ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro has a couple inches up here too. Yeah more bullish compared to prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 GGEM trended goodly colder for the wed/thur system tho - not the best guidance at any range (frankly) so fwiw. in fact, already clobbers the berks with many hours of big snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Sloped ascent Still outside the RGEM range up here as its snowing past that time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 spoiled brats all of ya, try living in coastal SRI during that same period, lol. . I think PF has brought up 11/12 every other post. The fascination continues haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Saturday could be one of those days where you wake up to 31F and light snow ending and then it pops to 50F in the afternoon...a Tip Spring Special straight out of late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 Saturday could be one of those days where you wake up to 31F and light snow ending and then it pops to 50F in the afternoon...a Tip Spring Special straight out of late March. yeah that system trended back N over the last couple of days ... The Euro was robuster back whence, when it even tried to echo/whisper a secondary and brought upper advisory N of the Pike. i was mentioning yesterday that there is a spring-esque appeal going on everywhere - but look out! then the GFS avails of the towering +PNA and tries to dump arctic cold a couple more times. weird what's going on - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 More consolidated look at H5 for monday on the 12z Euro, Should translate to a better surface LP and track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Saturday could be one of those days where you wake up to 31F and light snow ending and then it pops to 50F in the afternoon...a Tip Spring Special straight out of late March. Yeah, sun goes to work and the air has that Spring, moist smell as Tip recalls cat calling in front of the dorms at Umass Lowell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 Yeah, sun goes to work and the air has that Spring, moist smell as Tip recalls cat calling in front of the dorms at Umass Lowell. ah, yes ... the good ole days - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro is yummy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 euro looks like a winner for monday someone should open up a thread for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Might actually be mix to snow as 925 temps are warm to start in most areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Wow, Euro is a Lance Bosart "little critters that bite" Special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Good hit for SNE with lighter snows for CNE/NNE this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Might actually be mix to snow as 925 temps are warm to start in most areas. Def probably favors the terrain on that, but most would still see accumulating snow after the mildish onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Yeah, sun goes to work and the air has that Spring, moist smell as Tip recalls cat calling in front of the dorms at Umass Lowell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Def probably favors the terrain on that, but most would still see accumulating snow after the mildish onset. Yeah looked like ORH actually might do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 The models et al have been slowly splitting Monday's deal away from the amplitude later in the week; just a day and a half back the models were "pearled" out along the EC with multiple vortex nodes as though we'd have a 48 hour straight event with perhaps a lull in the middle somewheres. Now the runs are flagging them as two distinct events some 60 hour apart. And it may not be done evolving (duh - 4 days in advance) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro is gonna be SE of the 00z op for the next storm. Can tell already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Like we thought Snow Friday Monday and then.... nice tan this weekend too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Yeah looked like ORH actually might do well. Type of setup for weenie ridge in Princeton sees a 5 or 6 spot while CP maybe gets 2-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Def probably favors the terrain on that, but most would still see accumulating snow after the mildish onset. Can we get to warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro is gonna be SE of the 00z op for the next storm. Can tell already. A little messy at H5, Trough is further east, Digging further south with some energy drooping down the back side though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Type of setup for weenie ridge in Princeton sees a 5 or 6 spot while CP maybe gets 2-3. Yeah that's a nice high pressing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Can we get to warning? I'd probably hold off on that idea for at least another day. Everything would have to be perfect. If it amps up anymore than it becomes rain and the snow line shifts north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I'd probably hold off on that idea for at least another day. Everything would have to be perfect. If it amps up anymore than it becomes rain and the snow line shifts north. MLK 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Saturday could be one of those days where you wake up to 31F and light snow ending and then it pops to 50F in the afternoon...a Tip Spring Special straight out of late March. Yeah definitely has that look...well timed precip ending by around 12z with temps shooting up. Birds chirping as the plows clear the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Much better ridging in Greenland. Big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I'd probably hold off on that idea for at least another day. Everything would have to be perfect. If it amps up anymore than it becomes rain and the snow line shifts north. Even with HP tickling in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 this Euro run is really illustrating the wave spacing issue plaguing this modeling period... it's bullying the E Pac wave into the western ridge and knocking it down, which transitively effects how deep the mid week trough can dig. i miss 1995-1996 ... wave spacing was so predictable and well behaved that year, you could really predicted 9 days out and nail a 'cast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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