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President's Day Storm Obs & Nowcasting


nj2va

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I'm bad at time conversion. Is the RAP saying there will be snow (virga?) over our area by 9:00pm?

The latest version from ncep shows otherwise. It's probably a blip. The esrl advanced maps run a little later than ncep. That particular map shows 10pm, but I doubt that's right.

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I am expecting way more virga than what is predicted. It's just dry.

Models aren't perfect of course but they account for virga. Usually when we are sucking under virga it means the model(s) got the synoptics wrong.

I wouldn't worry about it at all until things aren't going as planned.

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