Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Basically a warm front with little fanfare then an active cold front down here. Dr No castrates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 hard to tell if the differences are in the assimilation techniques out over the Pac ...or native model biases... The euro's bias tend to clean up inside of D4 tho. interesting. If you are one privately coveting a more east solution as though that somehow appeases/bargains away the reality of all this ... in either event, i don't think it means any difference to the plight of an obnoxious series of events .. Turning over the season's finest in cold into the season's finest in irate solutions - it really could not have been designed any better if were caused by an agenda. haha... you really just got to laugh and engage in other hobbies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 For the southwest corner of New England drfinately not a ratter. Sitting within 5 inches of the seasonal average of 30. I agree with NNE and CNE being a ratter. Not to derail the thread any more than I did - sorry - but , yeah... This way why one single event can make or break a winter's rep - I'd say N of the Mass Pike on up is in rape counseling - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Well the Euro went about 30 miles east. LOL Now over the central Mohawk Valley to Stowe. Bur amplifies so far west initially that it deprives us even of much of any front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Pretty much. This is my payback for 07-08. Hard to believe that was 8 years ago now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Not to derail the thread any more than I did - sorry - but , yeah... This way why one single event can make or break a winter's rep - I'd say N of the Mass Pike on up is in rape counseling - I'd say if you average like 30-60" that's true about how a single event can make or break a winter. Once north of 80" for an annual average, the 14-24" storm helps a lot but may not change much if that's really all you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I don't think I should give up totally here though. A 50 mile correction east would at least get me back into some healthy front end. Same for PF in Stowe. Certainly looks like it's a done deal anywhere ALB south/east. Finally maybe a good dump into the Dacks so I can at least travel an hour for some snow shoeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I'd say if you average like 30-60" that's true about how a single event can make or break a winter. Once north of 80" for an annual average, the 14-24" storm helps a lot but may not change much if that's really all you have. Yeeeeah, .... not to beat a hypothetical to death, but ... You usually don't get one 14-24" then go back to relentless cosmic dildo action ... you'll get a couple, book ended by designer coffee. Although, 1994-1995 ...tho no analogy, there really was a single storm that whole year if memory serves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 what the hell does grass have to do with your post. So you haven't had two hours of snow all year, cool. How's it feel to see someone respond to every post you make? I know. I am rooting for your Debbie butt to get smoked. Deep breaths, everyone. I think Jeff got something like a 5" in 2 hr dump in the Jan storm, which has been his only +SN all winter, and PF was merely saying that his BY has not seen even that so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Deep breaths, everyone. I think Jeff got something like a 5" in 2 hr dump in the Jan storm, which has been his only +SN all winter, and PF was merely saying that his BY has not seen even that so far. Haha I knew what event Jeff was talking about and it was a reference to two straight hours of like +SN. I've yet to see a steady 1" per hour snow, or heck even 4 inches of snow in one sitting. Did see that event in late December that brought like 3" of snow followed by 2-3" of IP, though. That's our biggest event so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 That was my first big storm to follow with decent graphical data from the net. A one storm winter with that 15" storm in February. We were a bunch of 20something wx geeks using ftp clients to get maps. Now I guess this makes us venerable to the Millennial types here. LOL Yeeeeah, .... not to beat a hypothetical to death, but ... You usually don't get one 14-24" then go back to relentless cosmic dildo action ... you'll get a couple, book ended by designer coffee. Although, 1994-1995 ...tho no analogy, there really was a single storm that whole year if memory serves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Good pick up by this energy met..Hopefully there's something to it? Michael Clark @Met_mdclarkConvective feedback issues with 12Z ECMWF. Donut hole 500mb vort. @met_cooper 0 retweets3 likes Reply Retweet Like 3 More Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Haha I knew what event Jeff was talking about and it was a reference to two straight hours of like +SN. I've yet to see a steady 1" per hour snow, or heck even 4 inches of snow in one sitting. Did see that event in late December that brought like 3" of snow followed by 2-3" of IP, though. That's our biggest event so far. I didn't even realize it was that bad there Scott, Now i feel like i have had an epic winter...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Good pick up by this energy met..Hopefully there's something to it?Huh? The storm is over by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 That's the following s/w that doesn't phase in right. Hell if that had phased the Euro would have a deep surface low over Toronto probably. LOL Huh? The storm is over by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Huh? The storm is over by then. He's not having a good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Huh? The storm is over by then.No he was saying its convective feedback is causing track issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I didn't even realize it was that bad there Scott, Now i feel like i have had an epic winter...........lolOne advisory event (the snow/sleet "storm") and then a whole lot of 1-3 inch per 12 hour blocks type stuff. I know JSpin has done a decent bit better, he's had at least one or two board clearings of 4" or more I think. But he's over a foot ahead of me, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Still seems like the Euro is extremely amped and far northwest..but who am I to go against that model. Wouldn't be shocked if it actually ended up over the Berks or southern VT, etc. If we had better phasing I'd be more believing, but we still have some competition with the trailing s/w, etc. LOL When we have a coastal low I absolutely can never buy that kind of amplification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 But maybe not as bad as back home in Delmar where they probably stand at around 7.5" for the season. I plowed once for that sleet crap Xmas week. 1" of snow and 3" of sleet from that so it had to be plowed. One advisory event (the snow/sleet "storm") and then a whole lot of 1-3 inch per 12 hour blocks type stuff. I know JSpin has done a decent bit better, he's had at least one or two board clearings of 4" or more I think. But he's over a foot ahead of me, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 LOL When we have a coastal low I absolutely can never buy that kind of amplification. Haha I was thinking that if a lot of the coastals the past few years tracked like that (due north) up the coast it would've been a much different outcome for us. Of course the coastal lows exit ENE, but the cutters go full negative slingshot due north into Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This isn't even a typical cutter for this winter because this one is southern stream. But hey even this one will cut just enough I guess.... This winter goes in the annals with 79-80, 88-89, and 94-95, barring a March miracle. As Tip noted 94-95 did have one good storm. Haha I was thinking that if a lot of the coastals the past few years tracked like that (due north) up the coast it would've been a much different outcome for us.Of course the coastal lows exit ENE, but the cutters go full negative slingshot due north into Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This isn't even a typical cutter for this winter because this one is southern stream. But hey even this one will cut just enough I guess.... This winter goes in the annals with 79-80, 88-89, and 94-95, barring a March miracle. As Tip noted 94-95 did have one good storm. March miracles have been tough to come by for you, eduggs and the WNE peeps. Maybe you or MPM can remind me of the last big interior March snow. I think it's been 4 or 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I know St. Patrick's Day 2007 over a foot. March miracles have been tough to come by for you, eduggs and the WNE peeps. Maybe you or MPM can remind me of the last big interior March snow. I think it's been 4 or 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Greater than 6" March storms here since 2008: March 6-7, 2011 12" February 29-March 1, 2012 11" March 18-19, 2013 9.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I know St. Patrick's Day 2007 over a foot. I wish the NWS BOX site had not changed the past snow totals page. 2007 is even longer than I thought though. March has been a tough month here, even with good cold last year. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 That's the following s/w that doesn't phase in right. Hell if that had phased the Euro would have a deep surface low over Toronto probably. LOLThat's SNE's only shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I know St. Patrick's Day 2007 over a foot. I was still living in Maine back then. Anyway, enjoy the cold the next two days. It's the only winter we're getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Another storm thread evolving into GC reminiscing of when it used to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Another storm thread evolving into GC reminiscing of when it used to snow. LOL. At least this time it's not because we have wound up with pretty cirrus. Instead, we can enjoy some liquid qpf. A whole new experience for this winter from hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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