CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 My guess is a compromise weighted to the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This month is essentially going to be a total loss up here right along with the rest of the winter. March is the last real shot at a make up storm but given how things have gone I am betting against that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I ran that GFS run from my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This month is essentially going to be a total loss up here right along with the rest of the winter. March is the last real shot at a make up storm but given how things have gone I am betting against that. This X10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 My guess is a compromise weighted to the euro. Yeah even the GEFS ensembles don't look all that hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This month is essentially going to be a total loss up here right along with the rest of the winter. March is the last real shot at a make up storm but given how things have gone I am betting against that.Wait just 9.5 to 10 months. La Niña Decembers produce. Prolifically so sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Yeah even the GEFS ensembles don't look all that hot. gefs_ptype_ens_ne_17.png Looks like a narrow strip of snow on the NW side. Hoping you guys can get a net gain for the school vacation weeks ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Looks like a narrow strip of snow on the NW side. Hoping you guys can get a net gain for the school vacation weeks ahead. The mountains have a chance at that but certainly here in the Valley that won't be the case. I do hope you are right though. I am about ready to turn in my ski lease LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 again this morning Johns all in http://www.johnsnhweather.com/wxsimforecast.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Best thing is to hope for a couple of inches as WAA starts. But, I don't see how this goes over CC. Even if it goes over CT, that is a lot of rain right along the track, because of strong frontogenesis/convergence of air. I still think PF needs to keep an eye on it. He's in the best spot...maybe Logan11 too. Although, if the euro is right, ugly for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 GFS has quite a good amount of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 again this morning Johns all in http://www.johnsnhweather.com/wxsimforecast.phpThat's a WXSIM forecast.http://www.wxsim.com Looks like it factors in the GFS so it's not surprising that it's favorable for N NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I think BOX is really underestimating the warmth for Tuesday out here.....they're calling for 42*. I'm anticipating at least 5* more than that. I just don't see the GFS playing out--particularly the fun 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 That's a WXSIM forecast. http://www.wxsim.com Looks like it factors in the GFS so it's not surprising that it's favorable for N NH. Ha, Bostonwx used to really love that product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I think BOX is really underestimating the warmth for Tuesday out here.....they're calling for 42*. I'm anticipating at least 5* more than that. I just don't see the GFS playing out--particularly the fun 06z run. I think what they have is reasonable for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I think what they have is reasonable for you. I'd rather have a 47* rain than a 42* rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 I think what they have is reasonable for you. He might not get much above freezing there. That area loves to hold the cold. You can already envision his posts "30.7" Just waiting for the inevitable creep to 40" Surprised at how it stayed so cold here"" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Who is John? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 He might not get much above freezing there. That area loves to hold the cold. You can already envision his posts "30.7" Just waiting for the inevitable creep to 40" Surprised at how it stayed so cold here"" LOL--this is not a situation for CAD with no good high to lock in the cold. I did post yesterday morning that the ZR issue was not getting a lot of attention but that I anticipated the antecedent temps of the preceding days may make for a longer duration situation than what normally might happen. That's an issue of surface (of objects and ground, not 2-meter surface) temps not cold air being locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 John has a weather site in Pittsburg NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Who is John? Pittsburg NH http://www.johnsnhweather.com/ He forecast for the micro climate in the burg. Known as God to snowmobilers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 again this morning Johns all in http://www.johnsnhweather.com/wxsimforecast.php Now we know what zones written by Typhoon Tip would look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 This month is essentially going to be a total loss up here right along with the rest of the winter. March is the last real shot at a make up storm but given how things have gone I am betting against that. Has it been bad in Vermont? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Has it been bad in Vermont?Lol I am assuming this is sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Lol I am assuming this is sarcasm. Yeah, I know it's been historically bad over there. I needed to fulfill my obligatory one post per day quota. Carry on, folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Has it been bad in Vermont? LOL well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Pittsburg NH http://www.johnsnhweather.com/ He forecast for the micro climate in the burg. Known as God to snowmobilers 10" of snow depth up there in mid-February at 2,000ft along the Canadian border. Wonder what his all time low or low max depth is? Some winters he's got like a 4-5 foot pack right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 NWS Maine discussion THE MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL HANG ONTO SNOW LONGER. LOOKING AT THEQPF... THIS COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT... ESPECIALLYNORTH OF A LINE FROM LEBANON NH TO THE LAKES REGION OF MAINE.THIS WOULD ALSO DEPEND ON THE FLUFF FACTOR AND AT THIS POINT ITLOOKS LIKE THIS WILL BE A MORE NORMAL OR WETTER SNOW THAN WE HAVEBEEN HAVING RECENTLY...INDICATING SNOW RATIOS BETWEEN 1:10 AND1:13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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