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Model Mezzanine, the 2nd installment


Typhoon Tip

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The longwave pattern definitely favors a Cleveland Steamer....but it's not always that simple, just like the longwave pattern favored a huge BM type track on Feb 8th...but interference cause the low to be hundreds of miles east of that and prevented the longwave behind it from producing something close to the coast.

 

So in this instance, we're sort of hoping for that lead energy to be strong enough to focus the baroclinic zone for cyclogenesis.

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