Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 pic of IVT setting up ? Was driving around mt pocono a few hours ago, and also noticed current mesocale analysis showing fronts directly overhead. So I had to take a pic of this awkwardness. (the slant especially) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Appears that precip is developing to our NE as first increased precip from the SW approaches us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 9:53 PM, GD0815 said: lol, especially when they are better for your area. the euro and gfs score well a day out, and should not be discounted Not in this case. See the nyc thread for details from snowgoose. Mesoscale models are better for picking up inverted troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 4:35 PM, RedSky said: Kamu is in a great spot for this On 2/8/2016 at 4:36 PM, JTA66 said: lol ... I was just about to post the same thing. Let's storm chase at Kamu's! Bring some peanuts ... Hoping it verifies obviously - we shall see....hoping for at least a decent covering going into this cold spell. Interesting especially right on the heels of a (sort of) near miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/8/2016 at 11:26 PM, Snow88 said: Not in this case. See the nyc thread for details from snowgoose. Mesoscale models are better for picking up inverted troughs. better doesn't mean you just discount the globals. also the NAM hits phl and nyc not because of an inverted trough, but because of the coastal. It isn't cut and dry, if it was the euro and gfs hitting your area, you would say the NAM is all over the place and unreliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 37F and cloudy here, the temperature has been dropping nicely considering. Seeing snow on some webcams in N.E. Maryland. (Webcam hallucinations) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 12:18 AM, GD0815 said: better doesn't mean you just discount the globals. also the NAM hits phl and nyc not because of an inverted trough, but because of the coastal. It isn't cut and dry, if it was the euro and gfs hitting your area, you would say the NAM is all over the place and unreliable. Incorrect. PHL and NYC get hit by inverted trough and not a developing coastal low. What you see depicted as a developing low is simply a short wave riding along the inverted trough helping to enhance precip. Suggest you read Mt Holly forecast discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 First flakes! Okay, just a few, but pretty much coincided with the NE edge of that band on the radar moving overhead. 36F here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Snow on our doorstep. 35.8F here (now) in and around the area which will fall. Seems to be a decent event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Steady light, almost moderate snow here in NW Chesco. Temp 34.6, but 27 DP plus frozen ground has everything covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 First flake just sailed through my snow light.. 33.4f 26dp 73% SSW Three Tuns PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 NAM now jackpots PHL - NYC. DC folks slitting wrists in MA thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Moderate snowfall here. Sticking to cars and grass, but not paved surfaces. 31.6F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 But warm surface around the city 3-6" NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Another NAM another solution and a good one again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Snowing lightly here in Warminster. Expecting 2-5" around SE PA with localized higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I must say RGEM looks great for NW burbs of Philly.... temps marginal in the city but later start time for second burst will help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Significant shift north on the RGEM I just can't believe these changes every run, but it is becoming clearer now that the ECM is going to get embarrased again this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I'm so damn confused w/this setup it's pathetic... Light snow currently w/a coating on the deck. 31.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Lol.. Just said that to my wife... Not sure she got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 GFS is nice too 4-6" area wide trending all in the right direction at game time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Yup North it is. Sent from my LG-H900 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 3:46 AM, RedSky said: GFS is nice too 4-6" area wide trending all in the right direction at game time More like everyone city and NW..... too warm in SNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 3:46 AM, RedSky said: GFS is nice too 4-6" area wide trending all in the right direction at game timeWith the NAM having led the way......again. Isnt it ironic? Dontcha think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Lehigh Valley has snuck into this one now amazing turn of fortune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 3:59 AM, RedSky said: Lehigh Valley has snuck into this one now amazing turn of fortuneWhere's hazwoper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Sticking to the perimeter of the driveway/road...it's a start. 30.7F... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 3:59 AM, RedSky said: Lehigh Valley has snuck into this one now amazing turn of fortune If you don't mind me asking, what are you expecting in the Lehigh Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 GGEM is a Montco, Chesco, Bucks jackpot... 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 On 2/9/2016 at 4:12 AM, Tibet said: If you don't mind me asking, what are you expecting in the Lehigh Valley? 0z guidance is suggesting 4-6" and it falls in line with the tendency of inverted troughs to shift north close to the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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