CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS looks awful again. Good. Yes it does. And I concur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm confused why anyone thinks it is a good thing that the GFS looks bad; it was the first, and best, model to handle the Jan 22 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS just loves the NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 The high iand 50/50 low are long gone before any precip moves in. What precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Today or tomorrow the ensembles will start showing the end of winter again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I've never liked storms coming across country. Too Miller B'ish. Give me a LP that forms near Appalacha, FL anytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Ukie day 6 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Today or tomorrow the ensembles will start showing the end of winter again Would be nice for them to start locking into a better pattern soon... :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Would be nice for them to start locking into a better pattern soon... :-/ Better, I don't want it for March. Our day 10 blizzard was fleeting, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Pattern looks decent beyond mid month on the GEFS. Its workable, but persistent ridging in the N Atlantic is not really where we want it. Pacific still looks good overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Would be nice for them to start locking into a better pattern soon... :-/ We know where this is heading...certainly doesn't mean we won't snow but..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 We know where this is heading...certainly doesn't mean we won't snow but..... Take away the HECS and this winter has blown chunks. Now we are getting deep into Feb so there is really couple weeks left to see if this month lives up to the hype. But I am not discouraged the next potential storm is gone. Not yet. But if we get passed that timeframe with a bleak outlook then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12z GEFS are a step down from 06z, mean snowfall is about 2" for the period from after the Miller B Tuesday to the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Take away the HECS and this winter has blown chunks. Now we are getting deep into Feb so there is really couple weeks left to see if this month lives up to the hype. But I am not discouraged the next potential storm is gone. Not yet. But if we get passed that timeframe with a bleak outlook then.... This post belongs in banter.. or the Panic room thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro is frigid starting day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro is frigid starting day 8 Cold seems a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro is frigid starting day 8 Looks like highs into the upper teens day 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Cold seems a lock.-26.5c 850 next Sunday morning with surface of 5f at bwi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Heh, anyone who has weathebell...check out hr 210 vort panels. Triple phaser potential. lol ETA: I'm not saying the run will be a triple phase or anything. Just seeing 3 pieces lined up like that will always catch an eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro may thread the needle, creativity points for the central Canada ridge if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Looks like highs into the upper teens day 8. The ground will be cold for our winter storm digging into the South day 9. Looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Where do you get the vort panels on the site? http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016020612/conus2/ecmwf_z500_vort_conus2_stamp.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Some sort of system approaching day 9 and it's cold still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Euro is frigid starting day 8I've been watching this keep getting colder and colder as we get closer. All we need now is another killer squall to start showing up to accompany the front on the models like last year.Getting something decent snow wise as this pulls away seems like the next logical step. The storm in late feb. last year took a bad track but the extreme airmass in front saved us. Maybe we get to do it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Heh, anyone who has weathebell...check out hr 210 vort panels. Triple phaser potential. lol ETA: I'm not saying the run will be a triple phase or anything. Just seeing 3 pieces lined up like that will always catch an eye. Surprised Highzenberg isn't on top of this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Meh, minor event at bwi. May go south. It's very cold. Just guessing now until I see a map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 SLP just south of the Florida Panhandle at 234. ETA: Lol. Northern Alabama and Mississipi get 10" this run while NYC gets nada. #superninoing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 SLP just south of the Florida Panhandle at 234.It's a miss up here this run but plenty of potential. Cold overwhelms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Well our mid month threat is there on the Euro...just a bit suppressed lol. Cold indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Can't wait to see the ensembles from this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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