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Valentine's Day Storm Obs


NCSNOW

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Seems to have stopped in Wake Forest and north Raleigh. For some reason my office decided to open at 2:00. Capital Blvd is clear, but the side roads are messy.

 

That should give you just enough time to go into work, talk about the weather, and head back home.   :)  I'd hate to have to get dressed just for that.

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Temperature made it up to 29.8 around 11am, it's since dropped to 29.1 and held steady there for the last 2 hours.

 

Talk about a waste of a good over-performing CAD wedge. Every short range model had me warming to about 32/33 degrees by now.   The problem is that I've received a total of about 10 drops of rain that evaporated before they could freeze today.

 

It'll be fun watching the 32.5 degree  heavy rain fall after about 36 straight hours of below freezing temperatures later tonight. :axe:

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That should give you just enough time to go into work, talk about the weather, and head back home.   :)  I'd hate to have to get dressed just for that.

 

The thing is if I didn't come in I would have to take a whole day of PTO. And of course I am the only one in my group here.

 

Meanwhile, it just started raining hard here. Too bad we didn't have that last night when it was cold enough for snow.

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SPC

 

CbRzwxcWAAA5XR0.png

REAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN VA/WV...CNTRL/WRN NC...NRN SC

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 151911Z - 152315Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST/EXPAND ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THIS EVENING. RATES UP TO 0.05-0.1 INCHES/HR WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...AS LOW/MID-LEVEL SWLY FLOW STRENGTHENS AND LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE CURRENTLY NEAR EASTERN TX...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
CONTINUE/EXPAND OVER THE MCD AREA. TO THE EAST...E/SELY FLOW WILL
INCREASE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...COLD-AIR DAMMING AGAINST
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL MAINTAIN A WEDGE OF
SUB-FREEZING NEAR-SFC AIR ACROSS MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT. IN TURN...EXPANDING
PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY BE IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH
RATES UP TO 0.05-0.1 INCHES/HR POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN SMALL
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS DEVELOPING ATOP THE WARM NOSE.

..PICCA.. 02/15/2016


ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...CAE...GSP...MRX...

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Temperature made it up to 29.8 around 11am, it's since dropped to 29.1 and held steady there for the last 2 hours.

Talk about a waste of a good over-performing CAD wedge. Every short range model had me warming to about 32/33 degrees by now. The problem is that I've received a total of about 10 drops of rain that evaporated before they could freeze today.

It'll be fun watching the 32.5 degree heavy rain fall after about 36 straight hours of below freezing temperatures later tonight. :axe:

No worry. The French model will save us...

...or not. **crickets**

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