MacintoshPro Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Please note that the snowfall amounts assume climo ratios (11:1). And each amount is a threshold. I assume if you pick 6", a 15" would also qualify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Please note that the snowfall amounts assume climo ratios (11:1). And each amount is a threshold. I assume if you pick 6", a 15" would also qualify. Well clearly the 3-6" from the PD storm last season didn't earn it. I think it has to go above a foot in the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Please note that the snowfall amounts assume climo ratios (11:1). And each amount is a threshold. I assume if you pick 6", a 15" would also qualify. has to be a HECS like 79,2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 I put down a 6-10" blizzard... and my second vote would probably be for 12". 6" is not an high impact storm and I would probably forget about it in a couple years, but a 6-10" blizzard would be memorable enough and high impact that it would qualify in my book. Otherwise, a foot is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 I voted 15", but I was thinking DCA...Ji is right, I think it would have to be > 18" In MBY to be remembered among those lengendary storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Big storm realistically = rain for me with this crappy pattern, so I voted 3". Give me the weaker but colder, more suppressed low that leaves those NW of I-95 with pixie dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 I would be happy with 6-10"...that would put me in a commanding lead against my friend in Fairbanks for our snowfall bet this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 My area already had PD3 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 It depends on the cold to me. I have had 12 inch storms that were terrible for the roads because of the cold. I had 20 inches with the March 2013 storm and it was gone in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 My area already had PD3 last year. What did you get? I vaguely remember that it was a cold 3-6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 What did you get? I vaguely remember that it was a cold 3-6" here. About 7" IMBY. The further south and east you went, the more they got. Think parts of lower eastern shore got into double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 About 7" IMBY. The further south and east you went, the more they got. Think parts of lower eastern shore got into double digits. I had forgotten that storm was on PD. It was my second biggest of last winter. 6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Gotta be a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Storm does not get my respect until it hits 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We get big storms all the time now. It would need to have a couple EF-1's, tree toppling micro bursts and a tsunami and maybe a little lava and a small earth quake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We get big storms all the time now. It would need to have a couple EF-1's, tree toppling micro bursts and a tsunami and maybe a little lava and a small earth quake. As long as the hot lava doesn't warm things up too much and turn us to rain! But seriously...if we score ~6" in the DC area, I'd have to consider that quite a win. Even if we flip to sleet and then rain at the end (which hopefully won't wash it all away). My benchmark for being really good would be like that February event last year when we were spotted some 20 degrees before it changed over. I think there's a halfway decent shot we can get something similar in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'd be willing to trade in the ef-1's and other stuff for an asteroid strike just as the final death band shuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We get big storms all the time now. It would need to have a couple EF-1's, tree toppling micro bursts and a tsunami and maybe a little lava and a small earth quake.Man.. I could go for a EF1 right now. Catch some crabs, watch an EF1 pop off a few roofs. I might of just had a twinge of spring fever lol.The original presidents day storms were HECS. Those are big shoes to fill. But it has to be done in order to join the elite and take the name. PD3 18" or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 I just realized that DC hasn't had a clean 12-16" storm in like 50 years. Its either HECS or bust with DCA's problems. I've had foot storms in both of the MECS (Feb 2006 and 2014), but DCA has had at least 4" less than me in each. I think that I would definitely consider a 12"+ storm for DCA a PD3... they're pretty darn rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Fun little DCA fact: 7 snowstorms in the 16-20" range (5 from 1996 onward) but only 2 in the 12-16" range. So yes, we do the HECS well but the immediate next tier down tends to fall short of a foot in the city/at DCA (like 3/93, 2/14). 5 HECS in 20 years is absolutely amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I just realized that DC hasn't had a clean 12-16" storm in like 50 years. Its either HECS or bust with DCA's problems. I've had foot storms in both of the MECS (Feb 2006 and 2014), but DCA has had at least 4" less than me in each. I think that I would definitely consider a 12"+ storm for DCA a PD3... they're pretty darn rare. Lol-- we just posted the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Lol-- we just posted the same thing. Thats funny I think especially in recent times, there is a strong correlation to the N/W suburbs and DC's storm total. In the borderline HECS storms of 93 and Feb '14, The N/W suburbs got 15-20", while DCA got much less. I guess I'm trying to say that for DCA to truly have HECS totals, the N/W suburbs need to have 24-36" of snow. This was true in Jan 96, Jan 2016, Feb 2010A, PD1, PD2 (mostly northern places). When the western suburbs get 15-20" of snow, DCA is probably not going to get anywhere near that. I guess the only time this didn't work is December 2009, probably because that was a very cold storm. Overall, the main message is that the N/W burbs always win - whether it be deathbanded, colder, dryslotting, better ratios, deformation bands, N/W shifts.... they have done better in every single HECS, even the cold ones. I wonder if/when we'll see a DC jackpot in a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Thats funny I think especially in recent times, there is a strong correlation to the N/W suburbs and DC's storm total. In the borderline HECS storms of 93 and Feb '14, The N/W suburbs got 15-20", while DCA got much less. I guess I'm trying to say that for DCA to truly have HECS totals, the N/W suburbs need to have 24-36" of snow. This was true in Jan 96, Jan 2016, Feb 2010A, PD1, PD2 (mostly northern places). When the western suburbs get 15-20" of snow, DCA is probably not going to get anywhere near that. I guess the only time this didn't work is December 2009, probably because that was a very cold storm. Overall, the main message is that the N/W burbs always win - whether it be deathbanded, colder, dryslotting, better ratios, deformation bands, N/W shifts.... they have done better in every single HECS, even the cold ones. I wonder if/when we'll see a DC jackpot in a HECS. Yes, and while PD1 is remembered as an eastern suburb bullseye, the NW suburbs up through at least Gaithersburg did very very well. 18-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 It depends on the cold to me. I have had 12 inch storms that were terrible for the roads because of the cold. I had 20 inches with the March 2013 storm and it was gone in 2 days. Really? Back then you said it was about 14" or so. I think WinterWxLuvr got a foot but I recall him not being happy about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 As for the question, I think a good MECS would qualify, so I voted 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Jokes aside, fairly widespread 18"+ totals is good. Shuts down the neighborhood streets until a plow comes through. One of my neighbors has an F250 with a plow and he will plow a strip on the street as long as it's not over 15-18". He plowed for us during Feb 2014 no problem. I think 12" widespread is pretty manageable in general across the region. Once you cross the 18" mark it gets pretty complicated getting things cleaned up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Really? Back then you said it was about 14" or so. I think WinterWxLuvr got a foot but I recall him not being happy about it. Haha..11.5" if I remember....and it was about 4" by 3 o'clock. Definition of a drip fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 As for the poll, I could see 12"+ being pdIII. I'd settle for an inch with cold temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 go big or go home. 35" Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 15" would do it, though I could see a region-wide 12"+ storm falling on/around PD doing it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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