vern Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I really hate when people bring that damn thing back up. I spent a lot of money having those memories permanently erased. Most of us got a day off for that "storm", so it wasn't all bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Updated WSW at 9:42 AM still keeping 6-9". I mean I can hope, but I won't believe it until King Euro speaks again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 FYI. IAD sounding from 7AM. Pretty cold Wet bulb temps. Any decent precip rate should do the trick. I know it's not "DC proper", but close enough for these illustrative purposes. http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KIAD.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS is really cold tomorrow... Tough forecast since the bulk of the precipitation is falling with the temps above freezing even at BWI though it will probably start sticking before then on the grass if the snow is falling heavily enough, still a big if.. For DC, it's even later for the cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I was not...but why would expectations in the city be that high anyway? I posted a list of caution flags a day or two ago. Even so, I just don't see zero. We'll see... 1-3 for DC is a good forecast IMO. Even if the GFS totally busts on the temps Tuesday and the RGEM totally busts on the norlun we can pick up an inch on grassy surfaces overnight tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 NWS up'ed the maximum totals for DC from this morning... now in the 5-6 inch range. They do have the 1-2 inch range as the most likely snow fall though... but this morning's max was in the 3-4 range, so it is something. Temp currently 42/27 at my house. And yes, I am in the boat that this event won't amount to much (if anything) in the DC area... but will still follow it, cause that's what I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Updated WSW at 9:42 AM still keeping 6-9". I mean I can hope, but I won't believe it until King Euro speaks again. I think the 6-9" range is for (and I hate to say this) NE MD and northern Baltimore County. I am under the watch in AA County and it says 6-9" but my point and click says 1-2" tonight and another 1-2" tomorrow so basically 2-4" for the whole storm. I expect AA County to go into an Advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Updated WSW at 9:42 AM still keeping 6-9". I mean I can hope, but I won't believe it until King Euro speaks again. Didn't King Euro cave to Jester GFS last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 12z GGEM looks decent... NE MD GETS SMASHED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 NWS up'ed the maximum totals for DC from this morning... now in the 5-6 inch range. They do have the 1-2 inch range as the most likely snow fall though... but this morning's max was in the 3-4 range, so it is something. Temp currently 42/27 at my house. And yes, I am in the boat that this event won't amount to much (if anything) in the DC area... but will still follow it, cause that's what I do. It's a useless product IMO. Sorry. Been here, had this convo before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Now, forgive me because I'm just waking up, but...I'm trying to figure out why the heckthere's a winter storm watch for my area for something that looked like it was only gonna be a few inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 12z GGEM looks decent... NE MD GETS SMASHED AWESOME. Happy Randy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 AWESOME. Happy Randy? Satisfactory, but you can do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 i hate the word decent. decent to me means it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Didn't King Euro cave to Jester GFS last night? Didn't King Euro cave to Jester GFS last night? I believe so yes. I just want to make sure the King doesn't start throwing curve balls though. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think 4-6 is pretty reasonable. I don't have great feeling about this but I also don't feel terrible either. My best guess is this is 2 parts but I could be off. Maybe we pick up 1-2 overnight and then 2-4 with the second part. Wouldn't be shocked if it's a total bust because I'm not sold on the cold afternoon temps the GFS has. On the other hand this could work out well and if we do stay cold some of those 8 inch plus amounts are not impossible. I agree -- its a tough forecast, even for up our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 So much confusion in this thread. Is it looking better or worse for DC and how are temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 So much confusion in this thread. Is it looking better or worse for DC and how are temps? Nobody outside of NE Maryland cares at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 So much confusion in this thread. Is it looking better or worse for DC and how are temps? DC looking very marginal. Seems like the most likely event in DC is wet roads/white rain and maybe some accumulation on grassy surfaces. The GFS/RGEM say otherwise and would give DC 3 or more inches, but we've all been burned twice in the last few years on these marginal temp events so expectations are very low. The GFS keeps the surface quite close to freezing through the whole event but the euro has DC 33-35 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I'm liking the UKIE... keeps QPF over the area from hr 18 to 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I'm liking the UKIE... keeps QPF over the area from hr 18 to 42 Looks good precip-wise but it spikes us to over 40 degrees by 1pm tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Looks good precip-wise but it spikes us to over 40 degrees by 1pm tomorrow. There is a 2nd "wave" in the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 So much confusion in this thread. Is it looking better or worse for DC and how are temps? I think people have just thrown in the towel. It could just be a non-accumulating white rain event, but if temps are, say, 2 degrees cooler than forecasted, with heavy precipitation it could be a boom, a la St Patty's day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 If you're North of Thurmont>Hampstead>Jarrettsville>Rising Sun I expect to see good snow pics tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Nobody outside of NE Maryland cares at this point. We didn't do all that well in the blizzard, give us something for gods sake. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Looks good precip-wise but it spikes us to over 40 degrees by 1pm tomorrow. The models always do this.. if there is any precip falling temps won't be close to 40 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Looks good precip-wise but it spikes us to over 40 degrees by 1pm tomorrow. I don't see that on meteocentre -- http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=12&var=std〈=en&map=us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It will be interesting to see what LWX does. They will have to make the call by the 3 PM package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It will be interesting to see what LWX does. They will have to make the call by the 3 PM package. From the updated snow map, if it doesn't change again, you can tell exactly where the warning will by put up vs. the advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It will be interesting to see what LWX does. They will have to make the call by the 3 PM package. In terms of what? Advisories and warnings? I see a warning for NE MD PUMMELED and an advisory for everywhere else north of prince william- prince george's county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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