ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah, would seem to be an elevation setup for a couple inches... BL questionable... In general I just like the look of chilly air in Canada being driven into a relatively zonal and northerly displaced southern jet. Should induce some weak cyclogenesis and scoot east in the wake of the clipper. GGEM really likes that system...Feb 22-23. Kind of a classic redeveloper for our area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Turn that frown upside down Jesus day 15 GFS OP strat prog...wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 At least we can say its going to be an active next 10 days or so and maybe we get lucky on a couple events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 GEFS mean still a benchmark track, filed promptly in the fwiw folder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah, would seem to be an elevation setup for a couple inches... BL questionable... In general I just like the look of chilly air in Canada being driven into a relatively zonal and northerly displaced southern jet. Should induce some weak cyclogenesis and scoot east in the wake of the clipper. euro el torcho , maybe something going to pop at 108 though, edit nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 euro el torcho , maybe something going to pop at 108 though It's only out to 126? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It's only out to 126? They are talking about this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 They are talking about this weekend. Radarman was talking about the wave behind Friday night...more like Sunday night/Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Radarman was talking about the wave behind Friday night...more like Sunday night/Mon. Oh. Too many waves, seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Oh. Too many waves, seriously. Yeah the Fri night deal has always been CNE/NNE...but perhaps N of pike elevations in SNE should keep an eye on it for an inch or two. Another wave behind it could be decent (I posted the GGEM's version of it above) if there's enough space between it and the preceding Fri night event. On the Euro, it does not appear it will allow for the required spacing to get anything out of that 2nd shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Looks like it will deliver on the one for the 24-26th on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah the Fri night deal has always been CNE/NNE...but perhaps N of pike elevations in SNE should keep an eye on it for an inch or two. Another wave behind it could be decent (I posted the GGEM's version of it above) if there's enough space between it and the preceding Fri night event. On the Euro, it does not appear it will allow for the required spacing to get anything out of that 2nd shortwave. Yeah, yesterday's runs of the ECM did have those two distinct waves but looks like its not happening today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah the Fri night deal has always been CNE/NNE...but perhaps N of pike elevations in SNE should keep an eye on it for an inch or two. Another wave behind it could be decent (I posted the GGEM's version of it above) if there's enough space between it and the preceding Fri night event. On the Euro, it does not appear it will allow for the required spacing to get anything out of that 2nd shortwave. Cue the next five paragraph soliloquy from Tip about the tenor of this season. At 168 even though it looks good at the surface, it looks like at least three different shortwaves embedded in the longwave trough. Am I seeing that right? (looking at freebie maps) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah, yesterday's runs of the ECM did have those two distinct waves but looks like its not happening today. It actually did manage to put down like an inch of snow for SNE/CNE (MA and S half of VT/NH) at 162-168 before the digging longwave trough behind it moves in...not much obviously, but it was trying, lol. The bigger longwave trough threat looks pretty interesting at 174 hours. Probably going to climb the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I like the look at hr 168. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 A little Northern stream interaction with that vortmax down south going to make this go boom this run, A little to much going to get tugged back NW similar to today's, Plenty of time to work out specifics, Good signal for that period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Warm along the coast? Ya know, cause it's going to verify verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Too bad it's d8. That was a fun run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Uh huh, I'm getting better at reading a map. Only 7/8 days to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 haha, that GGEM run puts us above normal snowfall everywhere except for PF ... think Homer Simpson on a multi day impact perpetual doughnut stuffing machine ...only replace the donuts with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The deformation on that euro run pushed up into ART-Montreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 If only we can get the euro to be stubborn and not budge on THIS like it did with today's system lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Now that EURO run is how "everyone snows" in one storm...though south of BOS-PVD would be touchy. Large area of snow across New England and eastern NY though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The deformation on that euro run pushed up into ART-Montreal. That's like a Mar 1959 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Big front ender before occlusion, Little warm for the coastal peeps this run, But that would be a pasting verbatim inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Now that EURO run is how "everyone snows" in one storm.Does that include us, ya know, in NE CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Does that include us, ya know, in NE CT? Yes, heavy snow thump to dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Too bad it's d8. That was a fun run. Can't buy a storm like that the past few years....haha. We pray. Dumps 6-12" from DC/BWI northeastward up through an ALB-ORH and north zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Big front ender before occlusion, Little warm for the coastal peeps this run, But that would be a pasting verbatim inland That's the type of storm that has been so rare since the 1990s....or maybe early 2000s...we saw some stuff similar to that in '00-'01 and '02-'03 winters...though they were more miller Bs and not the Miller A type shown that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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