Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 We may exceed last Valentine's day arctic shot with next weekend's front.What about the 15-17 period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 who would've thought a super Nino winter would bring this kind of cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 who would've thought a super Nino winter would bring this kind of cold? JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 What about the 15-17 period? Dry so far. Still cold. Only out to hour 198. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I don't track mid level temps unless there is precip involved but good god...nearly -30C stuff overhead on Sunday night? I don't think any cold shot last year at range had -30 above us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Lol....DCA is below freezing for a week straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I don't track mid level temps unless there is precip involved but good god...nearly -30C stuff overhead on Sunday night? I don't think any cold shot last year at range had -30 above us. The coldest I saw last year on any model was about -24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 toward the end of the run we get grazed by a coastal (<1") which if there wasn't a kicker would smoke us....but that's 9-10 days away....we'll have stuff to track this week....Friday's event looks potentially legit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 toward the end of the run we get grazed by a coastal (<1") which if there wasn't a kicker would smoke us....but that's 9-10 days away....we'll have stuff to track this week....Friday's event looks potentially legit... Friday looks nice on the Euro, good 500 pass followed by legit arctic air. Maybe snow on snow then frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 who would've thought a super Nino winter would bring this kind of cold? actually a met for accuweather made the specific comment about artic outbreaks during this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 wxrisk talked about next week not very positively and also 2-24/3-4 as also possible.Personally I think this maybe last chance till end of feb as the atmosphere doesnt seem to want to cooperate, though, in all honesty, if we get several inches from this event, the rest of the winter can end with nothing and I'd consider it a very good success. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 wxrisk talked about next week not very positively and also 2-24/3-4 as also possible.Personally I think this maybe last chance till end of feb as the atmosphere doesnt seem to want to cooperate, though, in all honesty, if we get several inches from this event, the rest of the winter can end with nothing and I'd consider it a very good success. WoOF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS has a little something for PD, but it's definitely not worthy of the PD3 moniker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS has a little something for PD, but it's definitely not worthy of the PD3 moniker. Decent vort pass for a quick hitter. Front side is dampened leading in so development to the south is kept at bay. I think we have a good chance at taking advantage of the big cold air mass dropping down in some fashion. GEFS is dead set on setting up for another arctic outbreak the last week of the month. Insane -epo ridge on the means for 15-16 day leads. Signal keeps getting stronger too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS has a little something for PD, but it's definitely not worthy of the PD3 moniker. that west to east storm died pretty quickly for presidents day. Valley man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 that west to east storm died pretty quickly for presidents day. Valley man Yep...and on all the models too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yep...and on all the models too. like where did it go? it was a monster...how does that just disappear? Im sure a 1044 High diving to West Virginia didnt help either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I still think there is a lot of potential for next week. I don't see why so many are down on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 that west to east storm died pretty quickly for presidents day. Valley man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Bob, does the Friday event have any ensemble support? Looks like it could be a quick hitting cold temp event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Bob, does the Friday event have any ensemble support? Looks like it could be a quick hitting cold temp event. There's a splattering of light events and a couple modest ones. I'd say the euro ensembles in general are 50/50 on the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I still think there is a lot of potential for next week. I don't see why so many are down on it. I'd say the GFS agrees. Not a monster but cold temps and some moisture. Ok will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS and GGEM have something for the 15th and 16th. GGEM dumps a lot of snow on... NE MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 A nice long duration light snow event that drops 4-6 inches with temps in 20s would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 A nice long duration light snow event that drops 4-6 inches with temps in 20s would be great. I agree. I'd like that kind of event. We haven't had anything remotely like that this winter. I feel like we got more than our share of those the past couple winters. Always fun events when you have extreme cold and a steady snow accumulating. I know Margusity, FWIW, thinks the Friday event will trend into a decent snow event for much of the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro is pretty weak sauce for Friday night...cartopper-ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro is pretty weak sauce for Friday night...cartopper-ish[/quot Cool. I was expecting nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro is pretty weak sauce for Friday night...cartopper-ish with all the cold in that fast, NW flow, it's hard to think it would be much more w/o a strong short wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Although, this is the kind of system that the old JB would go crazy over talking about a storm that blew up on an arctic front back in the winter of 60/61 (Kennedy) or 63/64. And then it would never happen, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro is pretty weak sauce for Friday night...cartopper-ish Vort is much flatter this run. Not much chance to get anything going. Worth keeping an eyeball on but not very exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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