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Feb 15-16 President's Day Massacre Obs


CT Valley Snowman

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The degree of warm-air advection should really begin to kick in over the next 2-4 hours or so.  Strong WAA occurring at 850 and even somewhat at the surface...at least just to our south.  Just have to see exactly what track the sfc low takes and where 850/700mb lows develop and track too...its possible areas to the N & W could withstand more snow if the track is a bit SE than guidance indicated which actually seems like it has a possibility to do so

 

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it's one of those scenarios where you stare intently and obsessively at ever p-type rad blip and talk ur-self out of inevitability, overly scrutinize model output down to the pixel ... looking for any reason to talk yourself into believing things are better off than they are.  

 

spare yourselves the anxiety and study the better looking stuff at the end of the week and beyond.  If something more should positive bust of this, crooning over social media and/or data sources isn't going to make it happen. 

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it's one of those scenarios where you stare intently and obsessively at ever p-type rad blip and talk ur-self out of inevitability, overly scrutinize model output down to the pixel ... looking for any reason to talk yourself into believing things are better off than they are.  

 

spare yourselves the anxiety and study the better looking stuff at the end of the week and beyond.  If something more should positive bust of this, crooning over social media and/or data sources isn't going to make it happen. 

 

changeover line is racing through NJ

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it's one of those scenarios where you stare intently and obsessively at ever p-type rad blip and talk ur-self out of inevitability, overly scrutinize model output down to the pixel ... looking for any reason to talk yourself into believing things are better off than they are.

spare yourselves the anxiety and study the better looking stuff at the end of the week and beyond. If something more should positive bust of this, crooning over social media and/or data sources isn't going to make it happen.

Okay. It's an obs thread.
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