Hvward Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I've just seen two or three descriptions of the EuroPara and they are all leaps and bounds opposite of each other. Snow map on storm vista shows a WNC special with a widespread 3-6". NGa gets 3"-6" widespread and then has a bullesye of 10"! Central NC gets 2"-4" and all of this is before the rain washes it away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Sure seems to be a lot of confusion on here. I'm reading everything from 1-2 inches to a foot plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 90% of this board will benefit from those parcels not phasing. It's even risky for the mountains to root for a phase, IMO. Agreed, everyone would benefit from the upper level low cutting off farther south and passing under the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Sure seems to be a lot of confusion on here. I'm reading everything from 1-2 inches to a foot plus. delete this thread now blue!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Have to agree burrel2, outside TN and the mtns cant risk a phase off to the west. It will be freezing rain galore. Atleast this way well have a better shot 9f staying sleet for awhile imo after the quick front end snow. Course we never got the front end snow in Jan storm and sleeted 3 inches of accum. Gonna be ironic if we hit climo and it's all sleet this year at GSO and WS areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Snow map on storm vista shows a WNC special with a widespread 3-6". NGa gets 1-2" and Central NC gets 2"-4" and all of this is before the rain washes it away. Looks like C NC should be less than 1"based on the surface map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 No, I'd be interested in hearing snow totals. (I.e. where does the 2 inch line run? Macon to Columbia... or atlanta to charlotte? etc..) Also, surface temps and precip timing would be great if anyone wants to share. lol pretty tight gradient.......2" cutoff seems to run from Atl to Charlotte per Stormvista maps. part of the upstate is 6 - 8 and part 4 -6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Guessing the confusion comes from Mac's "he said, she said" post describing a north Ga bomb: whoever the guys at TW are seem clueless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 delete this thread now blue!!! Nope. I love the comedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Guessing the confusion comes from Mac's "he said, she said" post describing a north Ga bomb: whoever the guys at TW are seem clueless. there is a N Ga bulleye of 10 - 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Para still plain ugly for most of NC outside mts and foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Zooming in on my phone now there is a small sliver over 10"+ over NGa probably Blairsville, Blue Ridge GA special. My fault missed that but the para euro is a great hit for N GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The 12z euro para is a lot better track but also slower. It starts off as some frozen precip for all but quickly changes to rain as the hp is moving out. It has most of the heavy precip late Monday and then through Tuesday. We all need this track but quicker. This storm has really slowed down. It originally was a Monday storm but now looking more like Tuesday. That's the wrong trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Guessing the confusion comes from Mac's "he said, she said" post describing a north Ga bomb: whoever the guys at TW are seem clueless. lol, sure got people going bananas!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Para euro is keying on on that initial east to west band of precip developing Monday morning. That precip will most likely be snow, it's just a matter of who gets it. Most of the models focus that band over Tennessee into the NC mountains. The ARPEGE and Para Euro want to develop that streak farther south. Outside of that feature, it looks like it will be rain, or freezing rain and sleet for everyone including the mountains. The amount of freezing rain and sleet depends on the development of CAD and the track of the surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Sounds like we hug the para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The 12z euro para is a lot better track but also slower. It starts off as some frozen precip for all but quickly changes to rain as the hp is moving out. It has most of the heavy precip late Monday and then through Tuesday. We all need this track but quicker. This storm has really slowed down. It originally was a Monday storm but now looking more like Tuesday. That's the wrong trend. It'll be fropa before it's all over with given that drag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The high is going to be hauling a+ a couple of dollar signs out of there. Slower with the low inbound ain't gonna cut it. On second thought, it may cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 there is a N Ga bulleye of 10 - 12" My apologies to the guys at TW and Mac for sharing. Just seemed like a huge discrepancy with the information being given. Is the 4" in ATL also there? If so, good for those guys... Keeping hope alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I only have surface map, but overall it's not much snow anywhere outside of the mountains. Quick burst of snow for Atlanta on Northward, maybe 1-2". CAD hangs on with surface temperatures below freezing for a good majority of the event just north of Atlanta, into N SC, and west of Raleigh, NC... but everyone switches to rain for at least some. So in other words it's a nasty Ice storm in those areas on top of 1-2" of snow?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My apologies to the guys at TW and Mac for sharing. Just seemed like a huge discrepancy with the information being given. Is the 4" in ATL also there? If so, good for those guys... Keeping hope alive. The clown looks great. It does have 4" around Atlanta. But I doubt that is snow. Maybe 2-4" of snow isn't a stretch for NGA?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Sounds like the trough just stays posotive and the surface low scoots west to east Monday a.m and everyone's best bet is to be in the right spot cause that's where the snow is coming from. The northern stream is so late it just heads poleward up the backside of the HP sliding out of the NE. Just give me the slider or surface lp and maybe the ns will be non existent, it's of no use unless you love ice. Now if it wants to dive down to Florida and phase with the surfacce low coming through late sun into monday a.m. then I'm all game possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My apologies to the guys at TW and Mac for sharing. Just seemed like a huge discrepancy with the information being given. Is the 4" in ATL also there? If so, good for those guys... Keeping hope alive.It's all good! The descrepency comes from GA getting a foot and NC getting rain! That's why 90% say it sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My apologies to the guys at TW and Mac for sharing. Just seemed like a huge discrepancy with the information being given. Is the 4" in ATL also there? If so, good for those guys... Keeping hope alive. "possibly"....there is a very tight gradient on the Storm Vista snow map from Atl to GA / NC border.....so there could be 4" in the northern burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Georgia does start as snow on the para but 850's quickly warm. It does stay as ip or zr for a while before changing to rn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Just wanted to point out the obvious...we're still over 120 hours away from this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My 3 cents...Para is less than an inch of snow in ATL looking at 850 temps. Not much more than that from GSP to CLT. Those clown maps are true clowns, counting ice as snow. Anyway, better run than Op, but a lot of warming as trough goes negative tilt in E TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Just wanted to point out the obvious...we're still over 120 hours away from this event 120 hours from now is Monday night at 1030pm. So this event doesnt start until Tuesday ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 120 hours from now is Monday night at 1030pm. So this event doesnt start until Tuesday ? It's a ways out and a lot can change...eta is uncertain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Euro para finally came out on wxbell, I would take that in a heart beat over those amped cutter solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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