cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Biggest fail of the winter for the GFS. Hawkeye to Cyclone jackpot was definitely lol worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Fabert going with a general 2-4" across the general area, but model agreement remains poor. Another nuisance event more than anything. This could be the longest I remember going throughout a winter without a winter storm warning. Hell we've only had one WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 18z GFS gave in to the rest. Dies quickly as it moves E. Darn - But, another clipper hot on its heals on Tuesday. Let's give it a chance to be sampled though. With everything in the short term, total accumulation looks good. Just wish it would come in one strong piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Well, the 18Z GFS rules Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The Geos flame keeps burning. You can't snuff it out. That optimism maybe keeping the board from going off the rails. Time to post in the sports thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 ^ If I only followed sports well... NAM coming in wetter/farther north. Dries out, but not as soon. NAM trolling Hoosier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fixed.Lol! Beat me to it. Everything is relative. We'll take the GFS and run with it!Salvaging winter one model run at a time. 2-4" in the point from Saturday night thru Sunday. Book it and let's torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Lol! Beat me to it. Everything is relative. We'll take the GFS and run with it! Salvaging winter one model run at a time. 2-4" in the point from Saturday night thru Sunday. Book it and let's torch. Seems reasonable at this time. We are going to have have deep DGZ for at least the first half of Sunday but we lose the better forcing as the wave gets strung out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 First wave. Both waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC Both waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GEFS members Both waves. Important note - second wave turned the winds off the lake with good delta T values in NE IL, SE WI for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GEFS members All_USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_102.gif Both waves. Important note - second wave turned the winds off the lake with good delta T values in NE IL, SE WI for a time. All_USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_138.gif 2nd on the left, please! Some good runs in there, but some just make me cringe. Thanks for posting these! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Local weather offices growing more bullish on a 2-4 inch event. Won't take much to get this to fluff up to 2.2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Local weather offices growing more bullish on a 2-4 inch event. Won't take much to get this to fluff up to 2.2 inches. haha, yeah 2-4 looks like a fine call right now, heaviest far west, lightest up around Geos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 naso sure how it's going to translate downstream but the 12z NAM just took a jump up in wave intensity out west EDIT: nothing crazy but it tries to close off and should be a good hit for the favored areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The NAM is definitely sticking with a stronger southern wave, or at least not as interactive with the northern piece. Quite different than the GFS with solid advisory or maybe low end warning amounts here. Let's see if the 12z GFS holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 LOT going with 2-5" for Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Only looking at about an inch here as it craps the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12z GFS getting the hint. South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 12Z says this thread is pointless. This winter sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 SREF plumes with a nice uptick on the new run, mean for ORD right at .30" QPF it looks like. 12z GFS is a widespread 4-5" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12Z says this thread is pointless. This winter sucks. solid hit for LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 SREF plumes with a nice uptick on the new run, mean for ORD right at .30" QPF it looks like. 12z GFS is a widespread 4-5" here good trends could be my biggest all snow event of the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 solid hit for LOTSolid spread the wealth..except MI.migt end up with 18" of snowfall the first 2 weeks of Feb here. Rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Solid spread the wealth..except MI. And Ohio... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The euro is really the lone holdout showing a weak, insignificant wave. Last night's run even dropped back down to only 0.10" for my area. The rest of the models are steady or even rising this morning. The GFS moved north last night, but has dropped back down right through Iowa. The energy will be onshore and available for sampling tomorrow morning. DVN's early call is 2-4, which is pretty much an average of the major models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 good trends could be my biggest all snow event of the winter Certainly won't take much to hit that bar. Like trends to at least "cover the dog turds". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12z does look nice for LOT, and also NW Illinois/NE Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 CMC looks solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 If the clipper would survive into our area, We'd be golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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