peteradiator Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Here's to the cluster of low centers pushing a precipatation field north of the cape. Did I type that out loud? Yes. I did. Im bad better take a bath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Congrats everyone on the biggest day of poster meltdowns of the winter Awful...except for the M.A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Awful...except for the M.A. That yellow and orange should be a little more SE that on that map...I'm just over 20" and I I never see snow again, I'll be about -40" departure on the season. So far the worst season snowfall wise on record, since they have been kept from I believe 33-34 for this area. I did a nice spreadsheet on snowfall from September through May ( some missing data) and the worst was 27" I think was 37-38, I'll have to look. But it's pretty cool to see the pattern of winters from like 59-70...all those winters were incredible amounts for the season... Winter has a way of surprising us, I still believe with the upcoming pattern changes, we could get a perfect timed cyclogenesis near our area...I think 96-97 was one of those years, just with a bit more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Congrats everyone on the biggest day of poster meltdowns of the winter Why is NYC in the light blue? NYC is above average. Im at 38 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Congrats everyone on the biggest day of poster meltdowns of the winter that map is laughably incorrect. for example, KCON is sitting at ~24" to date, which is over 40" below seasonal avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Yeah it's bad . I'm at 31 and avg is close to 60". So only 50% here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Find a complete and accurate database of average annual snowfall for NE outside of Will's cranium...that's your problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Yeah it's bad . I'm at 31 and avg is close to 60". So only 50% here You don't average 60 through the end of Feb...maybe 46-47" or so...and then maybe another 10-12 after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 You don't average 60 through the end of Feb...maybe 46-47" or so...and then maybe another 10-12 after that. I was basing it on the assumption that was thru end of seasonal snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I was basing it on the assumption that was thru end of seasonal snowfall But it says October 2015 thru February 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I was basing it on the assumption that was thru end of seasonal snowfall The map is not making that assumption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Yeah the map looks fine for NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 is someones predicted March 12 still walking in the door? or are we talking 2-3 days of 60's then climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 These last posts...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Find a complete and accurate database of average annual snowfall for NE outside of Will's cranium...that's your problem. Correct. The map is likely going off the Coop data which we've already hashed out numerous times has its flaws every time a seasonal snow map comes out from the government. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Why is NYC in the light blue? NYC is above average. Im at 38 right now. Yeah this map is definately incorrect. We are only 3 inches from average here and are in the light blue. This map is a throw away for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Oh I thought this was the pattern thread sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2016 Author Share Posted March 3, 2016 Oh I thought this was the pattern thread sorry. I did, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 is someones predicted March 12 still walking in the door? or are we talking 2-3 days of 60's then climo?I'd still hedge AN until the eye can see, but ggem/last few runs of the GFS operational models cetainly remind us of how some well timed highs can put a damper on the idea of a prolonged uninterrupted torch in March in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I was basing it on the assumption that was thru end of seasonal snowfall"October - February" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2016 Author Share Posted March 3, 2016 Funny, may posters are where I was 2-3 weeks ago. My melts are over....I've vaulted through the acceptance stage. It is what it is.....tmw never had a chance, therefore I am not aggravated in the least. Looking forward to warmer times. I took some crap for my overconfidence this season, and rightfully so, as I feast on crow. I do, however, take solace in the fact that I knew when to fold 'em, which I also took crap for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2016 Author Share Posted March 3, 2016 Here's to the cluster of low centers pushing a precipatation field north of the cape. Did I type that out loud? Yes. I did. Im bad better take a bath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 I'd still hedge AN until the eye can see, but ggem/last few runs of the GFS operational models cetainly remind us of how some well timed highs can put a damper on the idea of a prolonged uninterrupted torch in March in NE.operational models for patterns are basically useless or at best an Ens member. The strong SE ridge certainly provides a nice warmup. The development of ridging and blocking mid month on ENS seems to indicate a more climo trend after the very warm period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 operational models for patterns are basically useless or at best an Ens member. The strong SE ridge certainly provides a nice warmup. The development of ridging and blocking mid month on ENS seems to indicate a more climo trend after the very warm period.They aren't useless for what I referenced them for? Which was only as a reminder of how things could go wrong for a prolonged torch. I said I am hedging AN for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 is someones predicted March 12 still walking in the door? or are we talking 2-3 days of 60's then climo?Several days of 60's and 70's and then a slight mild down followed by more MAN. So in sum.. The month may end +4 to +5 AN in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Several days of 60's and 70's and then a slight mild down followed by more MAN. So in sum.. The month may end +4 to +5 AN in New EnglandMarch 12 was plus 10, references to that month was certainly hype and highly speculative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 They aren't useless for what I referenced them for? Which was only as a reminder of how things could go wrong for a prolonged torch. I said I am hedging AN for the foreseeable future.true yea AN for what we can see but as you said some Flys around in that ointment. Have baseball practices scheduled for the warm days. Can't wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 March will likely be AN, but 2012 is not walking through that door. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 March 12 was plus 10, references to that month was certainly hype and highly speculative.Yeah it's thrown out there for impact, but also all winter we hear how certain set-ups are like Feb '78 or something like that. I generally look at all of those claims the same. It may not mean that exact outcome will come true, it's added to get discussion going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 With our friend the one eyed pig near Alaska showing up mid month on.. It favors above to MAN in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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