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President's Day Storm Obs & Nowcasting


nj2va

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We should get into a good band during the afternoon and there should a long enough period to hold off warming above to get to 3 inches maybe 4. Anything in the morning looks spotty at best but you never know because sometimes a decent band cold develop where it's not modeled to. NAM is pretty cold for us at the surface until 2-3 in the morning so if that happens we could get a pretty good glaze on top of everything.

Thanks! I was gonna make the decision in the morning, worst case I work half a day, let the kiddo burn some energy at daycare for a bit then come home.

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HRRR and RAP picked up on this band well. Frontogenesis parameters lit up on SPC mesoanalysis.

 

Interestingly, they're both pretty dry after it goes for a few hours. If they are right it's not really 'extra' snow just distributed differently than expected.

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HRRR and RAP picked up on this band well. Frontogenesis parameters lit up on SPC mesoanalysis.

Interestingly, they're both pretty dry after it goes for a few hours. If they are right it's not really 'extra' snow just distributed differently than expected.

Yeah, if the RAP is right better enjoy the next few hours and then sleep until noon

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