snowfan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Qpf Winchester 2.0 CHO 2.1 IAD 2.1 DCA 1.5 BWI 1.3 Westminster 1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Oh man. Euro is a crush job. The HP is so much better on this run than either the GFS or CMC. 1032 draining the cold in ahead of the storm. Absolute beatdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Qpf Winchester 2.0 CHO 2.1 IAD 2.1 DCA 1.5 BWI 1.3 Westminster 1.7 Half of DC and BWI's precip is rain. Ginsu blade on the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Qpf Winchester 2.0 CHO 2.1 IAD 2.1 DCA 1.5 BWI 1.3 Westminster 1.7 Happen to have KFDK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It kind of looks similar to February 2014 in the snowmaps. Pretty nice run 95 west, but close to a GFS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Good run of the euro. Plenty of time for this to get sorted out. May very well trend warmer with time which has been the trend lately. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Half of DC and BWI's precip is rain. Ginsu blade on the run. Yes. To clarify, that's not all snow. Verbatim, snow maps were 8" for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Yes. To clarify, that's not all snow. Verbatim, snow maps were 8" for DCA. Probably a lot less than that. Much of it falls with surface temps in the mid 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Half of DC and BWI's precip is rain. Ginsu blade on the run. From what I've been reading the last couple pages it almost appears as if the setup may be similar to this past event other than the temperatures flipping prior to and following any coastal? The last time that happened the rain to snow idea was a lost cause, but each weather event is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Bob.. you said something that stuck with me.. when I-95/Fall line is played hard on models, these tend to be messy set ups! I love my 20" on the snow maps, and encouraged for MBY .. And I do not see why people think this is like the GFS?? It does not look the same to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 its a bit better then 0z IMO along 95 temps. Starts as frozen then for much of the event the rain snow line straddles right along 95 before ending as snow everywhere. You don't have to go far west of the cities to stay all snow on this run. Again details are stupid at this range, its close enough to keep us in the game, thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 euro gives central VA some love with a clipper right behind the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 wxbell snowfall DCA 8" BWI 6" Baltimore 8" IAD 18" Winchester: 18" HGR: 12" Westminster: 15" East of 95 goes down to 3-4" that comes as the storm pulls away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 It's an inch away from a disaster anywhere east of 81. I like the run but I'm still pretty skeptical. Hopefully the ensembles start jumping on the colder/snowier idea.I thought the GEFS had some snowy solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 20 miles east and 2 degrees colder would make it a decent hit. Paste bombs are always a favorite of mine, definitely got my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 wxbell snowfall DCA 8" BWI 6" Baltimore 8" IAD 18" Winchester: 18" HGR: 12" Westminster: 15" East of 95 goes down to 3-4" that comes as the storm pulls away Wow.... that is a sharp gradient between IAD and DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Probably a lot less than that. Much of it falls with surface temps in the mid 30's. You're right. Surface temps suck and we know how that works east of the fall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Bob.. you said something that stuck with me.. when I-95/Fall line is played hard on models, these tend to be messy set ups! I love my 20" on the snow maps, and encouraged for MBY .. And I do not see why people think this is like the GFS?? It does not look the same to me. It's much better than the gfs irt to high pressure/boundary placement. Meaning, there's actually a high pressure pressing down from the north on the euro whereas the gfs has a 1,000 mile boundary stretching sw-ne up the coast. That itself is a huge difference. I thought the GEFS had some snowy solutions. They did but the solid majority were rain storms and west tracks. Like I said earlier, I'm not trying to poo poo and deb anything. When I see encouraging signs with placement of features I won't hold back from saying something. The euro was a good run. Certainly the best of the 12z suite. But it was also right on the edge of being awful. That can't be overlooked or ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Regardless, definitely a (pleasantly) surprising run. I swore it was going to have the Low go through Columbus, OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Regardless, definitely a (pleasantly) surprising run. I swore it was going to have the Low go through Columbus, OH Still 7 days away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 This Euro run is 3C colder at 850 on average at BWI vs. last night's run, though with less precip as the storm isn't as wound up. Idk about everybody else, but I like these kind of nail-biters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Wow.... that is a sharp gradient between IAD and DCA it happens, I had 8" living in westner Fairfax county in 2003 when DCA had nothing from a december storm. There are some other examples I can think of off the top of my head in marginal temp events where IAD did a lot better then DCA. Too far out to worry about that sharp edge yet. Models cant even decide what time zone to put the storm yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Hmmmm, the Accuwx snow map has me almost half-way between the 6" and 12" lines. I'll run with that and ditch the crummy Wxbell map that shows less. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 This Euro run is 3C colder at 850 on average at BWI vs. last night's run, though with less precip as the storm isn't as wound up. Idk about everybody else, but I like these kind of nail-bitters. The only nail biters I like are the ones where precip is the only concern. Borderline column/surface + my yard = notsogoodmostofthetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Still 7 days away... Nope, 6....precip enters DCA by 12Z on Tuesday You that makes all the difference now...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Wow.... that is a sharp gradient between IAD and DCA To be fair, DCA would probably measure 18" actual as 8", so . . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 it happens, I had 8" living in westner Fairfax county in 2003 when DCA had nothing from a december storm. There are some other examples I can think of off the top of my head in marginal temp events where IAD did a lot better then DCA. Too far out to worry about that sharp edge yet. Models cant even decide what time zone to put the storm yet. I'm consistently 5+ degrees colder out here in Herndon compared to DC. Of course that's just surface temps, but that can be the difference in quite a few inches if it's 28 at Dulles, but 33 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 Regardless, definitely a (pleasantly) surprising run. I swore it was going to have the Low go through Columbus, OH I wonder if they are still happy? Still......pure fantasy, but nicer than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 To be fair, DCA would probably measure 18" actual as 8", so . . . . HAHA - The model takes poor DC measuring into account! LOL! BANTER - but funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 The only nail biters I like are the ones where precip is the only concern. Borderline column/surface + my yard = notsogoodmostofthetime This.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.