ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Thought it wise to start a winter event discussion thread for what may be feast for a few and famine for most....if this comes to pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 18z NAM a general .50" QPF for the region with the inverted trough a 4-6" event 12z ECM ensembles only 1/3 have the OP flurries solution most of the rest put down a couple inches so a cave is now in order with this model the king no more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Not a bad idea. Someone 's going to see something from this. Funny thing, this and the CPA forums are the slowest with posts. I've needed to go to the NYC and Mid Atlantic forums to get any good information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Not a bad idea. Someone 's going to see something from this. Funny thing, this and the CPA forums are the slowest with posts. I've needed to go to the NYC and Mid Atlantic forums to get any good information. just go to Phillywx.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2016 Author Share Posted February 7, 2016 Again I think both this and the other site are just the right combination - both are great together! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 18z gfs a 6-10 deal Sent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm amazed at how far off (or on in some cases) all these maps/models are from each other so close to a possible event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Starting to zone in on SE PA and and especially just to the W... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ALL winter ive watched the EURO make massive changes inside 24 hours, on the day of the blizzard it finally showed heavy snow in NYC & the burbs. Im rolling with the Americans, but not as crazy as gfs, 2-4" with isolated 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ALL winter ive watched the EURO make massive changes inside 24 hours, on the day of the blizzard it finally showed heavy snow in NYC & the burbs. Im rolling with the Americans, but not as crazy as gfs, 2-4" with isolated 4-8 Reasonable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Again I think both this and the other site are just the right combination - both are great together!You are spot on...I do the same! BTW...like your new emoticon! Looks like your timing is perfect looking at the next few upcoming weeks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Just took a look at the IR cloud images and you can really see storm #1 staring to wind upoff the SE coast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Real damn funny discussion of the 0z NAM in the MA side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Real damn funny discussion of the 0z NAM in the MA side Best subforum for humorous reads. Great bunch of posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Comparing the radar image and 1Z HRRR, the precip shield is much further northwest on radar at the 10:30 timeframe. I know it doesn't mean diddly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Just took a look at the IR cloud images and you can really see storm #1 staring to wind upoff the SE coast!! Already has an "eye" to it... You can see it heading almost due east on the IR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 RGEM south - pretty close to ECM yikes NAM south GFS south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 RGEM south - pretty close to ECM yikes NAM south GFS south South south south tomorrow they all come back north north north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 South south south tomorrow they all come back north north north Every run of every model is a huge change but with one exception the ECM for us the yo yo continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS still looks like 4-6" in PHILLY area from what I've seen! Remember still 36-48 hours out... Northward shift forthcoming!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Every run of every model is a huge change but with one exception the ECM for us the yo yo continuesIt's a norlun. The models won't have a clue until right before event.These are soooo localized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lolRoad trip...LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lol I feel like every one posting is bi-polar til (if) the event happens.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lol Let me guess here- a tremendous gradient though that diminishes to 2" in northern Bucks and Montco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Let me guess here- a tremendous gradient though that diminishes to 2" in northern Bucks and Montco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lol UKMET puts you in the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Lovin ukmet!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM has over an inch of QPF for philly it looks like lol Must be rain involved looks like 6" Philly and the gradient isn't too terrible for a change. Not that any of this matters it will be different at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKMET south about 50 miles still good for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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