buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We do this or root for it to get stronger and stronger so we at least salvage something. The way this winter is going I am going to say it will weaken, but still not help us here. Athens, OH will still wind up with 8 inches from this storm though. LOL!!! yea I'm probably beating a dead horse with a dead pony lol. But I agree, this one looks like possibly another Ohio river special. Absolutely incredible year for the eastern Ohio river valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Pretty substantial shift west on 12z gfs with the snow. Getting close to Buckeyes back yard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z GFS definitely west. 0z SLP was from Texarkana to Virginia Beach. 12z SLP Texarkana to DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z GFS definitely west. 0z SLP was from Texarkana to Virginia Beach. 12z SLP Texarkana to DC. ggem also trended stronger and further west. Nice hit for the se half of OH. The trend is good news. But a little worrisome on both the gfs and ggem that there isn't a lot of cold sector precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 ggem just sacrificed the clipper for the stronger southern storm. Like Pondo said, watch us lose the clipper and then get whiffed by the southern storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 ggem just sacrificed the clipper for the stronger southern storm. Like Pondo said, watch us lose the clipper and then get whiffed by the southern storm In this winter that would be believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 ukie takes a 993 to Richmond at 120. Would be a miss east. 4-5 days out now but trends for stronger and further north and west have been impossible to come by this winter. Maybe this will be the one, after all we're getting into CMH climo time for big dogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where have we seen this before?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Sad thing is the models have also been trending more ragged with the northern stream portion of the storm. QPF around here keeps getting lighter. At one point it looked like a nice "plan-B" in case a bigger storm failed to develop. btw...the squall in your avatar...what event is that from? December 2013? Remember what I said about how this winter is finding ways to NOT snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where have we seen this before?!Can this really be happening again?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Where have we seen this before?! unreal that is literally March '08 displaced about 150 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 unreal that is literally March '08 displaced about 150 miles east So you're saying there's a chance...LOLIn '08 wasn't it a miss til like 3 days away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 :lmao: The only good news is... how often is the Apps spine the jackpot? It is going to be either a bit further northwest or further southeast. My guess is south, just because that is the direction that will whiff us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 So you're saying there's a chance...LOL In '08 wasn't it a miss til like 3 days away? yes, I think '08 at one point was too far west and then too far east and finally started to target us around 3 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 gefs def support the app-jackpot solution. Only a couple members hit further nw. Dr. No should be telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 SLP dropped from 1003 at 0z all the way down to 996 at 12z on the Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z Euro looks like it hammers Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Looks like Dr. No is saying not so fast to the UKMET/GFS/CMC. Brings the SLP up through MS into the TN and the WV/KY border area. All the others were along I-85 give or take... Birmingham to Eastern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z Euro looks like it hammers Ohio. it jackpots I-71, but it has a weird look with the surface low. plot thickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 12z Euro nukes Ohio!! The game is not over for us SE Mich folks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Overall I think most of the 12z suites agreed on at least some kind of northwest tick. Can't say I expected it but now I'm intrigued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 can we get a ggem/euro compromise? Euro is the farthest nw now of all the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 it jackpots I-71, but it has a weird look with the surface low. plot thickens What's weird about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 can we get a ggem/euro compromise? Euro is the farthest nw now of all the models. We would take that all day....especially this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 nice run for yall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 What's weird about it? at 120 it has two low centers, one in WV and the other in NC, I'm not sure if it's trying to redevelop on the coast but it all ends up as a strong low in nc PA. probably important to note the euro shifted 300 miles with the snow axis in one model run. Either it sniffed out something or was sniffing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Euro is beautiful. If only it could shift back south by 50 miles so I don't have to worry about mixing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Euro is beautiful. If only it could shift back south by 50 miles so I don't have to worry about mixing issues. I could see some concern over ice for you Kentucky guys with this week's cold air mass freezing everything prior to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 at 120 it has two low centers, one in WV and the other in NC, I'm not sure if it's trying to redevelop on the coast but it all ends up as a strong low in nc PA. probably important to note the euro shifted 300 miles with the snow axis in one model run. Either it sniffed out something or was sniffing something. My guess is it sniffed out something. With no blocking to the north, a stronger storm would have no troubles coming more northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My guess is it sniffed out something. With no blocking to the north, a stronger storm would have no troubles coming more northwest. It might be overdoing it though. Wouldn't be surprised to see the eps southeast. The 500 looks identical to the ggem, the main difference is the euro shifts the northeast high out a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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