wisconsinwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I didn't think I would be the one to start this even though I appreciate Spring. Hoping for a warm one this year, even if it means a Morch repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 March 1st isn't far. Que the stats telling us what we already know, that it can snow in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Bring it. This winter is a lost cause. Enjoy the warm months and regroup in 2016-17 for a sexy La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 March 1st isn't far. Que the stats telling us what we already know, that it can snow in March. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 March 1st isn't far. Que the stats telling us what we already know, that it can snow in March.Don't forget April and May too.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 No thank on a Morch repeat. We all know what that meant the rest of the spring and year, 2012. Rather have a slow gradual warm up like most years. I was reading after a strong el Niño severe weather in the Plains is usually more frequent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rdahlem Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 If this potential storm misses next week I'm ready for golf. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 JB thinks this upcoming pattern could last into April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 JB thinks this upcoming pattern could last into April. I actually agree with him, the pattern keeps reloading out west, very similar to December actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 JB is seemingly all-in on warmth, at least until winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Here's what the CFS has for meteorological spring Looking at the individual monthlies, it has each month warmer than average. I think it's been said that it tends to not show colder than average months very often in the longer range so whether it's on the right track...I guess time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Love the way the first half of March is looking. The fun could last even longer than that if the outlier (GEFS) is wrong. Very nasty setup on Euro out in the Plains early next week. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 JB thinks this upcoming pattern could last into April. Where'd he say this? Today he Tweeted images of the GEFS which shows the eastern ridge moving north and causing HLB just after mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Where'd he say this? Today he Tweeted images of the GEFS which shows the eastern ridge moving north and causing HLB just after mid-month. https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/704637661277868032 Not sure if he meant the torch along with the fire hose in CA, but there it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/704637661277868032 Not sure if he meant the torch along with the fire hose in CA, but there it is. He might just mean the west coast. Just because the west coast is wet in this torchy pattern doesn't mean the pattern in the east will be the same. The GEFS is a good example of this, and is probably why the two Tweets are actually not contradictory. The eastern ridge moves into Canada and Greenland and the east goes under a trough... but the west also remains under a trough and stays wet. I believe we saw this kind of pattern in early January. Not saying the GEFS is right, because it's an outlier, but I'm just trying to think like JB might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Boy, this is going to be quite the stretch of mild/warm weather coming up next week. A weak front will move through Tuesday as a low passes by to the north, but it only cools to the mid 50s(brrrrrr) and models show the warm ridge quickly rebuilding across the north as another low dives into Mexico/Texas and cuts off. Our avg high will be in the low 40s, but the latest Euro has mid 50s to upper 60s for at least a week. The best shot at a very early 70 appears to be Tuesday ahead of the front and then again Friday/Saturday. As good as it will feel, I hope the garden doesn't come alive too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Does look like a fairly busy pattern ahead with unseasonable warmth. Door could eventually open for a severe threat in this sub but that remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Boy, this is going to be quite the stretch of mild/warm weather coming up next week. A weak front will move through Tuesday as a low passes by to the north, but it only cools to the mid 50s(brrrrrr) and models show the warm ridge quickly rebuilding across the north as another low dives into Mexico/Texas and cuts off. Our avg high will be in the low 40s, but the latest Euro has mid 50s to upper 60s for at least a week. The best shot at a very early 70 appears to be Tuesday ahead of the front and then again Friday/Saturday. As good as it will feel, I hope the garden doesn't come alive too early. Almost seems like spring sort of snuck up on us since we've been concentrating on tracking these last few snow systems of late. 70 next week would be impressive, but we're already to the time of the year where we can easily reach 80 believe it or not. 2012, 2006, and 1990 are just a few that come to mind when we reached 80+ around March 10th or so. Not saying we're gonna get that warm in the next 10 days, but I wouldn't rule it out if certain things fall into place. Definitely looking like a toasty pattern. Gonna be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Looking forward to some warmth and green. Pattern looks A+ to me, ready to leave this crappy winter behind and embrace the warmth of spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Does look like a fairly busy pattern ahead with unseasonable warmth. Door could eventually open for a severe threat in this sub but that remains to be seen. Hoosier, when you or Andyhb start posting about threats in our subforum I will really take note. Right now I'm interested in St. Patrick's Day or March 18th for us based solely on current GFS. Until then I will watch the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 looks a little moist for the sub over the next couple weeks... euro agrees as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Did not like the look of the 12z GFS. After a couple mild days in the 50s early week, then it turns colder and wet the rest of the week... actually through the 19th. O well it's cut off season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Did not like the look of the 12z GFS. After a couple mild days in the 50s early week, then it turns colder and wet the rest of the week... actually through the 19th. O well it's cut off season. day 10 euro actually looks like it's trying to build in and press an arctic high southward through the lakes and put together an overrunning event. geezus, I need to stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 day 10 euro actually looks like it's trying to build in and press an arctic high southward through the lakes and put together an overrunning event. geezus, I need to stop indeed fwiw, should probably go back to the long range winter thread if the threat continues to show up in the coming days. Discussing winter weather in spring threads gets a bit touchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 EURO is showing two big synoptic, cold rain events from MO back up this way and then to the east. Not quite so cold in OH, but really wet with about 2" for you buckeye. Generally 1.5" from I-80 southward and SE MI. Near 6" by Friv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 I see Dr. Gensini was on WxBrains tonight, good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 I see Dr. Gensini was on WxBrains tonight, good stuff. How did he sound? haha he looked like death today and is coming down with the flu or something. He's getting a lot of press for his ERTAF/GWO stuff that he's been working on last year and being able to forecast tornado activity in the 2-3 week range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 How did he sound? haha he looked like death today and in coming down with the flu or something. He's getting a lot of press for his ERTAF/GWO stuff that he's been working on last year and being able to forecast tornado activity in the 2-3 week range Sounds fine so far lol. And yeah I've been following that (used them quite a bit in their beta stage last year as well) and have been working GWO into my LR forecasting methods recently too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 Sounds fine so far lol. And yeah I've been following that (used them quite a bit in their beta stage last year as well) and have been working GWO into my LR forecasting methods recently too. Yeah it's some really cool stuff and was neat to watch it before several trips we went on last May/June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted March 10, 2016 Share Posted March 10, 2016 Hay field and lawn are full of green shoots already! Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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