1234snow Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Just like the last storm this dry slot is very impressive. Haven't had a drop of rain in 11 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Just like the last storm this dry slot is very impressive. Haven't had a drop of rain in 11 hours. It's made up for it here. It's poured most of the day over me. I'd rather have had the dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Just like the last storm this dry slot is very impressive. Haven't had a drop of rain in 11 hours. Downsloping? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 SLP update just south of Chatt looking to me like its heading for the Mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 SLP update just south of Chatt looking to me like its heading for the Mountains. Need it on the east side of the Mts. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It's made up for it here. It's poured most of the day over me. I'd rather have had the dry slot. Absolutely. I only get mad at the dry slot when I know it's robbing me of snow and not flooding rain. Downsloping? Yeah you can see it really good here on this image. It's also what will make it hard to change back to snow here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 SLP update just south of Chatt looking to me like its heading for the Mountains. It's looking like the energy is trying to split the mountains. Some of it will try to go up the valley and some it of it around the base of the wedge. This is really where the mountains and the wedge kills us. I bet instead of the low going straight for the mountains it gets strung out and gets hard to tell where it is at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Absolutely. I only get mad at the dry slot when I know it's robbing me of snow and not flooding rain. Dang you are on the state line. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Dang you are on the state line. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 MRX has the oddest zone forecasts out for NE Tn and SWVa. Giving 100 percent rain with 2 inches of snow accumulation. Don't know if they forgot some words or what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 5 inches of snow. .30 ice/sleet and now 2.4 inches of rain with more to come. Creeks are gonna be high, especially with at least another day of precip to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 1234, not sure if your zone is misworded, but MRX may need a Winter Storm Warning based on it's forecast. INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESVILLE...WISE...NORTON...GATE CITY902 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING....REST OF TONIGHT...RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND A CHANCEOF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES.LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OFPRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT..TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING. ACHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN RAINLIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH.HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH ORLESS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT..TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAINAND SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES.TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 6 INCHES. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TOLOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT..WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THEMORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OFPRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 New SPS for plateau and adjacent areas near plateau from MRX: Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN917 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016TNZ012-013-035-036-067-082-083-160800-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-MORGAN-ANDERSON-ROANE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...KINGSTON...PIKEVILLE...DAYTON917 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016 /817 PM CST MON FEB 15 2016/...AREAS OF PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLEALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAYMORNING...AS A WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEELIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THEEARLY MORNING HOURS. MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE ONLYRAIN...HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS ALONG AND NEAR THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAUCOULD SEE PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW OVERNIGHT. IF FREEZINGRAIN OR SNOW DOES OCCUR THEN DRIVING CONDITIONS COULD DEGRADEQUICKLY...ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS. PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTIONWHILE DRIVING...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 This is their discussion of it. CAD along the Plateau. OWEVER...LOCATIONS NEAR THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WEREREPORTING TEMPERATURES AT OR NEAR FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.THERE COULD POSSIBLY BE A VERY LOCALIZED VERY SMALL COLD AIRDAMMING OCCURRING AS COLD AIR IS TRAPPED ALONG THE STEEPEST PARTSOF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. CAN`T CONFIRM THAT THIS IS OCCURRING ORTHE CULPRIT OF THE FREEZING RAIN, BUT LOCATION OF POWER OUTAGES ANDSOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS MAKE IT A POSSIBILITY. HAVE ISSUED AN SPSALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CHANCE TO SEE SOMELIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE VERY EARLYMORNING HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 This is there discussion of it. CAD along the Plateau. I've experienced this effect before in the past. It is real effect that doesn't happen all the time but does happen. I was at 32 an hour ago but back to 33. Highest I've been is 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 New SPS for plateau and adjacent areas near plateau from MRX: Send some snow here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Latest p-type radar shows a streak of snow in Kentucky running due south. Started at the Ohio river a couple hours ago and it heading towards Richmond or just south of there now. Not sure if it's confirmed on the ground or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I've experienced this effect before in the past. It is real effect that doesn't happen all the time but does happen. I was at 32 an hour ago but back to 33. Highest I've been is 34. I live in a bowl on the Plateau. Peaks near me go up to from 2500-2900 feet and I'm surrounded on all sides by them. It's almost impossible to scour cold air out of my area because of that. So I'm sitting here at 32 after a high of 33.6 today, but it's raining too hard for any ice to build up at this temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I live in a bowl on the Plateau. Peaks near me go up to from 2500-2900 feet and I'm surrounded on all sides by them. It's almost impossible to scour cold air out of my area because of that. So I'm sitting here at 32 after a high of 33.6 today, but it's raining too hard for any ice to build up at this temperature. Yeah you really are in a sweet spot. I love the area you live in, would love one day to buy property up that way, especially on a NW facing slope. One of my favorite hikes up your way is Devils Race Track. Its so strange I've talked about the sort of micro CAD effect on this side of the valley year after year on here, never heard Morristown ever acknowledge any such effect until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 1234, not sure if your zone is misworded, but MRX may need a Winter Storm Warning based on it's forecast. That's doesn't make much since to me. I'm about positive I will see less than an inch out of this. Now it may be possible for the higher elevations of the county that border Lee and Wise. It is such a different climate up that way. Most of the time they lump all the SWVA counties together. The HI-RES NAM from 18z did try to drop a few inches this evening and a few more tomorrow afternoon with the clipper. I'm surprised that JKL didn't issue a WSW for some of their western counties. I guess the uncertainty of the changeover made them not do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It's looking like the energy is trying to split the mountains. Some of it will try to go up the valley and some it of it around the base of the wedge. This is really where the mountains and the wedge kills us. I bet instead of the low going straight for the mountains it gets strung out and gets hard to tell where it is at.Will be close. Literally, if it makes it east of the mountains...we may be talking by less than 50 miles. Now we know why the models struggled so badly with this. If it makes that corner and turns, somebody is going to get a surprise depending on how closey it hugs the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Temp shot up to 42° in a big hurry near Bristol. Per my earlier comments, guess I'll be kissing a horse. Still hopeful for backside snow tomorrow, even if light. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamajen Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I have a question. Why does there seem to be an area that runs thru Knoxville, including Sevierville and Pgeon Forge that seems to be on the short end of the stick when storms like the one in mid January and this one happening now? It is like a river of warmer air is in the atmosphere in this area. Is there a scientific explanation? Areas not too far north and west get hammered and we are left with nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Dalton GA 22:15 Thunderstorm Snow in Vicinity 5 37 37 100 S 5 33 29.71 Is This a mistake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Dalton GA 22:15 Thunderstorm Snow in Vicinity 5 37 37 100 S 5 33 29.71 Is This a mistake? I see that.... Bet that is an automated reporting station but if thats true very interesting. Also see Middlesboro KY is now reporting Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It shows up on radar scope as snowing around the Dalton area. Wow some wild dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Math/Met Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Here is quick update on the wind event. Camp Creek just gusted to 71mph. For anyone who isn’t familiar with that area, Camp Creek is in the lower elevations of southern Greene County. It is located at the base of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Per precip type radar the streak of snow has made it all the way down kentucky into northern tennessee just on the other side of the Plateau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 David Aldrich added an interesting nugget on the 11:00 news. He still thinks the valley will see up to a half inch of snow, but said that locally higher amounts of 1-2 inches is possible in my area of North Knox and Southern Union Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 John, what you said about North Knoxville might apply tomorrow morning, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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