dilly84 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/11/2016 at 11:56 PM, Geos said: Is this the storm you guys are talking about? Yes except that map is way off. I had 22" in Knox county. Columbus has over 20 as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:10 AM, snowlover2 said: That's the one. Strange looking map I found, but I get the general idea. Watched a few youtube video on that storm. Was impressive. Better map for central and southern Ohio. http://tse2.mm.bing.net/th?id=OIP.M06c953832f0ace53df5fbab3a8959feco0&pid=15.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:15 AM, buckeye said: yea but that map looks kind of odd. CMH officially recorded 21" We were literally the bullseye for that storm, although I think places in Canada might have even done better. Sometimes I think we are still paying the price for that one. I think I remember a few 16-18" reports in a band west of Toronto. Nothing as high as 21" though IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:37 AM, snowstormcanuck said: I think I remember a few 16-18" reports in a band west of Toronto. Nothing as high as 21" though IIRC. I think places like Kitchener and Guelph were in the jackpot zone. We could have received those amounts, but we were dry slotted during the midday on the 8th. Toronto got 10-12" in general, except for Pearson, which got 6. LOL. But if this storm materializes as shown on the Euro, Pearson will have no trouble reporting a big amount as the snow will be heavy and wet in nature as opposed to the 2008 storm which contained a lot of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:24 AM, dilly84 said: Yes except that map is way off. I had 22" in Knox county. Columbus has over 20 as well 20-30" across wny in that storm. One of the best synoptic events I lived through. I remember it so vividly because I got in a really bad car accident during it. Nearly died during that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:47 AM, Toronto4 said: I think places like Kitchener and Guelph were in the jackpot zone. We could have received those amounts, but we were dry slotted during the midday on the 8th. Toronto got 10-12" in general, except for Pearson, which got 6. LOL. But if this storm materializes as shown on the Euro, Pearson will have no trouble reporting a big amount as the snow will be heavy and wet in nature as opposed to the 2008 storm which contained a lot of wind. I remember. We were ripping nicely during the first wave of snow and then it was about 2-2.5 hours of partial dryslot (I don't think snow ended completely but it was quite light and intermittent). But that was enough to cost us 2-4"+ off our total. I remember a couple of 16"+ reports out of Brantford and even Woodbridge I think. Just checked Orangeville and they had 16" as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:47 AM, BuffaloWeather said: 20-30" across wny in that storm. One of the best synoptic events I lived through. I remember it so vividly because I got in a really bad car accident during it. Nearly died during that event. wow. I was a passenger in a car that got into an accident in a whiteout in the Jan 26/78 storm too. Couldn't see a thing in the heavy snow and wind. We were lucky it wasn't bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 NAM is uber progressive at the end of its run. Good thing it's terrible beyond hour 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Bad to say I'm hoping for a sudden northwest shift to effect us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 2:49 AM, blizzardof96 said: NAM is uber progressive at the end of its run. Good thing it's terrible beyond hour 60. yep, extrapolating the nam, (always a bad thing to do), it would probably send a wave thru the tn valley and off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 3:11 AM, buckeye said: yep, extrapolating the nam, (always a bad thing to do), it would probably send a wave thru the tn valley and off the coast.Good! Rather the NAM in the extended range be showing this versus a super amped solution that would be rain for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 12:15 AM, buckeye said: yea but that map looks kind of odd. CMH officially recorded 21" We were literally the bullseye for that storm, although I think places in Canada might have even done better. Sometimes I think we are still paying the price for that one. I think the NOHRSC mapping system has some weird contours when the snow reports lacking a storm total snowfall. If one storm spotter in Columbus reported 10", and didn't update the storm total to 20" in Columbus, then the mapping system has to contour that spot closer to 10" than 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 3:22 AM, pondo1000 said: Good! Rather the NAM in the extended range be showing this versus a super amped solution that would be rain for us. I have no doubt that at some point in the nam runs in the next couple days we'll probably see a 987 over Dayton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 3:37 AM, buckeye said: I have no doubt that at some point in the nam runs in the next couple days we'll probably see a 987 over Dayton LOL. I don't think so this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 0Z GFS is horrible for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Clipper pushes it east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 18 GEFS still all over the place, lots of changes will take place until Sunday IMO, but I like the look of this for Eastern Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 the kicker is a kicker.... any chance we can get a phase?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 definitely ugly east trends tonight. Congrats appalachians Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The Canadian is even uglier. Weak clipper, and a way east shift to the trailing storm. I expect the Euro to capitulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 4:34 AM, buckeye said: definitely ugly east trends tonight. Congrats appalachians Yep, CMC goes East. Western PA doesn't even see anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 4:39 AM, JayPSU said: The Canadian is even uglier. Weak clipper, and a way east shift to the trailing storm. I expect the Euro to capitulate. yep...the big diff showing up is that kicker moving in quicker and stronger and flattening heights out ahead. Trough can't dig and go neg tilt fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 4:41 AM, osubrett2 said: Yep, CMC goes East. Western PA doesn't even see anything. Watch this morph into a cold front with a wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 wonder what happens in between these Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC through 156 hours. With a +NAO, you would think this would be a storm further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 0z suite hasn't been great but just slightly more amplification in either the 0z GFS or the 0z GGEM and we'd have something to talk about. Also, the 0z GEFS snowfall maps that Geos posted in the clipper thread show another jump in amounts from the 18z suite. A number are substantial hits. So, while I'm still of the mind that this is unlikely to happen, it's not time to throw in the towel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 5:14 AM, Geos said: CMC through 156 hours. With a +NAO, you would think this would be a storm further west. Also odd to see a storm ride the eastcoast with a ridge axis that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 5:40 AM, snowstormcanuck said: 0z suite hasn't been great but just slightly more amplification in either the 0z GFS or the 0z GGEM and we'd have something to talk about. Also, the 0z GEFS snowfall maps that Geos posted in the clipper thread show another jump in amounts from the 18z suite. A number are substantial hits. So, while I'm still of the mind that this is unlikely to happen, it's not time to throw in the towel. 00z gefs are west of the op. Also, anecdotally, this was the timeframe that the models suddenly shifted the late January storm way south. So there's your glass half full. , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 On 2/12/2016 at 5:49 AM, buckeye said: 00z gefs are west of the op. Also, anecdotally, this was the timeframe that the models suddenly shifted the late January storm way south. So there's your glass half full. , Gonna try some optimism for once in my life. 0z EURO's gonna come in with reasonable continuity with its 12z/11 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Here's the ensembles for just this system. p17 is crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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