HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 0Z GFS has still been showing a Clipper System entering the Northern Subforum towards 0Z Monday morning and effecting the area through the day, due to the slightly long time frame (for a clipper) 0Z GFS with Kuchera Ratio is showing 4-7 inches from the system (the 18Z GFS showed slightly more) It's not much, but it's something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Probably still early for a thread but whatever, it is a clipper so I would hedge my bets lower than 4-7" maybe something along the lines of 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 Probably still early for a thread but whatever, it is a clipper so I would hedge my bets lower than 4-7" maybe something along the lines of 2-4" Of course it could over-perform, but I digress. IWX was mentioning some potentially sig. LES before this storm system which could boost totals for the lake shore counties. Reminds me of the clipper last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 A fairly impressive/deep DGZ for here on the GFS run between approaching 12,000ft Get the wave to dig a little more (0z GFS was a step in the right direction) and this could be a fairly nice spread the wealth high end advisory/low end warning type snowfall for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 0z GFS has widespread 3-6" amounts near and north of I-80. GGEM a central and southern IL system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Euro has a solid dusting for most of Illinois, besides S Illinois where the Valentines day storm gets going. Most aggressive spot on the Euro is MN. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 First/last call for here/QC 0.05-0.7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 06Z GFS (adjust to remove LES by lakes and add Sundays LES) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Deroit donut hole lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Reasons why I hate social media, already seeing a graphic being passed around about a 6-10" hit from a forecaster out of Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Deroit donut hole lives.Lol. Detroit has been a bullseye more than its been a donut hole in recent years. And the northern part of that donut hole had over a foot of snow yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 this is definitely more of a hybrid system with a clear pac component, biggest risk remains a disjointed weak miss to the south a la the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 GFS must be showing a nice swath of nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 GFS was a little further SE this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 looks about right.. A ratter for se wi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 2.2 call going to bust high, rapidly shifting towards a disjointed miss to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 2.2 call going to bust high, rapidly shifting towards a disjointed miss to my south Cheer up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Cheer up... i'm not that dumbed and definitely liking the warmup on the horizon, this cold windy stuff is the pits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Some GEFS members have some nice results. Hopefully future runs will show this system amping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 this is definitely more of a hybrid system with a clear pac component, biggest risk remains a disjointed weak miss to the south a la the euro The 00z Euro shows quite a bit of snow for Indiana and especially eastern Ohio (not sure about total QPF, but I can see the 3-hr QPF values), and misses Illinois almost completely. So this may be something to watch for Pittsburgh-Cleveland-Indianapolis-Louisville. As of yesterday there were a few runs GFS that showed a 1-3" event for Illinois, Indiana, Ohio. I was previously thinking that southerly wind with a clipper never produces much more than 2" for Indiana/Ohio. Because southerly wind is bad for snow. I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Think it's a bit too early to call this a clipper for certain. At least some potential to get the southern stream involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Man...12z UKIE gets close to trying and bomb this thing. But then again, that's what the UKIE does with every system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Euro looks good I think for the eastern lakes area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Euro looks good I think for the eastern lakes area. I'd settle for a slightly more robust version of the 12z GFS's clipper. We don't do big southern stream storms well here, especially this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Man...12z UKIE gets close to trying and bomb this thing. But then again, that's what the UKIE does with every system. Thrown in the NAVGEM into the mix as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Some GEFS members have some nice results. Hopefully future runs will show this system amping up. Wow nice ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 I'm really liking the trends for us guys in Ohio as long as we don't lose this to the south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 12z Euro is similar to the 00z Euro. The Gulf moisture is getting into this storm, and the storm amplifies into Pennsylvania. Central Ohio is back and forth with 5400m thickness (rain/snow line). Definitely worth watching for Columbus-Indianapolis!! Rainstorm for Pennsylvania + East Coast major cities. here's what I am seeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 given the setup and seasonal trends, i'd definitely favor the euro solution over the stronger northern stream idea hinted on the 12z GEFS would be cautiously optimistic in OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 given the setup and seasonal trends, i'd definitely favor the euro solution over the stronger northern stream idea hinted on the 12z GEFS would be cautiously optimistic in OH given the setup and seasonal trends, i'd definitely favor the euro solution over the stronger northern stream idea hinted on the 12z GEFS would be cautiously optimistic in OH Wake me when February ends...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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