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President's Day Storm Obs & Nowcasting


nj2va

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  On 2/14/2016 at 10:47 PM, Disc said:

Didn't take much time for snow to make it to the surface once the more solid returns were overhead. Already have a coating on sidewalks/roads etc. Down to 19 degrees.

Nice intel Disc. Appreciate it. I hope you add some nice totals to your seasonal out of this one

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  On 2/14/2016 at 10:51 PM, NorthArlington101 said:

The fact that people aren't losing snow to virga is good news, I think someone reported snow falling with a -2 DP. Just hope the early start times are legit.

Exactly like Jan 30, 2010. 16 with a dp of 2 here and snow started as soon as echoes moved overhead.

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  On 2/14/2016 at 11:21 PM, NovaTarHeel said:

I'm bad at time conversion. Is the RAP saying there will be snow (virga?) over our area by 9:00pm?

The latest version from ncep shows otherwise. It's probably a blip. The esrl advanced maps run a little later than ncep. That particular map shows 10pm, but I doubt that's right.

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  On 2/14/2016 at 11:40 PM, BristowWx said:

I am expecting way more virga than what is predicted. It's just dry.

Models aren't perfect of course but they account for virga. Usually when we are sucking under virga it means the model(s) got the synoptics wrong.

I wouldn't worry about it at all until things aren't going as planned.

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  On 2/14/2016 at 11:45 PM, Bob Chill said:

Models aren't perfect of course but they account for virga. Usually when we are sucking under virga it means the model(s) got the synoptics wrong.

I wouldn't worry about it at all until things aren't going as planned.

Got it. 22/2. Stickage will be sweet.

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