full season, it's going to be closer to 55% below normal if it doesn't snow again. But we're stealing all the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 Gefs members look alright for sne northward after next week Still colder with storm chances? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 But we're stealing all the snow NYC is about +33% season to date, and they are closer to done than us farther north, so final tally might be closer to 30% above normal. So they are stealing our relative snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 It would be nice to get a good snowy December one of these seasons. For one it's nice for the holiday feel between Turkey and Christmas...but also gives that feeling of potential for the rest of the winter. It's one thing to bank on second half snow but sometimes nice to get snow early and hope for a huge season. Yeah I am still waiting for that big second half this year LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 GEFS has only 1 lakes cutter http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/GEFSIndiesUSPrecip06186.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 GEFS has only 1 lakes cutter http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/GEFSIndiesUSPrecip06186.gif I fully expect a MA or south coast special to end the season. 32F/S at ACY 48F/Partly Cloudy at BED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 I fully expect a MA or south coast special to end the season. 32F/S at ACY 48F/Partly Cloudy at BED Happy Easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 Torch day coming up Wednesday this week. 70 tickles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 It'll be nice to see temps come down again soon with snow chances. Even highs in 40s with clouds and drizzle on Monday will be nice. Seasons back to behaving as they should. Awesome.Totally agree, it feels unnatural and uncomfortable to have day after day in the 60s and 70s. People are acting like it's the usual transition to spring even though our average high doesn't hit 50F until appx. 3/20, 60F until appx. 4/10, and 70F until appx 5/10. All of this warmth is reflected in the rapidly developing vegetation.I like seasons in seasons, and I'm going to enjoy 45F and rain tomorrow and I have not given up hope for snow in the 3/20-3/24 period as the EPO and NAO drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 Yeah .. Today's 65/17 was super uncomfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Torch day coming up Wednesday this week. 70 tickles? NE flow lurks in a lot of SNE, Euro has trended colder each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Trees budding before the fantasy snow hits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 We sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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