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Model Mezzanine, the 2nd installment


Typhoon Tip

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Difficult to say with much detail--my only confidence is in saying this likely isn't a cutter..

But my gut says I'd take the 850 mb low at hr 108 on the 18z GFS and slide that ENE/NE, and maintain it as an intense open wave, going over NJ/LI, and continue that trajectory to near Cape Cod.

Would mean a snowier/colder solution for many folks in the interior and NNE.

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One thing to watch is the extent of any icing before things wash away.  The impact of the cool antecedent days should allow for a little more glaze than what we might typically see.  In the big picture it won't matter too much as it gets washed away--at least as the EC and EPS show.  GFS only lightly more interesting

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