dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Nice run. Keep putting them up one of these events should snow, lol. That was your dream run track elbow to RKD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run. Check out 925 temps, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That looks really good for most away from the Mass coast and maybe GON. Looks like most of CT west of 395 would go to pounding snow after mix. Everyone in New England gets at least 3"+ on the snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It's a different evolution at 500mb, kevin. 500mb drives the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro looks rainy for me... snow for NYC. They need another blockbuster this winter. Congrats. if it pure rains at -3 925 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run.Haha I was thinking that. I'd be pretty excited in ORH-TOL thanks to the western snow shield."Congrats Dendrite on the deform band". We are like DT in Richmond at this point with the snow shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run. lol, Lock it, Coastal plain would need that shift to get the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 if it pure rains at -3 925 ? Yeah looks plenty cold for mix for CT, then over to pounding snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 if it pure rains at -3 925 ? Well, freezing rain doesn't excite me. But maybe pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Could be the one for west zones, finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Check out 925 temps, wow No chance going above freezing with that sfc look...the ageostrophic flow is almost more NNW in that setup. A lot of guidance has that same sfc look...track has differed some and evolution of mid-levels, but they all have that elongated sfc low pressure up to the SE of New England for a chunk of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 No chance going above freezing with that sfc look...the ageostrophic flow is almost more NNW in that setup. A lot of guidance has that same sfc look...track has differed some and evolution of mid-levels, but they all have that elongated sfc low pressure up to the SE of New England for a chunk of the storm. Even the GFS is probably pretty icy I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Even the GFS is probably pretty icy I'd say. Yeah I would agree...GFS probably has the worst looking high to the north of any model, but it still has that sfc reflection extending to the southeast of our area which would lock in colder drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Well, freezing rain doesn't excite me. But maybe pingers. Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 There's what we discussed earlier..The GFS because of it's poor resolution and other issues, has no idea that 2nd banana high is building in so it cuts ..Euro sees it, and it's cold. GFS = Horiz: T1534 ~13km Vert: 64 levels EC = Horiz: T1279 ~16km Vert: 137 levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure Or on the very edge of a good rainer which is as equally plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure Skiers would rejoice, It was great run for the slopes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Did the Euro trend east, west or hold steady from last night's run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Awesome PNA on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Does the Euro also have the 3+" of qpf like the GFS does for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Did the Euro trend east, west or hold steady from last night's run? It was east of 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That looks really cold on the JMA (at least sfc would be) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 JMA all the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 JMA all the way. And Navgem is OTS. I guess that means I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 JMA all the way. Where does it go from there is the question... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Where does it go from there is the question... In a couple hours meteocentre will have the full 12z run to 240. Can't wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 In a couple hours meteocentre will have the full 12z run to 240. Can't wait!Haha oh is 192 as far as TropicalTidbits goes?Gotta start following that model as you've been pretty adamant this winter about its usefulness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I can't believe that storm is still 8 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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