Bsudweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yep, not gonna cut it. That northern stream disturbance boots that HP out so fast. Still looks like the cold holds a little longer this run. Upstate still Snow over to Ice before a changeover to Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yea just give me the front end and get it here sunday. I'll throw the monday deal on the curb and give it away. Like we have 2 seperate systems. Better off for it cause if they phase well just about all end up on the east side and get cooked with temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Wow. 50-100 mile shift south. Let's keep this south trend up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 gfs is a rain storm all the way up to maine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Definitely a better run. Phases later and the storm is quicker and east of the apps. Storm goes along i-20 to the piedmont of nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The GFS is a trend toward the NAM LOL! Well, they both ran at the same time (00z runs), so they're both just shifting in the same direction, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Thanks Grit. March 8th it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yep, not gonna cut it. That northern stream disturbance boots that HP out so fast. Yeah, that is the key. Otherwise, the low pressure track changed from going through WNC into VA to roughly following I-85 through SC and NC. Good start at least. I'll grab hold of Mild Rain's bungee cord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 gfs is a rain storm all the way up to maine!It's gonna be an inland runner. The question is does it go west of the apps or up 95? I'm hoping for the 95 track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Just keep that Low creeping back toward the coast where it needs to be... hopefully a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 That's a much better track. Another 50-100 shift south would make alot on here happy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I like that wave coming in behind. it is faster, nice kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 At 96 on UKMet, sfc low is near / just south of Columbus, GA. Sfc is high is way off the NE coast like GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 At 96 on UKMet, sfc low is near, just south of Columbus, GA. Sfc is high is way off the NE coast like GFSsounds like an ok run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 UKMet - at 120, sfc low is on NY/MA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 With this type of track you will see the mountains go into the upper 30s to low 40s while the foothills are 32 or below Monday evening/night....early Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 At 96 on UKMet, sfc low is near / just south of Columbus, GA. Sfc is high is way off the NE coast like GFSComparing that to the 96 hour Gfs it's obviously farther south but it's faster. That tells me there is less phasing than the Gfs.Does it have that kicker like the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 At 96 on UKMet, sfc low is near / just south of Columbus, GA. Sfc is high is way off the NE coast like GFS Pretty similar to last night's 00z UKMET run, I take it? This is last night's run at hr 120 (so, equivalent to hr 96 tonight): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The 00z GGEM looks to be coming in weaker and more strung out so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Canadian MUCH faster Vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC is getting a good bit more of the precip into the cold air this run...out to 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Faster and further south is the name of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Snow to big sleet or frz rain storm in foothills on CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 With this type of track you will see the mountains go into the upper 30s to low 40s while the foothills are 32 or below Monday evening/night....early Tuesday morning. Yea a more southern track will not erode the CAD away as fast so precip in CAD regions will stay frozen much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Big snow to ice in mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC keeps the wedge thru 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 a TON of precip in NC foothills/mtns. on CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Comparing that to the 96 hour Gfs it's obviously farther south but it's faster. That tells me there is less phasing than the Gfs. Does it have that kicker like the gfs? Seems like it does, but not as pronounced as GFS with the kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC is one nasty snow to Ice storm for i85 North through SC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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