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Model Mezzanine, the 2nd installment


Typhoon Tip

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  On 2/11/2016 at 4:15 PM, tamarack said:

Can it possibly be worse than 06z?  If that were to verify...   Do a search for 2/2/1976 and BGR.

 

Or maybe Dec. 26-28, 1969, though the front end thump would be just a few inches instead of the 10-15" that time.  One hopes the RA will stop at 2-3" rather than the 4-7" from the earlier one.  Talk about trash/treasure:  That 1969 event was BTV's biggest snowfall until the 2010 retro-bomb buried them, and the southern Greens were reporting 50"+ at elevation.

 

Oh it is, It furnaces the whole state this run

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  On 2/11/2016 at 4:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Ah....patronizing DB......much better :lol:

 

'Cmon, I don't think 2-3" on thr front end is impossible, nor do I feel ski land is screwed.

 

I'm having fun with those who are wishcasting their way through winter (not you). Weenies don't want to hear it, but reality bites.

Sure, still could be some front end stuff, but ain't gonna be much if the GFS happens. That's what you get when the PV flies into the large intestine of Greenland.

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  On 2/11/2016 at 4:27 PM, CoastalWx said:

The only positive I can see, is hoping a long arc of WAA snows develop well ahead of it like the GGEM. 

 

The positive is that these solutions are still within the ensemble spread and the ensembles still include less (but still) crappy solutions.

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  On 2/11/2016 at 4:26 PM, CoastalWx said:

No it wasn't. Please look at a model for once.

Yes it was..It went from Elmira to BTV to into CC last nite.

 

I will congratulate you if your call of 50's and snowpack wipeout verified. However...nothing has verified yet. So i wouldn't act so arrogant on here to others like this

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