Johnno Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Wow and that banana extension of that 1050 high is something to watch Looks good for the 'burg and my end of the month snowmobile trip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 6z GFS should make PF happy and E NY...looks like it tracks thru E MA near BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 John is all in Tuesday & Wednesday http://www.johnsnhweather.com/wxsimforecast.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Gfs is good for VT. Inches of rain for the rest. The euro ensembles at least looked good at the end of the run. Until then, pull the shades down for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 06z GFS is a Rainer for all of ENE with some light wrap around snow as the storm moves off NNE. I suspect this will verify/trend colder but not sure if it is enough to save us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 06z GFS is a Rainer for all of ENE with some light wrap around snow as the storm moves off NNE. I suspect this will verify/trend colder but not sure if it is enough to save us here. Why would it trend colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Euro wasn't as bad as 12z. We're trending towards those cold gets..Secndary south of LI..colder mix to rain scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 didnt you say the gfs would inch west? i think the euro just had an off run last night, i think its wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The personality of this season rolls on Need the banana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Kevin has convinced Fisher As for next Tuesday's storm, I'd give it a 1% chance of being rain. Too much arctic air entrenched. Mix event more likely. Scooters' 55-60 and rains to Maine are in trouble. It will rain for some of it..but it ain't gonna torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 As of last night, all the energy for this storm was just off the coast of Japan. Long way to go on this one.....I certainly don't want an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well whatever happens ..it's now the EPS vs everything else. Canadian ens and GEFS are still offshore..and the operational guidance with the exception of the GGEM are snow to start even for the coast. Just not going to dislodge arctic air like that as fast as EPS would have you believe. Doesn't mean all snow or ice..but this should at least start as wintry precip before a colder rain takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nice tic on the EURO. Looks like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 To an extent, I agree about not being able to dislodge the arctic air. However, I've seen it happen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Scooters' 55-60 and rains to Maine are in trouble. It will rain for some of it..but it ain't gonna torch what is the difference if it rains at 35 or 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well whatever happens ..it's now the EPS vs everything else. Canadian ens and GEFS are still offshore..and the operational guidance with the exception of the GGEM are snow to start even for the coast. Just not going to dislodge arctic air like that as fast as EPS would have you believe. Doesn't mean all snow or ice..but this should at least start as wintry precip before a colder rain takes over. Canadian ensembles are over you. You are delusional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Why would it trend colder? I think the high will trend better and the low is more likely to track near CC than it is BTV. Watch and wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 John is all in Tuesday & Wednesday http://www.johnsnhweather.com/wxsimforecast.php 30-40 inches including mixed precip is one wild event lol and still several days out too ! that is a very ballsy forecast at this juncture..even for up there with a perfect track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I think the high will trend better and the low is more likely to track near CC than it is BTV. Watch and wait. My guess it goes right into SNE west of CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 SE MA and CC should watch Friday night into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My guess it goes right into SNE west of CC. for the vast majority of us. in sne..even the berks sounds pretty wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My guess it goes right into SNE west of CC. I think for sure it's going along the 95 corridor but that wedge feature from offshore into the northern MA and SNE is something that could be a factor, it could keep the surface winds ENE or NE much longer than otherwise would be the case. I said in the NYC forum that was what happened in January 87. This is definitely a storm where DCA and PHL could see more snow than NYC and BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Canadian ensembles are over you. You are delusional. And I call your 55-60 in SNE delusional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I think for sure it's going along the 95 corridor but that wedge feature from offshore into the northern MA and SNE is something that could be a factor, it could keep the surface winds ENE or NE much longer than otherwise would be the case. I said in the NYC forum that was what happened in January 87. This is definitely a storm where DCA and PHL could see more snow than NYC and BOS What do you think about potential significant ice storm with low level cold and the high wedge CAD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 And I call your 55-60 in SNE delusional Well I never said that so...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I think for sure it's going along the 95 corridor but that wedge feature from offshore into the northern MA and SNE is something that could be a factor, it could keep the surface winds ENE or NE much longer than otherwise would be the case. I said in the NYC forum that was what happened in January 87. This is definitely a storm where DCA and PHL could see more snow than NYC and BOS I said yesterday longitude will be important. But it looks like rain for a lot of the area as of now. Western SNE has a better chance of more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I don't see ice as an issue unless maybe NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What do you think about potential significant ice storm with low level cold and the high wedge CAD? Not really a big ice storm set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What do you think about potential significant ice storm with low level cold and the high wedge CAD? I agree with CoastalWX here...ice very unlikely, this is more likely to go heavy snow to rain than any sort of prolonged ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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