mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The NAM just RGEM'ed us. Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 7:54 PM, Clueless said: BOOK It. Not bad for MBY. You have elevation and orographic forcing. You may get more than that map indicates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 wes gets 8". thats all I have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:07 PM, mitchnick said: The NAM just RGEM'ed us. Sweet! I was thinking the same thing. Generally speaking it's very much like the RGEM. Waiting for 4k panels but looked juiced at hr 12 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:06 PM, hosj III said: DC never gets to 32. 33-34 overnight rising to 35-36 during the day. I really don't see how that gets you 4". 33 and moderate to heavy snow can accumulate on I-95....temps are no issue dude... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 well the precip is definitely making a beeline for the area: http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:06 PM, hosj III said: DC never gets to 32. 33-34 overnight rising to 35-36 during the day. I really don't see how that gets you 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:07 PM, mitchnick said: The NAM just RGEM'ed us. Sweet! What kind of fake QPF are we looking at " man"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I just told the NAM to stop posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:07 PM, Jebman said: You have elevation and orographic forcing. You may get more than that map indicates. Usually .5 to 1 inch more than town. One storm we got over an inch and the Burg had nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 lol...4k annihilates me...La la lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah, 18Z NAM is just a tad wetter, one could say. I find it amusing on TT how the R/S line runs exactly on the Potomac River at 18Z tomorrow afternoon...probably an artifact of whatever algorithm is used and it's probably not worth parsing a whole lot...but it was kind of funny. Anyhow, temps look colder than the 12Z NAM, into the mid-30s during the afternoon. On the whole, I'd say quite improved from earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:09 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: lol...4k annihilates me...La la lock it up! you mean pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 4k is 0.8" for DC by 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 4k Hi-Res NAM has got a yellow blob right over DC 12z tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:06 PM, stormtracker said: lol on total precip on the NAM. Went from desert to monsoon Yeah, no kidding, right?! Just a crazy switch in one run. Don't get whiplash looking at that change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 6:41 PM, das said: Snowshoe. 4 or 5 really good hi-def cams up there. http://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/web-cams/silver-creek-web-cam.aspx Thanks. Very pretty scene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:10 PM, Clueless said: you mean pummeled raked, shellacked, stone cold assassin...Allentown to Annapolis in 6 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 4k is a convective dumpfest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 one caveat here: on that page, they also offer a run total accumulated snow with variable density. It computes a ratio based on the temps instead of blindly using 10:1, and those plots today show smaller totals. On 2/8/2016 at 7:50 PM, Snowman. said: 17z run of the HRRRx which runs to 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:10 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: 4k is 0.8" for DC by 10am Say what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:11 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Yeah, no kidding, right?! Just a crazy switch in one run. Don't get whiplash looking at that change. It's not over...4k Totals are going to be insane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:11 PM, Bob Chill said: 4k is a convective dumpfest LWX has talked that about in their past AFDs re convection/instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 DC gets destroyed on 4km NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Normally we are inside the usefulness of the ensembles except for verification purposes but since we are talking a fairly long duration event they may have some utility left. Looking at the Euro ensembles they have bumped up qpf slightly from the 00Z run to where we now have .5" + running through Balt. We have also seen a slight shift of the precip field north and east. There has also been a corresponding response with the snowfall max increasing from 3 1/2 " to 4 1/2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:10 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: 4k is 0.8" for DC by 10am that would be 4" of heavy wet snow probably. similar to jan 26 2011. course thats not going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 8:14 PM, stormtracker said: Snow town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Where is Ravens94 now?! Nam model suite looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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