JC-CT Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Congrats PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 It doesn't snow in Northern VT so I am tossing that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 GGEM flattens the Monday wave too...interesting that it just kind of went poof on the 00z run. Vortmax is still there but it gets sheared on both GFS/GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 4:30 AM, ORH_wxman said: GGEM flattens the Monday wave too...interesting that it just kind of went poof on the 00z run. Vortmax is still there but it gets sheared on both GFS/GGEM.Just saw that too, it's like these two models are run off the same core sometimes. Maybe they picked up on something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 warm little weak coastal on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Basically halved qpf from 18z. I assume the strung out Monday wave prevents any sort of transitory 50/50 and allows Weds to come west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Lots of losing this run. Ensembles have a huge spread so no surprise to see changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I never had much interest in Monday, but I'll drive right into the Shawsheen river if next week cuts.....that will do it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Nice clipper for SNE northward for Monday on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 EURO slowed it down so that the high had time to scoot over to Georges Bank. Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 6:41 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO slowed it down so that the high had time to scoot over to Georges Bank. Who cares Terrible winter besides one big storm down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Well that was an ugly night of modeling for folks hoping for snow. The GEFS mean was a lot better than the op for mid-week, but still is rainer for SNE as it cut in across RI or so. EC is better and it looks like the EPS rides over the Cape. A PF special, not terrible for me, terrible for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 8:53 AM, moneypitmike said: Well that was an ugly night of modeling for folks hoping for snow. The GEFS mean was a lot better than the op for mid-week, but still is rainer for SNE as it cut in across RI or so. EC is better and it looks like the EPS rides over the Cape. A PF special, not terrible for me, terrible for most. It'[s an ice storm for many in SNE away from water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Meh. It could still be better than Presidents dsy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Meh should signify how you feel about one set of model runs. Let's see how things progress throughout the day too see if this trend holds true. On 2/18/2016 at 9:52 AM, moneypitmike said: Meh. It could still be better than Presidents dsy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 LOL. 6z gfs has it mostly offshore. eC ensembles close to CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Eps is se of 0z op. Nice system for nw ct into berks on up. Ok, an overnight suit of less than perfect runs but we still d7, so hang your emotions in the closet until op runs become reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 10:32 AM, CoastalWx said: LOL. 6z gfs has it mostly offshore. eC ensembles close to CC. How did Para Euro look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 10:44 AM, Damage In Tolland said: How did Para Euro look?Don't have access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Overnight runs about what you expect with no blocking. Still a lot of time left and as you can see by the gfs....there is quite the disagreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 11:03 AM, CoastalWx said: Overnight runs about what you expect with no blocking. Still a lot of time left and as you can see by the gfs....there is quite the disagreement. Does the Monday snow event/low play any role in the mid week system at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peteradiator Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Good grief Feels like ground hog day the movie. What do I have to do right today to revetse this curse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Make it to next December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 11:26 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Does the Monday snow event/low play any role in the mid week system at all?[/quoting probably plays a small role anyways. It could help create a little confluence to the northeast. I don't think it plays a significant role though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Uncle is very amped at 144 but high looks like it might be timed more favorably than other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 lol at the spread on the individuals in the EPS ensemble. Everything from congrats fish (or no storm at all, barely a weak ripple of a low) to congrats Chicago as lows go over Detroit. Looks like pretty much anywhere east of the Mississippi is fair game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 11:03 AM, CoastalWx said: Overnight runs about what you expect with no blocking. Still a lot of time left and as you can see by the gfs....there is quite the disagreement. This would be another good storm for a -NAO to make sure it gets forced under or at least triple point. If we had a -NAO the path this could take would be a heck of a lot smaller...same with the other cutter/rainers this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 11:42 AM, JC-CT said: Uncle is very amped at 144 but high looks like it might be timed more favorably than other guidance ukie is apps runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 On 2/18/2016 at 11:56 AM, Blizz said: ukie is apps runner It goes out past 144? That's a broken link to an accuWeather forum post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The Atlantic is a abortion, I think this is pretty much a cutter or warm system now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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