CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I'm on the east side in Webster and we're approaching 20"... WOW, thats some serious snows right there especially for KROC. Impressive indeed, and do enjoy it as there can be potentially a couple moe before the season ends. I'm not saying 20"+ storms either, but definitely some threats will exist going forward. Nino springs, here in the NE, tend to, lets say, dreadfully draaag on!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 What a great storm 9.1" so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah, too much model mania last night. You can't live and die with every successive model run (especially those meso models) that comes out, especially that close to an event. I'm interested to see if anyone in the Rochester area reaches 24". I thought it was extremely unlikely, but some of the numbers that have been reported so far are pretty impressive. No way I'm going to make it out here, was only at 9" at 10 am. West side is the wrong side again, I guess! How can there be such a difference in totals as you are both on the West side of KROC?? Delta's saying he's approaching 14-15" prob more like 18" with settling. You say you got 9", but that was at 10 am so what gives out there, lol?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 There is a solid 6-7" on sidestreets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 9.1" so far nice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 What a great storm 9.1" so far.. Good for you boutha! Do you actually know how depressing your Avatar Pic is?? Hope he's not ur uncle or anything like that, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Just measured 14-15" on the ground on the west side of roc. So we probably got 18 new inches if you factor in settling. I also Drove 125 miles around Monroe county and dug out/pushed out a dozen stuck cars over the course of the morning. A really nice event for this area. My backyard....looking lovely! image.jpeg Congrats Delta!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Still raining here in da 315. At least it was expected. Overall a pretty good job by the models depicting the rain/snow line, i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 How can there be such a difference in totals as you are both on the West side of KROC?? Delta's saying he's approaching 14-15" prob more like 18" with settling. You say you got 9", but that was at 10 am so what gives out there, lol?? I'll be making a new measurement in a little bit, I would think we've probably picked up another 2-3" since 10 am. I have no way to estimate how much settling has occurred so I won't make any claims about that...can only report what was on the ground last night (3") and what was on the ground at 10 am (12"). I measure in the flat areas well away from the house and any other obstructions. ROC airport reported 12" new snow at 10:45, so that's 3" more than I measured. Not sure exactly how they measure, I don't follow any official protocols (I take a bunch of measurements in a flat area and average them). But based on what I saw on the radar this morning, I wouldn't be surprised to see a tight gradient in this area. There was an independent report (COCORAHS) from 2 mi ENE of Brockport, very close to where I am, of 8.5" at 10 am. I should find out who that is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I'll be making a new measurement in a little bit, I would think we've probably picked up another 2-3" since 10 am. I have no way to estimate how much settling has occurred so I won't make any claims about that...can only report what was on the ground last night (3") and what was on the ground at 10 am (12"). I measure in the flat areas well away from the house and any other obstructions. ROC airport reported 12" new snow at 10:45, so that's 3" more than I measured. Not sure exactly how they measure, I don't follow any official protocols. But based on what I saw on the radar this morning, I wouldn't be surprised to see a tight gradient in this area. There was an independent report (COCORAHS) from 2 mi NE of Brockport, very close to where I am, of 8.5" at 10 am. gotcha, and I agree about the gradient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 ottawa with 29 cm...11.4" so far. They might end up close to the top of the heap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It looks like the rain/snow line is making progress to the east. It should be in the Syracuse area between 3 and 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Anyone have a map of the current sfc conditions? Interested in where the actual slp is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 after a timid show shower last nite and early am changeover to rain it topped out in mid 40s, and is now a cold 34 in Cazenovia, raining quite hard still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The surface never torched here but the upper levels went above freezing around 2:00 last night, leaving Ithaca with 32-33 and pouring rain the last 12 hours. Everything is covered in an inch of slush and ice, with huge pools of water everywhere that are going to freeze over rapidly this evening. Approaching 3 inches of liquid precip with more to come. Pretty much worst case-scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Rain has now switched over to snow here.switched over about 10 minutes ago. Quarter size flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 1 pm measurement, 14" on ground, so about 11" new snow...ignoring compaction. Anyone aware of any studies related to compaction? Obviously a lot of parameters (snow density, wind, etc), but is there a way to estimate how much compaction may have occurred? And thus how much actual snow fell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Rain has now switched over to snow here.switched over about 10 minutes ago. Quarter size flakes. So the actual changeover must be ahead of the radar algorithm. It shows the r/s line approaching Red Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Still raining here in da 315. At least it was expected. Overall a pretty good job by the models depicting the rain/snow line, i think. Looking at obs, this looks pretty spot on. KBGM switched abruptly from south to west winds, and is bottomed out near 995 mbs. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBGM.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The surface never torched here but the upper levels went above freezing around 2:00 last night, leaving Ithaca with 32-33 and pouring rain the last 12 hours. Everything is covered in an inch of slush and ice, with huge pools of water everywhere that are going to freeze over rapidly this evening. Approaching 3 inches of liquid precip with more to come. Pretty much worst case-scenario. Just...lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Heavy chunks of snow raining from the sky in Skaneateles since 1:50pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 KROC came in with 16.3 at 100 pm. Lots of obs both sides of the city backing that up. FYI, I heard reports that Newark, Lyons, Shortsville area switched over to freezing rain for awhile. 0.25" ice report out of Lyons just before 10 am this morning, but it looks like they had a good 5-7" before changeover. Meanwhile, areas on the far east-side of Monroe County reporting 15-16". Tough call in there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 Be awesome to see some 2' totals around Roc, models definitely hit the jackpot zones quite well! Going to make my 2nd 6 hour measurement once the snow ends shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 We are starting to mix back into snow here in liverpool. Just started. Our long national nightmare is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 Totals so far. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 The surface never torched here but the upper levels went above freezing around 2:00 last night, leaving Ithaca with 32-33 and pouring rain the last 12 hours. Everything is covered in an inch of slush and ice, with huge pools of water everywhere that are going to freeze over rapidly this evening. Approaching 3 inches of liquid precip with more to come. Pretty much worst case-scenario. That's some insane QPF though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Looking at obs, this looks pretty spot on. KBGM switched abruptly from south to west winds, and is bottomed out near 995 mbs. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBGM.html Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Changed over to snow in the last few minutes. Once those winds shifted the 850s really crashed east. Let's see if we can squeeze an inch or two out of the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Somebody dropped the ball big time on ROC metro area, I'm seeing videos of people walking on the 490 east on twitter as nobody can go anywhere from 390 to downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 That's some insane QPF though. Absolutely, I've never seen anything like this in a winter storm in five years up here. And to think I said Ithaca would never be near the QPF maxima for any big storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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