andyhb Posted March 10, 2016 Share Posted March 10, 2016 Yeah it's some really cool stuff and was neat to watch it before several trips we went on last May/June Would be great to see the 20th Century Reanalysis and NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis in COD graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 When Organic Forecasting Sees The Future Months In Advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 ^ Joe I can't get your link to open. Loving this start to March. A very welcome sight from the past 3 year cold springs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 ^ Joe I can't get your link to open. Loving this start to March. A very welcome sight from the past 3 year cold springs. Interesting as it came up for me. Try my weather.kopn.org site or the base beringsearule.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 That clipper like system is still there about 7.5 days from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 models have a strong signal for a very wet Easter weekend. Almost all of this shown on the euro falls in the two days before Easter. Of course the last heavy rain event forecasted for the sub at this range fell apart....so we'll see, but something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 models have a strong signal for a very wet Easter weekend. Almost all of this shown on the euro falls in the two days before Easter. Of course the last heavy rain event forecasted for the sub at this range fell apart....so we'll see, but something to keep an eye on. Some models also showing a snowy type of event to go along with the deluge. Interested to see how this evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Severe Weather To Open April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Spring snow? EURO late Thursday through late Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Severe Weather To Open April Looks like Victor (ERTAF) is going against this and has BN for the first two weeks of April. Rinse, wash, repeat from the last 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Looks like Victor (ERTAF) is going against this and has BN for the first two weeks of April. Rinse, wash, repeat from the last 3 years. The early part of the month looks toast, but I'm not all that concerned about a 2013-2015 pattern locking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Looks like Victor (ERTAF) is going against this and has BN for the first two weeks of April. Rinse, wash, repeat from the last 3 years. Victor's research takes climo into consideration. Ours doesn't. Sent from my S50 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 The early part of the month looks toast, but I'm not all that concerned about a 2013-2015 pattern locking in. I guess somebody has to be optimistic around here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 I guess somebody has to be optimistic around here... He isn't the only one, we have already busted the 13-15 pattern with the active winter we had severe weather wise. Yes there have been a few tries to go back to the ugly pattern, like this upcoming weekend, but they have ended up falling flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 He isn't the only one, we have already busted the 13-15 pattern with the active winter we had severe weather wise. Yes there have been a few tries to go back to the ugly pattern, like this upcoming weekend, but they have ended up falling flat. New weeklies just came out. Apparently.. we don't have to worry about any of this cold stuff/bad pattern, as I've seen people just saying it's a torch with W troughs. Maybe we'll finally get a good pattern going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 New weeklies just came out. Apparently.. we don't have to worry about any of this cold stuff/bad pattern, as I've seen people just saying it's a torch with W troughs. Maybe we'll finally get a good pattern going? Yeah the weeklies look pretty damn good with the mean for the region, higher heights here and lower out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Yeah the weeklies look pretty damn good with the mean for the region, higher heights here and lower out west. Good. Hopefully we'll be active this season, just got my new tripod/camera and need some storms to test it out with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 The PNA that just doesn't want to die: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted April 4, 2016 Share Posted April 4, 2016 The PNA that just doesn't want to die: pna.sprd2.gif It's gotta crash at some point.. Late April/May/June. Don't stop believing. Also.. Here's a video that was just released by a man whose wife was killed by the Fairdale EF-4: http://www.dailyherald.com/article/20160403/news/160409707/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 4, 2016 Share Posted April 4, 2016 It's gotta crash at some point.. Late April/May/June. Don't stop believing. Also.. Here's a video that was just released by a man whose wife was killed by the Fairdale EF-4: http://www.dailyherald.com/article/20160403/news/160409707/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Insane. The feels acquired in that story... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 8, 2016 Share Posted April 8, 2016 We really should be using this thread for the warmup discussion. As others have stated, the upcoming pattern is certainly a great improvement, but with a low slowly moving across the southern US(per the euro) and the surface ridge located to the northeast, that means a cool to mild easterly flow rather than a warm to torchy southerly flow. It may be a frustratingly slow warmup for folks like Geos who live along the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2016 Share Posted April 8, 2016 i keep forgetting it exists but yeah bring the heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 8, 2016 Author Share Posted April 8, 2016 Please don't say that Hawkeye (though I know it will probably be the case)! I'm hoping next Friday at least makes it into the 50s as it is my birthday and I was hoping would be the turnaround point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2016 Share Posted April 8, 2016 it's coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 8, 2016 Share Posted April 8, 2016 We really should be using this thread for the warmup discussion. As others have stated, the upcoming pattern is certainly a great improvement, but with a low slowly moving across the southern US(per the euro) and the surface ridge located to the northeast, that means a cool to mild easterly flow rather than a warm to torchy southerly flow. It may be a frustratingly slow warmup for folks like Geos who live along the lake. Yeah when the ridge is centered west, there's an easterly/northeasterly flow here. Next Friday and weekend is looking pretty good. A light lake breeze is alright, but when the regional flow is east, it really sucks. Warmest day on the EURO is next Sunday at about 55°. Has the warm front stalling along I-80. Western MI and then south of I-80 looking good. Bo and the UP mainly 30s and 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Models have been struggling a bit with what to do with the big western trough this weekend into next week. The trend has been to slow it down. The Euro has even gone to a stall as a rex block forms out west. The GFS still slowly ejects it into the upper midwest. Both models still have another cold shot coming for the northeast US in the medium/long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 That Euro look is absolutely bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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