Mandra76 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 27/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 No,7pm RAP shows 24,OBS 27 Yeah I see now. Was looking at the wrong hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Yeah I see now. Was looking at the wrong hour. yeah you have to check the hours if you use pivotal and make sure you hit the refresh button Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I got a question for the weather gurus on here. Are any of the models showing the precipitation starting as a mix of rain and snow on Sunday afternoon in the Central Valley? That's what MRX's Special Weather Statement is saying. ...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING... A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WARM AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL MOVE IN...WHICH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET...WITH PATCHY FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATER KNOXVILLE AREA...SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...WITH A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE CHATTANOOGA AREA IS EXPECTED TO SEE LITTLE TO NO SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION AS TEMPERATURES AT THE GROUND SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE DURATION AND TIMING OF EACH TYPE OF PRECIPITATION WILL GREATLY IMPACT THE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR OTHER WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. HOWEVER...DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON SOME ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mandra76 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I got a question for the weather gurus on here. Are any of the models showing the precipitation starting as a mix of rain and snow on Sunday afternoon in the Central Valley? That's what MRX's Special Weather Statement is saying. ...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WARM AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL MOVE IN...WHICH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET...WITH PATCHY FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATER KNOXVILLE AREA...SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...WITH A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE CHATTANOOGA AREA IS EXPECTED TO SEE LITTLE TO NO SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION AS TEMPERATURES AT THE GROUND SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE DURATION AND TIMING OF EACH TYPE OF PRECIPITATION WILL GREATLY IMPACT THE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR OTHER WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. HOWEVER...DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE DIFFICULT ON SOME ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. Don't think they know what's gonna happen so there playing it safe warning the possibility of everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 NAM is rolling Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Good luck over there y'all, hope you score big. You guys have been on the short end of these storms over the last few years. Got one question. Looking to buy some land over there in the next few years and looking for at least 3500ft with a spot that scores with upslope and avoids the warm nose during Miller a storms. What would you guys suggest? I looked around Mtn city but there is not much there. Need to be no more than about 30 min from a hospital so my wife can have a job. Also looked around 26 near the line around Sam's gap, that area might work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 So far, it looks like it starts out as snow for East Tennessee on this NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 At 00z Monday this run is a bit colder vs the 18z Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 This might be a better run Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mandra76 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 At 03 its already 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Good luck over there y'all, hope you score big. You guys have been on the short end of these storms over the last few years. Got one question. Looking to buy some land over there in the next few years and looking for at least 3500ft with a spot that scores with upslope and avoids the warm nose during Miller a storms. What would you guys suggest? I looked around Mtn city but there is not much there. Need to be no more than about 30 min from a hospital so my wife can have a job. Also looked around 26 near the line around Sam's gap, that area might work. Head to the banter thread, I'll reply there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 At 03 its already 33 That's colder than the last 2 runs though. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Still not there but it's slowly coming back south. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Taking a guess I'd say the snow line moved 25-30 miles south of 18z Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Taking a guess I'd say the snow line moved 25-30 miles south of 18z Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Follow the HRRR or RAP now http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=HRRR&p=1kmref&rh=2016021401&fh=0&r=rv&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Axis of heaviest snows on the 0z NAM is north of I40 to the KY/TN border. Axis shifted south about 100 miles. Out to 42, the NAM is slower. Allows for a bigger thump. Precip hitting the retreating cold is stronger. Was a tad colder, longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Follow the HRRR or RAP now http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=HRRR&p=1kmref&rh=2016021401&fh=0&r=rv&dpdt= You might know this as far as i know.But this is more in the meso short range modlels now.They perform better but use outside 6 hours use with caution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Temp is dropping fast. 22/06 now Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 You might know this as far as i know.But this is more in the meso short range modlels now.They perform better but use outside 6 hours use with caution Thank you!!! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Could someone post a snow accumulation map for the 0z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Could someone post a snow accumulation map for the 0z NAM? Edit...took it out to 42. Not Kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mandra76 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Hope for better news from the gfs and hope the snow line is about 50-100 miles more south whne it hits . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Thank you!!! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk NP,you still can use the NAM as guidance though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 0z NAM hi-res snow totals, close up. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 NP,you still can use the NAM as guidance though Yeah at this point with the NAM I was just looking for trends. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 0z NAM hi-res snow totals, close up. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Me likey Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 0z NAM hi-res snow totals, close up. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk That is a serious band through Hawkins and Sullivan counties. Very similar to the event last year in which JC was blanked. Don't think that happens this time, but a huge difference from one side of I-81 to the other certainly wouldn't surprise me. TRI is down to 16 already with clear skies. Forecast is 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 RGEM is rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 0z RGEM close up. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.