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Model Mezzanine, the 2nd installment


Typhoon Tip

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I was an elementary school kid in the 70's, and teenager in the 80's.  The late 70's rocked.  The 80's would pop a big storm once in a great while, but mostly sucked with misses and change over's.  But for some reason, we got used to that cuz it's all we had, and you kind of started not to know any better after a while in the 80's.  

Did you run around giving the other kids noogies in your striped alligator shirts?

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There were some very bad winters in the 80's, Some would have jumped to there death after back to backs shortly thereafter

I was just talking with a fellow VAST board member about that last week.  He said there were several winters in the 80'swhen there would be mass snowmobile sell-offs.

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I was just talking with a fellow VAST board member about that last week.  He said there were several winters in the 80'swhen there would be mass snowmobile sell-offs.

 

Yes there was, That is when a lot of the snowmobile manufacturers went under, Even arctic cat did if i remember right but reorganized a few years later

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No I wasn't. That was the winter I visited for the big February upslope event. 

 

Haha so that explains it more and more.  Before moving here you came up and witnessed large events each year.  If you came in 2011-2012 during the 3-foot upslope storm, yeah you wouldn't have many bad memories from that.  Or that December 2012 visit when you got like a foot and then 8" of fluff a day later followed by like another 10" later in the week or something.

 

Then you move here and start wondering if you can get a solid 4"+ event in an entire winter...:lol:

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A bit early for getting confident on an ice storm. We still have solutions that range from mostly snow to mostly rain with a low traveling through Cleveland.

Let's get a bit closer.

 

Didn't you know that day 6 model runs become reality once you post about them?

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Personally, I could get March 2001 and VDay 2007 combined after March 15th and I would be even more pissed because not only would it be too late to save winter recreation for me but it would delay golf season.  If that happened I would have eyewall use his drone to film me diving into the 250' deep granite quarry up the road from my house.

 

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Was this you?

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nah, Pacific is still a mess.  There's not a lot of order in the spacial-temporal scheme through the days of this run, just like the previous... and it is making any one feature less obviously dominant ... parlaying into "smearing" the wave kinematics still as discussed before. 

 

to re-iterate: the GFS may merely be incorrect in its handling.  I did find it interesting that the Euro had more coherency overall.  

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There were some very bad winters in the 80's, Some would have jumped to there death after back to backs shortly thereafter

 

A few good ones, too, though nothing like the "Oughts".  1881-82 amd 86-87 come to mind as having AN snow and persistent pack statewide.  1983-84 was even better in N.Maine but not all that good downcountry.   As bad as this winter and some others 05-06 on have been, the most disappointing was when I first moved to Maine (Jan 1973.)  That winter ended with a moderate slopfest in late Feb, the next Dec saw its biggest snowfall (4") turn into a 3" deluge, as temps rose to 56 while at 15 in NNJ (and with W half of SNE in a huge ice storm.)  Only the ephemeral storms on the equinox and 9-10 April kept BGR from notching its least snowy winter on record.

 

Haven't seen 12z stuff, but 06 gfs switched from yesterday's cutter/downpour to OTS.  Certainly builds confidence.

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A few good ones, too, though nothing like the "Oughts".  1881-82 amd 86-87 come to mind as having AN snow and persistent pack statewide.  1983-84 was even better in N.Maine but not all that good downcountry.   As bad as this winter and some others 05-06 on have been, the most disappointing was when I first moved to Maine (Jan 1973.)  That winter ended with a moderate slopfest in late Feb, the next Dec saw its biggest snowfall (4") turn into a 3" deluge, as temps rose to 56 while at 15 in NNJ (and with W half of SNE in a huge ice storm.)  Only the ephemeral storms on the equinox and 9-10 April kept BGR from notching its least snowy winter on record.

 

Haven't seen 12z stuff, but 06 gfs switched from yesterday's cutter/downpour to OTS.  Certainly builds confidence.

 

So far so good at 12z

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