CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 To clarify, WW's example to justify his nooseworthy meltdown was his own fault. That said, he may get 1-2 if the euro is correct on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 To clarify, WW's example to justify his nooseworthy meltdown was his own fault. That said, he may get 1-2 if the euro is correct on Monday. Winter is saved!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Winter is saved!!! You are cracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 You are cracking.Nah. I wrote this off at the January blizzard. At this point it is more of a game to try to figure out what bizarre solution the GFS will produce every six hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 You are cracking. Seems like the majority in here have. It's unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 This is still a model thread and I recommend the melting be done in one of the other OT threads. Take your sh1tty winter like a man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 To clarify, WW's example to justify his nooseworthy meltdown was his own fault. That said, he may get 1-2 if the euro is correct on Monday. Scott please stop saying it's anybody's fault. I explained why the winter sucks in all of New England for most all places. I'm not basing it on Mondays system or Wednesday system at all. I was as a whole it does suck. Snowmobiling is non existent in most every place in New England, and the ski industry is struggling mightily too. It's not good!! I'm not a wishcaster, or a Debbie downer either, but there comes a time to when you just have to say something is bad, and for me it's now. I was never counting on Mondays system, and I don't think Monday will deliver any snow to interior CT. We've wasted a lot of chances and decent patterns this year, and that's just the way it goes some years. It's nobody's fault.. It's just the weather. But there's nothing wrong with calling a lousy winter, a lousy winter. I know some extreme southeast areas have done much better than most, and for those areas and folks, I am happy for them. They are the exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well, it is your fault for getting your hopes up on a low confidence event and then using it to justify a melt. Sorry. Deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well, that was pretty awful. Congrats Ray on melting rightfully. still time to salvage stuff for the season though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well, it is your fault for getting your hopes up on a low confidence event and then using it to justify a melt. Sorry. Deal. As you alluded to, we still need to watch the track of that s/w for Monday. Low confidence but it could drop an inch or 2 in extreme southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 As you alluded to, we still need to watch the track of that s/w for Monday. Low confidence but it could drop an inch or 2 in extreme southern areas. Right. I wouldn't sleep on a little snow from pike south. Just know it's low confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Meanwhile we torch today. Upper 40s right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The melting is embarrassing. This always, always, always, had a high cutter risk. If you didn't realize that you weren't actually looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well, it is your fault for getting your hopes up on a low confidence event and then using it to justify a melt. Sorry. Deal. I was using all the aspects, not only Monday, sorry you couldn't understand that. I will deal just fine. As will everybody. Yes, just maybe southeast areas will grab an inch on Monday if it breaks right, but as you've pointed out, very low confidence, and not much opportunity here with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 I believe... We are in for an Angels in the Outfield moment next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Meanwhile we torch today. Upper 40s right now. Wow.....still 33* here. The big question for me at this point regarding mid-week is how warm can we get the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 I believe... We are in for an Angels in the Outfield moment next week.It's not valid to completely write it off for all areas as rain either. It's still 4 days out. It will probably cut based on last night's guidance but small changes in the cleanness of the phase or the HP position and strength can mean a GFS vs ggem solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Uber el nino behaving like one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 I think you mean El Niño Gigante Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Calling it a crap winter depends upon where you live in New England. Down here I'd say it's been an average winter. I would say less then average for KTAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 This model thread blows Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 WW is right, when was the last time we had a winter that snowmobiling in NNE basically wasn't possible? I bought one last year at the end of the season and have only been able to take a few laps around my yard!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 It's not valid to completely write it off for all areas as rain either. It's still 4 days out. It will probably cut based on last night's guidance but small changes in the cleanness of the phase or the HP position and strength can mean a GFS vs ggem solution.If the eps is correct its 6 days outAnd the storm hasn't even come on shore yet... I don't know why people are writing the off yet when we have seen pretty big shifts this year withing 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 If the eps is correct its 6 days out.The more favorable solutions have had that first low which would be more like 4 if it happened, but you're right. And that matters, since we probably haven't seen the exact final solution yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The more favorable solutions have had that first low which would be more like 4 if it happened, but you're right. And that matters, since we probably haven't seen the exact final solution yet. Yeah it just seems that things have been trending words the second low. Which Bernie rayno was saying to watch the second low as he thinks that's what will produce the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Yeah it just seems that things have been trending words the second low. Which Bernie rayno was saying to watch the second low as he thinks that's what will produce the stormBernie Rayno thinks everything will be a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Bernie Rayno thinks everything will be a snowstormHaha, I've seen less hype out of him than anyone else though.And I mean he was right it seems that the second storm is gonna be the one to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 What's interesting is that the GFS had this as a cutter way back last Friday, jumped around, and now looks similar to then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 WW is right, when was the last time we had a winter that snowmobiling in NNE basically wasn't possible? I bought one last year at the end of the season and have only been able to take a few laps around my yard!!! I have been ok with the winter in Nashua That Being said, the winter is an utter joke for NNE. It's sad. I'm going to Stowe sat nite/ Sun nite (skiing Sunday) . Gf wanted to do some husky led ride around and about , sorry not enough snow. But uncle's brother in law is a snow riding maniac and conditions are a joke in many parts of FAR NNE. Bottom 5% of all winters there , prob worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 What's interesting is that the GFS had this as a cutter way back last Friday, jumped around, and now looks similar to then. I think gynx has a theory going on the gfs that pertains to that. Good find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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