Windspeed Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 North Bristol got a nice thump the past hour. Huge flakes have given away to a mix of flakes and sleet. My closest station still says 25°. I think it's going to be a heavy mix here for a good while longer. Sitting at 5" at present. I'm still worried about freezing rain later. The subfreezing temps are still holding well. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Sitting just on the fringe of the band, a touch above freezing, with a rain/sleet mix. Picked up what appears to be an additional inch of slop overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Kingsport temps are rising slowly. Range from 28-30 right now on wxunderground. Heavy zr and sleet inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Precip has ended here for now, the last hour was a heavy ZR possibly even rain at the end it was so heavy it was just running off. Temp has risen to 31 now. Got just a little more than a tenth of an inch of ice on everything outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 ZR now in Bristol. Temp rose from 25° to 29° in 30-40 minutes. The blow torch is on... Looks like 5" is going to be my final total now that ZR has taken hold. Anybody else have their totals? Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Temp here stuck at 31.7 with freezing rain, and even a few sleet pellets thrown in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Robert @ WxSouth thinks we might have a chance at wrap-around snow later tonight as the low pulls away. Here's his Facebook post about 30 minutes ago: As the day wears on, any snow and ice in TN will turn over to mostly rain, as well into central middle Kentucky, but as the low goes up the Spine of the Appalachians tonight and deepens some, a strong comma head of precip will backlash across the Valley in middle KY to middle and east central Tennessee with just enough cold air aloft to flip back over to heavy, wet snowfall. There's a chance anyway, but it will depend on how hard the precip comes down on the back end of the storm. Temps aloft will come down quickly and the heavy precip rates add dynamical cooling to the storm, possibly enough to bring the snow line back to the surface. If that happens a quick 2, 3" or 4" of slushy snow can fall there. Time frame is overnight tonight. By Tuesday morning, the spine of the Apps is most likely changing back to snow (after brief rain and ice predawn there), all the way to extreme northern GA mountains possibly. The best chance for accumulations on back end snow is middle to eastern KY and mid/eastern TN, but not all regions will likely switch over. Sent from my XT1055 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm starting to wonder what the temps will actually get up to for us here in the valley. I've been sitting at about 33.5-34 since 8am this morning. The forecast was for us to hit 40 at noon, I don't see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm still at 32 here in Halls. No way we make 44. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I just went on a measuring trip. We have collected 5 inches for the whole thing and a little layer of sleet and freezing rain on top. It is currently raining now. The roads are still completely covered just about everywhere. Temp is 32 so we should go above freezing soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm still at 32 here in Halls. No way we make 44. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Same here....been at 32 all morning right down the road from you in Fountain City.Sent from my XT1055 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 12z NAM is showing wrap around snow tonight. This is by 12z Tuesday. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Still at 32 here at the house. Switches from ZR to rain and back and forth. Trees have a pretty good amount of ice in them. The roads in town are fine, but slushy out here where I live. Kinda wonder myself if we make it to 40 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Largest snowflakes I had seen since '98 this morning. Looked like potato chips falling feom the sky. At our place in Colonial Heights we had around 5 inches. Roads are so slushy now it is like driving in mud. Sleet and frz rain presently @32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just a FYI for those who might not know about weatherlink in the App Store. It's a Davis inst app for their weather stations. Here is a screenshot of the Sharps Ridge observation. It updates automatically. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Like everyone else, stuck at 32.4 right now. Roads are clearing, but little melting has occurred on the trees. If anything, the Leyland Cypress nearby is looking droopier than early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 My power just came back on. I had light freezing rain from 3 til 9 am and it really weighed down some pines and power lines. Currently 33.4 degrees. Still ice in the trees and thick, sloppy snow that's compacted from 5 inches down to about 3. Roads that haven't been plowed are skateable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm buying heavy wrap around snow for East TN and portions of the plateau tonight. I can't see the region along the border of KY and VA eclipsing 40°. It's 33° here right now. If it reaches 40° by 3pm, I'll kiss a horse. The wrap around will pull in NW flow with the low deepening as it pushes east and NE of the region. I think we'll be under heavy wet snow by 9 to 10 pm. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm buying heavy wrap around snow for East TN and portions of the plateau tonight. I can't see the region along the border of KY and VA eclipsing 40°. It's 33° here right now. If it reaches 40° by 3pm, I'll kiss a horse. The wrap around will pull in NW flow with the low deepening as it pushes east and NE of the region. I think we'll be under heavy wet snow by 9 to 10 pm. Sent from my LG G4. l don't know if I can take another night of tease it gives my area of Knox county 1 half inch.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm buying heavy wrap around snow for East TN and portions of the plateau tonight. I can't see the region along the border of KY and VA eclipsing 40°. It's 33° here right now. If it reaches 40° by 3pm, I'll kiss a horse. The wrap around will pull in NW flow with the low deepening as it pushes east and NE of the region. I think we'll be under heavy wet snow by 9 to 10 pm. Sent from my LG G4. The Euro from 00z showed this happening in North Central Tennessee last night but it also showed most of East Tennessee hitting 45-48 degrees. The NAM is far and away the most aggressive with the back side snow. Hopefully it is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 To be specific, I'm referring to the border regions of upper East TN and the plateau. I'm not as confident for areas SW of Greenville and Knox. Temperatures are key. It seems all the modeling has overplayed the flamethrower SW flow. As the backside of the low pulls NE, the flow should back out of Ohio and Eastern KY. High precip rates may do good work there for the bordering counties in the Eastern Valley. That doesn't mean it will make it far south as Knox. I have good hopes for the northern counties, but not so much as you go south. Depends on the strength of the low and that NW flow. Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just look at the SE radar. Can you only imagine if we had that 1040 HP over in NB/MO right now!! Better yet, if we could have had the current one moving off the New England coast, and another one dropping down instead of the clipper! This could have been one for the record books for sure. Alas, it just wasn't meant to be this time. Still was nice to see some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 The north side of JC is sitting in the middle 30s. The south side is in the lower 40s. My Dad in Erwin reports 46°, sunny skies, and a brisk SE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm getting that phunny pheeling about tonight. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 It's been awhile since I've seen models be so far off on temps. Last night the RAP showed Knoxville hitting 60 degrees by 18z... My truck showed 34 a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 It's been awhile since I've seen models be so far off on temps. Last night the RAP showed Knoxville hitting 60 degrees by 18z... My truck showed 34 a few minutes ago. I know right. Sitting at 34 down this way too. Could bode well for possible back side snow tonight if this thing moves up the spine of the apps and deepens like the NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm getting that phunny pheeling about tonight. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Are any other short range models beside the NAM showing the backside snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Are any other short range models beside the NAM showing the backside snow? The NAM is alone in its aggressive backside thump. Others appear to show some mixing or brief backside, like cold air chasing moisture. I'm feeling the possibility personally with temps staying so low, if the low passes to our east it will pull colder upper level air over, and of course the surface hasn't really warmed much. If we stay in the 30s today, then I will feel very optimistic of some backside snow, how much is another question though. The low track will be critical though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 The north side of JC is sitting in the middle 30s. The south side is in the lower 40s. My Dad in Erwin reports 46°, sunny skies, and a brisk SE wind. I think there is some major downsloping today. I noticed brighter skies off to my south this morning--even a patch of blue toward the foothills. Also, the precip field over East TN has a major hole in it at the moment. In the meantime...only 32.9 here with drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Some power outages reported in Halls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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