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President's Day Storm Obs & Nowcasting


nj2va

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right? people were too damn busy hugging the NAM and its snowfall totals to pay attention to anything else.

Anyways -- dusting at home, about a quarter inch here at work. light flakes falling. working in the office for a few hours before the snow starts again then will head home. roads were fine.

Yeah, it was pretty clear last night that southern areas were in a favored spot.

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Hope people got outside and enjoyed tonight. Tomorrow might suck....nasty lull and then kind of choppy, wimpy radar...

still waiting for anything to start up here. But knew this wasn't ours. I'm just pulling to get an inch then some ice to maybe protect my snow through the deluge tomorrow. Probably a lost cause.
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Interesting disco!

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...INITIAL BATCH OF WARM AIR ADVECTION
PRECIP HAS MOVED OVER THE AREA PRODUCING BETWEEN 1.5 TO 4 INCHES
OF SNOW WITH 20 TO 1 SNOW LIQUID RATIOS PER SPOTTER REPORTS. BASED
ON RADAR TRENDS AND HRRR THERE COULD BE A LULL IN THE PRECIP OVER
THE NRN HALF OF THE FCST AREA THIS MORNING BETWEEN 09Z-12Z BUT
SOUTHERN AREAS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SNOW. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
THEN GETS DRAWN NWD MID MORNING THROUGH THE DAY AS LOW PRES OVR
THE SRN MS VALLEY BEGINS TO ORGANIZE AND COASTAL FRONT ALONG THE
CAROLINAS BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND. WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
SURGE NWD THIS AFTERNOON WITH A RAPID TRANSITION TO FZRA/PL OVER
SRN AREAS AND SNOW MIXING IN WITH ICE PELLETS ALONG THE MASON-
DIXON LINE. SFC TEMPS WILL STAY BELOW FREEZING INTO THE EVENING AS
MODELS SHOW BROAD SFC RIDGING ALONG THE APPALACHIANS MAINTAINING
IN SITU DAMMING. BY MIDNIGHT...LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS AND
STRENGTHENING SFC LOW WILL DRAW A BIG SLUG OF MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION WHILE COASTAL FRONT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. SFC RIDGING
ALONG THE MTNS BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS STRONG PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP
OVER THE AREA WITH COLD AIR BEGINNING TO SCOUR OUT EAST OF THE
MTNS. FZRA WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE TO RAIN IN MOST PLACES AFTER
MIDNIGHT BUT MAY LINGER LONGER OVER THE NRN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND
WESTERN MD. SEE WSW PRODUCT FOR SPECIFIC SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

&&

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Its a beautiful picturesque snowfall. Relatively light winds, snow covered trees/branches, grass completely covered (as well as full road coverage). 3.5 inches. Friend just east of Fredericksburg says they got at least 6. Any more is a bonus before rains tonight/tomorrow. Nice event down here and up thru NOVA.

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