Southshorewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 10:37 PM, Ginx snewx said: we are discussing the GFS 18Z Sure seems like everyone has the rulers out playing "No, mine is smaller" ... again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 10:37 PM, Ginx snewx said: we are discussing the GFS 18ZWhy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Why?ok IDK we have been for 20 years,welcome to the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 nice wind event on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 moving toward the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 9:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: About KBUF to 40/70 So the point being..anyone locking in the Euro op track and 50's and rain to Quebec City 5 days out is heavily drunk ...This will be a wind and rain event for most of us. I don't have to drink to see that such is coming. Magic beans tell me so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Easy come easy go 1.5 weeks of winter. Pissah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Why? My guess is because its the model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You know it will rain when forky post in the threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:15 AM, dryslot said: You know it will rain when forky post in the threads You know deep down inside he loves doing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 probably less interesting to most but wow, that system's got some mean ass frightening wind potential. That ukmet solution would bring serious issues to LI and the CP everywhere... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:22 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: You know deep down inside he loves doing that Not a post the last couple weeks, Quite obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:23 AM, Typhoon Tip said: probably less interesting to most but wow, that system's got some mean ass frightening wind potential. That ukmet solution would bring serious issues to LI and the CP everywhere...I am sure 40/70 Benchmark will be happy you brought it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:23 AM, Typhoon Tip said: probably less interesting to most but wow, that system's got some mean ass frightening wind potential. That ukmet solution would bring serious issues to LI and the CP everywhere... Yeah, Nothing like beating large water droplets off your windows and air conditioner as a reminder of a Sou'easter in Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:24 AM, Ginx snewx said: I am sure 40/70 Benchmark will be happy you brought it up Hmm, wut, love me some wind, not sure what you mean, dogs love it too they play with the grandkids, fun fun good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The winds in these storms are always over-modeled, sure it'll be gusty and a few limbs and dying trees will come down, but I don't think we can expect region wide epic wind damage..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:30 AM, Whineminster said: The winds in these storms are always over-modeled, sure it'll be gusty and a few limbs and dying trees will come down, but I don't think we can expect region wide epic wind damage..... Always, at least for me I won't speak for other regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:27 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hmm, wut, love me some wind, not sure what you mean, dogs love it too they play with the grandkids, fun fun good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Deep frozen ground to torrential rain. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 This one isn't done messing with us and I'm curious to see where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:48 AM, googmoog said: This one isn't done messing with us and I'm curious to see where it goes.It may not mess around and just shoot due north, right up yo fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:27 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hmm, wut, love me some wind, not sure what you mean, dogs love it too they play with the grandkids, fun fun good times +1 All in good fun Seems cutter is locked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:50 AM, Damage In Tolland said: It may not mess around and just shoot due north, right up yo fannySome consider that messing around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:57 AM, N. OF PIKE said: +1 All in good fun Seems cutter is locked in playing with grandkids and pups has to be more fun than Ray playing with his man beast,perhaps you could share your opinion from personal experience, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:57 AM, N. OF PIKE said: +1 All in good fun Seems cutter is locked in I disagree. I don't like the teleconections for a cutter at all. I fully expect the models to have this flatten out and slide more ENE/NE as it approaches the east coast with time. PNA to fall and decrease to negative, AO to increase to positive and NAO to increase to positive as we trend closer to the event...All spells a more strung out/less amped and faster solution... There's no blocking, but a +NAO is great for inhibiting developing waves along the east coast, with much faster westerlies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Should make ski resorts in nh/ maine blocks of ice post storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Doesn't look like any chance of a snow event until after the 24th. I just hope this winter ends quick and painless. Bring the warm temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 1:16 AM, jbenedet said: I disagree. I don't like the teleconections for a cutter at all. I fully expect the models to have this flatten out and slide more ENE/NE as it approaches the east coast with time. PNA to fall and decrease to negative, AO to increase to positive and NAO to increase to positive as we trend closer to the event...All spells a more strung out/less amped and faster solution... There's no blocking, but a +NAO is great for inhibiting developing waves along the east coast, with much faster westerlies... So what would that translate to weather wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 1:21 AM, Damage In Tolland said: So what would that translate to weather wise? still rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 1:21 AM, Damage In Tolland said: So what would that translate to weather wise? Difficult to say with much detail--my only confidence is in saying this likely isn't a cutter.. But my gut says I'd take the 850 mb low at hr 108 on the 18z GFS and slide that ENE/NE, and maintain it as an intense open wave, going over NJ/LI, and continue that trajectory to near Cape Cod. Would mean a snowier/colder solution for many folks in the interior and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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