radarman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yep, I've been saying not to sleep on that one (radarman pointed that one out too yesterday). There's a bit of potential there. Yeah, nice trends today. It's better spaced (even on the GFS) so it doesn't catch up with the clipper and become some sort of IVT. It seems to run at least portions of the OV, which is historically pretty good out here at least. GGEM and Euro both have it popping out under LI, and euro even (barely) closes off 850 after having basically nothing before this run. Still pretty bullish for advy type stuff with an elevation gradient. Hope those mid-levels continue to improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro ens had the signal for 50's this weekend in low spots and coasts like 10 days ago and 40's hills..They've been really, really good this winter Let's just get thru the weekend, lay down a few inches Monday and get major snow/ice mid week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Monday looks like a decent setup for elevations at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro's gonna be cold....may not stay all snow, but that is gonna be cold at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro ens had the signal for 50's this weekend in low spots and coasts like 10 days and 40's hills..They've been really, really good this winter Let's just get thru the weekend, lay down a few inches Monday and get major snow/ice mid week We see the one EURO run showing 1-1.5" of wet snow above 500ft has already evolved to "a few inches Monday." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro looks nice so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:34 PM, powderfreak said: We see the one EURO run showing 1-1.5" of wet snow above 500ft has already evolved to "a few inches Monday." This will be the event where Kevin posts 10 pics of 1" of wet snow with grass blades showing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro op should be a lot better than the GFS. Certainly not as amped as the GFS, Coastal areas could have some BL issues but inland looks to be a decent event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:34 PM, powderfreak said: We see the one EURO run showing 1-1.5" of wet snow above 500ft has already evolved to "a few inches Monday." If you are able (maybe you aren't?) to look past a verbatim model solution and envision what should happen, then yes I'd expect a few to several inches Monday based on today's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:31 PM, powderfreak said: In all honesty, looks like IJD is -1C at 925 and -2C at 850mb and probably +1C at the surface. That'd be flakes at least. Its just light precip won't want to accumulate outside the hills verbatim on that look, IMO. I don't live in IJD any more than Steve lives in downtown Plainfield. They are just trolling me, and it is well deserved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro looks rainy for me... snow for NYC. They need another blockbuster this winter. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro's got the ice storm it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:39 PM, CT Rain said: Euro looks rainy for me... snow for NYC. They need another blockbuster this winter. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 yes please euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:39 PM, CT Rain said: Euro looks rainy for me... snow for NYC. They need another blockbuster this winter. Congrats. Doesn't look like you'd ever go above freezing on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 982 mb over the Elbow, The PF track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Euro's got the ice storm it appears Lot of sleet too probably...some snow to start and snow to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:41 PM, dryslot said: 982 mb over the Elbow That's a perfect snow to good ice just away from the coast track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: Doesn't look like you'd ever go above freezing on that. Yeah probably icy with that high to th enorth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:41 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That's a perfect snow to good ice just away from the coast track. Yes and heavy snow inland and elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Nice Berkshires to Green spine deformation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:36 PM, Damage In Tolland said: If you are able (maybe you aren't?) to look past a verbatim model solution and envision what should happen, then yes I'd expect a few to several inches Monday based on today's run pure gold. "Look past what the models show and envision a snowier solution..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 PF would approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 There's what we discussed earlier..The GFS because of it's poor resolution and other issues, has no idea that 2nd banana high is building in so it cuts ..Euro sees it, and it's cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Looks real icy surface never goes above freezing On 2/17/2016 at 6:41 PM, CT Rain said: Yeah probably icy with that high to th enorth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: There's what we discussed earlier..The GFS because of it's poor resolution and other issues, has no idea that 2nd banana high is building in so it cuts ..Euro sees it, and it's cold. Where do you come up with this stuff? The GFS lack of your "banana" isn't a resolution issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:43 PM, dryslot said: PF would approve Nice run. Keep putting them up one of these events should snow, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:44 PM, CT Rain said: Where do you come up with this stuff? May i see your "banana" isn't a resolution issue. No you may not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 On 2/17/2016 at 6:45 PM, ORH_wxman said: The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run. I'm on the fence about a 2/26 trip to Mount Snow - will depend on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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