WeatherNC Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I hope I see some clouds tomorrow. I was hoping for a ring around the moon tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I was hoping for a ring around the moon tonight LOL --- I actually went out looking for one about an hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 About 12 hours out and everything dries up. You know if it was just a chance of rain that we would get more than forecasted. We have no clue what it takes to get snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Its super clear round here. Young new moon waxing in the west. Sirus following Orion, and Jupiter brilliant rising in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 About 12 hours out and everything dries up. You know if it was just a chance of rain that we would get more than forecasted. We have no clue what it takes to get snow here. Huh? We still have 18 hours. I just don't see how it helps to be pessimistic. Going through life being optimistic is so much better. The models will change again. They have no idea what the storm is going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Salt or brine? Some was so thick there were drifts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Huh? We still have 18 hours. I just don't see how it helps to be pessimistic. Going through life being optimistic is so much better. The models will change again. They have no idea what the storm is going to do. lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 There's over .35 inches of QPF for coastal areas. Some cry, some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Huh? We still have 18 hours. I just don't see how it helps to be pessimistic. Going through life being optimistic is so much better. The models will change again. They have no idea what the storm is going to do. Not being pessimistic about this event. Just saying about 12 hours out and we really don't know. Just funny how things change so fast here when it comes to winter weather. That is what I meant by we really have no idea what it takes to get a storm because we can't really depend on anything. Just to many variables that can go right or wrong here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It is really the same way all year but no one is making a thread about a series of spring showers and trying to determine to the nearest hundredth how much precip there is going to be. Everyone only takes a close look at it when it could be frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Its super clear round here. Young new moon waxing in the west. Sirus following Orion, and Jupiter brilliant rising in the east. The calm before the storm...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Not being pessimistic about this event. Just saying about 12 hours out and we really don't know. Just funny how things change so fast here when it comes to winter weather. That is what I meant by we really have no idea what it takes to get a storm because we can't really depend on anything. Just to many variables that can go right or wrong here. It's almost like we cannot depend on the weather to cooperate with our goals and dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Huh? We still have 18 hours. I just don't see how it helps to be pessimistic. Going through life being optimistic is so much better. The models will change again. They have no idea what the storm is going to do. Pretty much this....I wont lie I would rather see the models showing a good thump, however I cant even begin to remember all the times I have gotten 3+" of snow on a forecast of a dusting to a inch, its a bunch. Like I said earlier IF we get a low off the coast the QPF will be there, its very rare we get a low that close and not get a decent little event....typically my light accumulation events ( say 2" and lower) are all weak waves traveling west to east or over running type events, rarely do I get snow from a low offshore and it only ends up a dusting unless it is WAYYYY offshore and I am on the western edge of the precip but this low is way to close for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Huh? We still have 18 hours. I just don't see how it helps to be pessimistic. Going through life being optimistic is so much better. The models will change again. They have no idea what the storm is going to do. Holy loller! Wife was wondering what I was laughing outloud at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Have to agree...if one thing is 100% correct its the models have NO IDEA. They never do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It's almost like we cannot depend on the weather to cooperate with our goals and dreams. And that's not it, either. Just saying when it comes to winter weather here, it can go either way and change quickly all the way up to the event. Just a lot harder to know what is going to do here with winter weather, and not unusual for things to change for the better or worse a few hours before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Pretty much this....I wont lie I would rather see the models showing a good thump, however I cant even begin to remember all the times I have gotten 3+" of snow on a forecast of a dusting to a inch, its a bunch. Like I said earlier IF we get a low off the coast the QPF will be there, its very rare we get a low that close and not get a decent little event....typically my light accumulation events ( say 2" and lower) are all weak waves traveling west to east or over running type events, rarely do I get snow from a low offshore and it only ends up a dusting unless it is WAYYYY offshore and I am on the western edge of the precip but this low is way to close for that. I agree, I have lived here in the extreme western part of the coastal plain/eastern sandhills area all of my life and remember many times of coastal storms over performing, unless temp problems come into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It's almost like we cannot depend on the weather to cooperate with our goals and dreams. Hahaha I dream of snow and wake up to sunshine and dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I kept clicking on the 4km nam weenie map on pivotal weather thinking the graphic had not loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 well since I gotta work in the AM I will go to sleep without seeing anymore runs tonight hopefully I wake up to all yall freaking out over the overnight models being way better and the low forming stronger or something and we all are looking at a significant event.....nah that wont happen we dont get that lucky, be nice to have a bust to the good one of these times.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Greg Fishel posted that Wake only has a 10-20% chance of ANY snow at all. Shows the map from the NWS. People are taking his word.... The map says 10-20% of greater than an inch. We all can agree it's not over and inch, but he's stating wrong info from the map. I hope people can read....or bother to read the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Lol... Fishel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Greg Fishel posted that Wake only has a 10-20% chance of ANY snow at all. Shows the map from the NWS. People are taking his word.... The map says 10-20% of greater than an inch. We all can agree it's not over and inch, but he's stating wrong in from from the map from NWS. I hope people can read....or bother to read the map.I think wake basically has a chance at T-0.3" or so. If we get 0.5" or more at RDU I'll be shocked. That's where I'm at with this event. Interpreting the map live on tv incorrectly or not, I agree with Fishel overall...likely to verify only a trace. It's trending closer to a non-event for the triangle. Of course there's always a chance for something like this to over perform, but we are locking it in nicely now for Wake. Folks out east have more to watch for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I'm just arguing his choice of map (NWS's map) and his wording in his blog. Lol For what it's worth I think we won't see much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Welcome to the I Hate Fishel Show with special guest haters, Regan Raleigh and Brick Tamland! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fish isn't a bad guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fishel must be the most talked about met in the country. It's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fishel must be the most talked about met in the country. It's insane. He's awful and wrong most of the time. If he just showed more 5 day out snow maps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Greg Fishel posted that Wake only has a 10-20% chance of ANY snow at all. Shows the map from the NWS. People are taking his word.... The map says 10-20% of greater than an inch. We all can agree it's not over and inch, but he's stating wrong info from the map. I hope people can read....or bother to read the map. Greg Fishcel wrote the test that all mets must pass in order to be certified as an on air meterologist by the ams. Pretty sure he knows what he is doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fish isn't a bad guy. He is actually an extreamly inteligent guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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