dendrite Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 If I was going to put money down, I would also say it goes west for sure. No big deal though. Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 This one is all over the place and nothing is getting resolved over the next few days, Models have struggled all winter with these southern stream systems, This ones no different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 Based on what? creepy feelings of wanting snow at the spiritual level, to appease some neurosis, so that of course means it inevitably needs to fail to deliver - come on man... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Off the top of my head, we had 3....Dec 24, Jan 3-4, and Jan 18. How can anyone forget the annual Grinch cutter, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Based on what? I love when these threads get down to forecasting what the forecast model will do when it rolls off the press. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Not really....NNE has had it worse than us. Powderfreak hasn't even had a 5" event yet. Don't forget to your west. The mid and upper Hudson Valley is still looking for a 2"+ event. It's been over 1 year now since the last such event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Euro is going to look like the Ukie, lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Euro is going to look like the Ukie, lock it up Hopefully far enough to warm sector us and get rid of these nasty snow piles. Any chance of getting into the warm sector in SNE? Let's abort this one (and winter) once and for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 We have phasing issues on the Euro, so I don't think it will be like the Ukie's wrapped up Buffalo Bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 It won't be, Going to have 2 lows though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Snowy solution actually...esp pike northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Thats a good thump north of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Looks like a two wave idea to me. Prob good for north of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Snowy solution actually...esp pike northward. But is it an improvement or not over the 00z runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Ice south ? Or rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Even Sof pike gets solid snows (like advisory) before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Ice south ? Or rain? Prob some ZR for a time...esp with that sfc relfection...no shot at getting much warmth into the interior. You may have to watch for a slow rise to 32.01 eventually. This is for part 1...it looks like a 2nd low is going to impact the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yeah my bad. It certainly consolidated west down in the south but that high is a beast as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Prob some ZR for a time...esp with that sfc relfection...no shot at getting much warmth into the interior. You may have to watch for a slow rise to 32.01 eventually. This is for part 1...it looks like a 2nd low is going to impact the area. Is our banana appendage back this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 And the GGEM ensembles look freakin fantastic lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 2nd low is gonna run up the HV....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Going to get icy with that second wave for some, Low is tracking inland though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Interesting how it lost the snow for Monday at 00z or kept it south, but once it brought that one back, it also shunts things east and colder. I still contend the two are directly related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Is our banana appendage back this run? Multi-day trend to weaken that feature. Which is why the ukmet solution is concerning to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 That's actually a good bit of ZR for the interior (esp the typical spots like ORH county over to E Berks) in round 2...there's strong CAD on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 2nd low phase with a northern stream vort dropping into the great lakes at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Interesting how it lost the snow for Monday at 00z or kept it south, but once it brought that one back, it also shunts things east and colder. I still contend the two are directly related Of course they are. It's not necessarily the small scale features of the Monday storm itself or that storm acting as a 50/50, but the LW changes will affect both and the latter storm more so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Well it did not look like the Ukie..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Multi-day trend to weaken that feature. Which is why the ukmet solution is concerning to me. Yeah the banana high has been gone for a few runs now...the Quebec/Nova Scotia high this run was quite stubborn though, so we saw a ton of CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Well it did not look like the Ukie..........lol It did in a lot of ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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