Bsudweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I will only wetbulb down a couple degrees but anything that falls into a sfc temp of 24° would be a flash freeze pretty much. So once the precip reaches sfc things will get bad very quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Wow guys! 9 freakin inches and coming down moderately in ROA still. This has been something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I will only wetbulb down a couple degrees but anything that falls into a sfc temp of 24° would be a flash freeze pretty much. So once the precip reaches sfc things will get bad very quick! My DP has gone from -1 to 18 and my temp from 28 to 30, with precip closing in. So much for a wetbulb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 exciting (sarcasm) here - 27 with light drizzle. radar is not that impressive for ga, at least. everything that keeps moving into nw ga seems to be sliding to the ne. the heavier stuff is still well in alabama so at this point WAA may win out before the precip finally arrives imby Latest 4k NAM has you below freezing all the way past 11pm tonight. Hmmm....better hope that is not correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I prefer to call them survivors of the massacre taking place 5000ft in the air. #savetheflakes #flurriesarereal #iwanttobelieve Haha! #truestory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I can confirm that in southern wake near the harnett/johnston lines, we did get light snow within the last 30-45 minutes. then sleet, then light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I prefer to call them survivors of the massacre taking place 5000ft in the air. #savetheflakes #flurriesarereal #iwanttobelieve Especially surprising given the profiles in RDU, must be snowing really hard or the flakes huge to survive to the surface here is 925 and 850.....the wedged in areas to the west will obviously hold out longer but once the rain gets going it will warm everyone up quick..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Wow guys! 9 freakin inches and coming down moderately in ROA still. This has been something. Enjoy it while PType is snow. Chang over to non snow is rapidly approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Wow guys! 9 freakin inches and coming down moderately in ROA still. This has been something. Congrats! You win every time! How soon are you projected to change over, and do your soundings ever flip to plain rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 10:29 EST at KGSP 2M Temp was 25 F, TD was 24 F with 96% Humidity. Which model called this correctly? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 10:29 EST at KGSP 2M Temp was 25 F, TD was 24 F with 96% Humidity. Which model called this correctly? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller? Yeah, I don't think any model had GSP that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Enjoy it while PType is snow. Chang over to non snow is rapidly approaching. Yea I figured no complaints though with how hard it has snowed this morning! Ready for some ice later! Radar looking impressive down south. Tornado watches in Louisiana. Could be very interesting in a bad way here later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 To give you guys a idea of how far west the low is suppose to go this is the forecast for my grandmother who lives in western Mass and is currently coming off a low last night of -15....crazy how much warm air floods up the east coast. Washington's Birthday A chance of snow, mainly after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 25. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tonight Snow, possibly mixed with sleet before 9pm, then freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet between 9pm and 11pm, then freezing rain after 11pm. Areas of fog after 9pm. Temperature rising to around 32 by 5am. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Areas of fog. High near 54. South wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Latest 4k NAM has you below freezing all the way past 11pm tonight. Hmmm....better hope that is not correct. well that is interesting, but the way this winter has gone i am not expecting that. since it warms up afterwards and would wash water freezes away i wouldnt mind at least some frozen precip since its now mid feb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpg2 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Yeah, I don't think any model had GSP that cold. No it didn't! I'm a bit concerned because I am at work and not at home where I like to be when roads are icy. It is raining lightly here. Fraining. I know light glaze of ice was forecasted for this time of day - It just made me nervous. Sorry for the banter! Mods please delete if you feel necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 My DP has gone from -1 to 18 and my temp from 28 to 30, with precip closing in. So much for a wetbulb? That would be the inefficient wet bulbing in the Piedmont I mentioned in my discussion yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Congrats! You win every time! How soon are you projected to change over, and do your soundings ever flip to plain rain? Honestly I haven't even checked because I've been so amazed by the rates from this morning but I know there were reports of ZR in southside as of 1000 so it's gotta be close now. There are a bunch of yellows and oranges on the radar signifying to me that sleet is around at least but right now it's mod to heavy snow still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 That would be the inefficient wet bulbing in the Piedmont I mentioned in my discussion yesterday. Thanks Matt. I'm assuming this is due to the lack of precip (no rates to quickly saturate the column and bring temps down)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Thanks Matt. I'm assuming this is due to the lack of precip (no rates to quickly saturate the column and bring temps down)? Correct. Due to lack of rates, you're getting less evaporational cooling and more gradual moistening of the air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Kendra Kent on fox 21 just posted a pic on FB where it was snowing moderately in Greenville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 WYFF just posted on Facebook that the mets in the studio are getting more concerned about this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tigerchick224 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Did the models really pick up on the moisture that seems to be coming in from the Atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Did the models really pick up on the moisture that seems to be coming in from the Atlantic? The NAM did. The last several runs. Shawn pointed it out and talked about how scary that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCBud Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 WYFF just posted on Facebook that the mets in the studio are getting more concerned about this storm. Justus hype machine in full effect. Not falling for it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 10:29 EST at KGSP 2M Temp was 25 F, TD was 24 F with 96% Humidity. Which model called this correctly? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller?RGEM FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Justus hype machine in full effect. Not falling for it again. He's not the only one getting concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tigerchick224 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 He's not the only one getting concerned. Dale is in on it too...and he tends to be as conservative as it gets. This is getting interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Well I'd be concerned to with that heavy precip coming into GA and most of the upstate is sitting at 25-28° That's not good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 WYFF just posted on Facebook that the mets in the studio are getting more concerned about this storm.I'm sure Dale Gilbert , is all bent out of shape! JC and CJ , left the door open and said they didn't expect much to happen today, last night, and said it would be rain by 5pm and 1/10 of an inch of glaze was possible, but if temps didnt warm , it could go from nuisance event to a major event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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