Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I meant right down to TAN. I know this is verbatim. You take the under on this output? Scooter said mid 40's is what t will be Tuesday. That's a pretty big disparity. 60's tickling TAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 The way things have transpired this winter and with apology to Johnny Mathis ... " Chances are your chances aren't awfully good " Well I wouldn't forecast based on the results of what happened in some different pattern in February or early March. There's a solid chance nothing happens...esp in SE MA or the CT Valley...but I'm going to follow it as leong as the pattern looks pretty favorable....particularly for interior MA up through NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I know this is verbatim. You take the under on this output? Scooter said mid 40's is what t will be Tuesday. That's a pretty big disparity. 60's tickling TAN. gfs_T2m_neus_18.png If it's rain and NE winds, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Look what happen today, even in Torchton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 If it's rain and NE winds, yes. What a death blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Well I wouldn't forecast based on the results of what happened in some different pattern in February or early March. There's a solid chance nothing happens...esp in SE MA or the CT Valley...but I'm going to follow it as leong as the pattern looks pretty favorable....particularly for interior MA up through NNE. Point taken. It should work out for the Ginxter with his annual pilgrimage to the wilds of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Look what happen today, even in Torchton. And I've already stated that my thoughts are exclusive of rain as I feel the low will have departed by than and we will have return flow coming from the SW. What a death blow. Riveting temp talk, I know. Better than discussing faux day 10 snow threats this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I'll take what our Canuck neighbor is smoking for CNE NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Point taken. It should work out for the Ginxter with his annual pilgrimage to the wilds of Maine. Hey Scoobs! I think our timing might work out. My hopes would be a dumper Monday then bluebird sky with morning freezes and afternoon near 45s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Well, this time of season does not require a great pattern owed to shortening wave lengths, but the pattern looks to grow more conducive, anyway. I'm not supporting the idea of a snowstorm, but it would not shock me. I'll disagree there. The cold never makes it east of the Apps..I'm not saying Maine or N VT won't get a storm..but from about Rt 2 south is certainly done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Well, this time of season does not require a great pattern owed to shortening wave lengths, but the pattern looks to grow more conducive, anyway. I'm not supporting the idea of a snowstorm, but it would not shock me. I'm on the same page as you...it would be silly to discount the idea of snow in March in New England (even April), but there's the nagging background seasonal tendency to make everything fail so not holding my breath. But that's a pretty solid trough that looks to develop with very cold air nearby around the weekend of the 19th-20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Euro is ugly Mon-Wed. Maybe death valley hits the 50s Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Euro is ugly Mon-Wed. Maybe death valley hits the 50s Wed. Where is Death Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Euro is ugly Mon-Wed. Maybe death valley hits the 50s Wed. Actually has flakes in the air RT 2 N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 A lot of places in all of NE barely hit 40 Mon on the Euro most are in the 30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Wed is a torch mid 60's day before the bottom falls out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I'll disagree there. The cold never makes it east of the Apps..I'm not saying Maine or N VT won't get a storm..but from about Rt 2 south is certainly done Average date for out last measurable snow is 3/26 and 4/13 for a trace. Just because you have one 30+ departure day doesn't mean that it won't snow after that. We've had legitimate heat waves in the past followed by snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Wed is a torch mid 60's day before the bottom falls out Wednesday will be a west is best day. Thursday is nice post fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Average date for out last measurable snow is 3/26 and 4/13 for a trace. Just because you have one 30+ departure day doesn't mean that it won't snow after that. We've had legitimate heat waves in the past followed by snow. In other years where the pattern allows for it, sure. No arguments there. In fact, I'd be driving that bus.. But this was not New england's winter, and pattern persistence says we are done. We're not just going to whip up a magic 8 ball snowstorm in a warm pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Pattern persistence? It does a 180 by next weekend. Model SPED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Pattern persistence? It does a 180 by next weekend. Model SPED. It's couple days of cooling down to normal. We're not suddenly flipping the pattern to BN ..i mean get real The last 5-7 days of the month are retorch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 #modelspedviewstheshortmodels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Wednesday will be a west is best day. Thursday is nice post fropa. Yea for Ema, all of RI and CT is near 70 Wed sans the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 #modelspedviewstheshortmodels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Yea for Ema, all of RI and CT is near 70 Wed sans the coast Why did Scooter say mid 50's at best Wed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Why did Scooter say mid 50's at best Wed? eMASS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Why did Scooter say mid 50's at best Wed? I saw 00z temps. I missed the aftn temps. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 It's couple days of cooling down to normal. We're not suddenly flipping the pattern to BN ..i mean get real The last 5-7 days of the month are retorch You really need to learn how to view models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 If anything ,the plethora of climate extremes that have been occurring this season and in recent history would argue that anything is possible, and keeping the idea open of snow in the second half of March is really not that far-fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 You really need to learn how to view models. Even Dendrite had to call you out yesterday. You are doing everything in your power to try and wish cold and snow in a warm pattern. It's spring and it's an Above normal pattern for the rest of the month sans a few day period of normal. Wishing cold and snow and getting emotional about it isn't going to change what's shaping up to be an exceptional AN month of Morch Deal With It -Cosgrove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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