HighStakes Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Seems like a lot of folks were hanging onto the weaker/east solution and thinking a decent snow storm was on the table. I never really saw that Tbh and I usually hedge optimistic more often than not. It's pretty much playing out as the most logical scenario. It qualifies as an "event" for just about everyone. Given how tough it's been to line stuff up this year we should consider this one a win to some degree if we get a couple inches of snow on cold ground. At least we aren't completely wasting the coldest air of the year it seems I alway felt that a flip to rain was inevitable for the entire region however several days ago I thought there was very potential for a significant front end event for most. something along the lines of 4-6 with a more prolonged icing in the favored areas. Even with this bad set up there could have easily been higher snow totals if the initial thump was stronger and aimed further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 It's definitely worth considering at this point. I like the NAM more than a lot of folks here based on comments. I just find it funny the same people who rail against it so frequently are willing to favor it when it shows what they are looking for. Today's runs in particular should probably be weighted on temps to at least some degree (haha!). 0z especially .. if it it still extra cold I'd probably bite harder myself. I realize I'm kind of a jerk sometimes esp when making short quips. I spend as much or more time on Twitter these days so I sometimes mix my commentary by accident. The usual suspects have been fair and balanced like always. Just seemed I've noticed more hopeful filler in recent times overall. I also do get the feeling that across the enterprise there is more run to run shift than ever and I don't think it's that good of a thing. Usually a trend day to day will be rather slow and methodical whereas you see bigger jumps run to run. Like taking every GFS blip as a reason to really think about the solution even though it's unlikely because it's a blip etc. I think the run to run excitement has always been here. I know in the past I've been sometimes frustrated by it which besides writing articles no one reads but comment on anyway, I post here less than I used to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 So, 1-3" for most, light icing, then deluge. Got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Niether the GFS or NAM show a lot of ZR. On the other hand, the RGEM and GGEM show a lot of precip in the 00-06z Tuesday timeslot, which I assume is all ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 EUro is a touch faster than 00z, light accumulated precip into DC by 1AM, very light of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 1" of snow just south of DC by 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Whoa euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 At least every flake will stick. Should be fun to watch for a little while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Radar from Midwest looks encouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I would not saying anything until the storm is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Nice on the front end. Best Euro yet there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Nice on the front end. Best Euro yet there. Now we're talkin. Trajectory shifted in our favor. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 2" for DC and Baltimore city by 1PM, 3" southwest suburbs of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 4" for everyone at 7PM...5-6" for Frederick area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Euro : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Euro is a solid 4" areawide.. nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 .2 baltimore and dc w .3 wsw of dc by 18z tomorrow. Temps all still below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 7PM temps around 30 up and down 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 .2 baltimore and dc w .3 wsw of dc by 18z tomorrow. Temps all still below freezing. Euro is pretty much as perfect as it can get. Best run since that run on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 1AM temps into low 40s so not much change there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 0z is below freezing for almost all of us. Would get some glaze on top. Sweet run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 925s/850s cave by 0Z tuesday. By then there's .4 for most. Surface still barely holding on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Snowmaps are a lil too snowy IMO esp around here given when the change is expected but it's still a good 2-4" areawide. Maybe high end of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Looks like 4" area wide... Temps quickly spike Monday night but still a great run. I like that the NAM and Euro are in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 And temps torch by 6z. I'm leaning towards it being overdone. It's a 10-14 degree jump for the 95 and east crowd. Possible, but I'd be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Trajectory shift or less amped SLP responsible for the increased bullishness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Quite the deluge 12 -18z Tuesday along 95. Woah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Whoa euro A westerly track with a good thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 By 60 everyone gets a good inch of liquid on top of their snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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