SnowMan Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well, this is probably it until March, so enjoy your inch or two then pouring rain because its all you've got for a couple of weeks. I know it's not climo for this area...but once it hits March 1st im ready for spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 You are in a good spot for 3 to 5 then rain. I can see that. Gfs also showing some backside snows but those usually don't work out. Gonna be fun for places further north from us, just too bad it's not on a weekend. I would have made a ski trip out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 there are a lot of people on this forum who need a storm like this to lift their weenie spirit. Let's hope the GFS and Euro runs do that. I am Northern VT and I approve of this message Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well, this is probably it until March, so enjoy your inch or two then pouring rain because its all you've got for a couple of weeks.wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 wut? Pry clr wut dnt u unstand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Pry clr wut dnt u unstand?there are 3 threats, we have day 6 day 8 day 12. Both Euro model Op runs have a follow up system which is spaced timing wise and the ENS show another day 12. How do you know after the 26th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 there are 3 threats, we have day 6 day 8 day 12. Both Euro model Op runs have a follow up system which is spaced timing wise and the ENS show another day 12. Well, I apologize if I'm wrong because I haven't looked much this week, but I was under the impression that we relax after this mix/rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well, I apologize if I'm wrong because I haven't looked much this week, but I was under the impression that we relax after this mix/rainer.The relaxation is a couple of days and the pattern remains active with cold nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The relaxation is a couple of days and the pattern remains active with cold nearby. Ok. I'll defer....really just checked in on the next threat, and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Well, this is probably it until March, so enjoy your inch or two then pouring rain because its all you've got for a couple of weeks. Euro says hold on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What did para Euro do with Tuesday/Wed storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What did para Euro do with Tuesday/Wed storm? Paralleled the apps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Paralleled the apps? Good luck with that track with that antecedent airmass. I salute you if your track you are forecasting like that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What did para Euro do with Tuesday/Wed storm? Big inland runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I know it's not climo for this area...but once it hits March 1st im ready for spring... I usually pull the plug 3rd week of March. But this year, it might as well die an early death especially if we pour next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Bar Harbor area may get crushed by the inv trough Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Good luck with that track with that antecedent airmass. I salute you if your track you are forecasting like that happens Yes, the antecedent air mass is garbage. I have no idea what you're talking about. There is absolutely no cold or high to the north with this one. It's about as ugly a setup as you can get for the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Good luck with that track with that antecedent airmass. I salute you if your track you are forecasting like that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Bar Harbor area may get crushed by the inv trough Saturday. Pheww...I thought we were screwed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Yes, the antecedent air mass is garbage. I have no idea what you're talking about. There is absolutely no cold or high to the north with this one. It's about as ugly a setup as you can get for the time of year. Only the coldest 850 temps ever for KALB..yeah it blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Only the coldest 850 temps ever for KALB..yeah it blows Desperado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Bar Harbor area may get crushed by the inv trough Saturday. Models have been focused there, They look to get fire hosed by the Norlun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The airmass has little to do with the setup. We really could use some sort of mechanism to lock in the retreating vortex, but it flies up Greenland's fanny. In that case, need a more progressive, less amped up s/w for any hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Yes, the antecedent air mass is garbage. I have no idea what you're talking about. There is absolutely no cold or high to the north with this one. It's about as ugly a setup as you can get for the time of year. There is cold air before the storm comes in which could make coastal areas start off as snow but once the low gets near the area, it will change to rain. The high moving away is the problem. Still a few days to iron this out but this looks like a classic snow to rain situation for the coast and snow inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Stop calling the air mass two days before the storm antecedent. It's the position and strength of the high pressure JUST prior to the storm ariving and how it sets up not how cold the 850's are two days earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Only the coldest 850 temps ever for KALB..yeah it blows Is the Tuesday storm now coming on Sunday? You should invest in a calendar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The airmass has little to do with the setup. We really could use some sort of mechanism to lock in the retreating vortex, but it flies up Greenland's fanny. In that case, need a more progressive, less amped up s/w for any hope. If we had blocking here, this would be one for the annals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Is the Tuesday storm now coming on Sunday? You should invest in a calendar.Im not thinking this is all snow or all ice , but a fair amount should be before we go to rain. What I take issue with is your forecasts of 50's flooding SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My early speculation on the blog last night was for snow to rain...maybe 2-5". I think that is possible, but just as likely it may end up optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Im not thinking this is all snow or all ice , but a fair amount should be before we go to rain. What I take issue with is your forecasts of 50's flooding SNE Yup. Current forecast is 38 with a mix to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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