BristowWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:15 PM, Amped said: Crappy setups in crappy patterns lead to crappy trends. Time to face the facts, there was 1 storm this winter. At least we had it. Without it and the pain goes much higher. We pinned a lot of hopes and dreams on Feb. I will savor every flake on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I believe this is as far east as the euro has shown for this system for the coc. That is huge! Why is everyone ignoring that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:18 PM, BTRWx said: Someone else please write a detailed analysis. Here ya go....it's cold, we get 2" of snow, temps torch to the mid 40s and rain cleans up the snow. End of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:22 PM, BTRWx said: I believe this is as far east as the euro has shown for this system for the coc. That is huge! Why is everyone ignoring that? Looks awfully close to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 2nd wave gets washed out. Just some light precip as it crosses the mountains despite a colder look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:18 PM, BTRWx said: Someone else please write a detailed analysis.I did UGH!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:24 PM, snowfan said: Looks awfully close to 0z.Yeah it's a bit stretched but looks well west still overall. even if it ended up over DC it wouldn't change much for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:24 PM, snowfan said: Looks awfully close to 0z. Hard to tell exactly what happens between frames after 12Z Tues, but I doubt a due north jump from central VA (12Z) to central PA (0Z) would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I will take my 2 to 4 inches of snow with the rain and run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I'm out so only a quick look but the first wave of waa snow aims at sw va. They do well with a thump. By the time qpf is moving in here the 850 is already moving above 0. Surface not far behind. To me it looked like a coating to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This is the feb 21-22 storm from last year redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:30 PM, psuhoffman said: I'm out so only a quick look but the first wave of waa snow aims at sw va. They do well with a thump. By the time qpf is moving in here the 850 is already moving above 0. Surface not far behind. To me it looked like a coating to rain. .25 here as snow maybe. Euro shows better precip for northern md southern pa from18z to 0z Monday whereas metros areas stay lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:30 PM, psuhoffman said: I'm out so only a quick look but the first wave of waa snow aims at sw va. They do well with a thump. By the time qpf is moving in here the 850 is already moving above 0. Surface not far behind. To me it looked like a coating to rain. You don't think that SW VA swath could extend up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 What does waa stand for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:33 PM, NovaTarHeel said: This is the feb 22-23 storm from last year redux.No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:33 PM, NovaTarHeel said: This is the feb 21-22 storm from last year redux. Assuming you mean the 2/21 saturday storm that stayed snow longer than anticipated. I seem to recall it being a different setup than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:35 PM, Wonderdog said: What does waa stand for?Warm air advection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:35 PM, Wonderdog said: What does waa stand for? Warm air advection. Front side of storms feature this type of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:35 PM, Ian said: No I'm no met, and I won't argue with one, but I see a lot of similarities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:37 PM, Bob Chill said: Warm air advection. Front side of storms feature this type of precip. Thanks Bob and Ian. Any difference between a waa and a warm front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:42 PM, NovaTarHeel said: I'm no met, and I won't argue with one, but I see a lot of similarities.I'm not either so you can have at it if you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:43 PM, Ian said: I'm not either so you can have at it if you want. Well in that case, let's throw down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:42 PM, NovaTarHeel said: I'm no met, and I won't argue with one, but I see a lot of similarities. No. I got 11 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:42 PM, Wonderdog said: Thanks Bob and Ian. Any difference between a waa and a warm front? Advection is the movement of air usually along a front (warm or cold) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:46 PM, Clueless said: No. I got 11 inches. And the models showed 2-4 then rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:52 PM, Leesburgplow said: And the models showed 2-4 then rain! The set up was different. Anyway, that storm was a personal favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 On 2/13/2016 at 6:58 PM, Clueless said: The set up was different. Anyway, that storm was a personal favorite. Gotcha, yeah reading through the obs, It trended way better the day before and we got dumped on. I love that kind! The way I look at it, we have nothing to lose. This may surprise us too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 feb 21, 2015 was one of my favorites as well. great daytime event. didn't flip to sleet/rain untiil after sunset and by then it was pretty much over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Can't find a lot to be optimistic about right now. The srefs continue to look wetter, especially west of the BR, but also push the cold air out faster. I may have to eat crow if the track of this low ends up as shown. Hope it's grilled and lightly sautéed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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